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Western Hemisphere > Belize

You are looking at 1 - 2 of 2 items for :

  • Type: Journal Issue x
  • Energy and the Macroeconomy x
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Cover IMF Working Papers
Public Investment Scaling-up and Debt Sustainability: The Case of Energy Sector Investments in the Caribbean
Ahmed El-Ashram
The question of how scaling up public investment could affect fiscal and debt sustainability is key for countries needing to fill infrastructure gaps and build resilience. This paper proposes a bottom-up approach to assess large public investments that are potentially self-financing and reflect their impact in macro-fiscal projections that underpin the IMF’s Debt Sustainability Analysis Framework. Using the case of energy sector investments in Caribbean countries, the paper shows how to avoid biases against good projects that pay off over long horizons and ensure that transformative investments are not sacrificed to myopic assessments of debt sustainability risks. The approach is applicable to any macro-critical investment for which user fees can cover financing costs and which has the potential to raise growth without crowding-out.
Keywords:
WP; cost saving; energy investment; investment project; investment scaling-up; management framework; Public Investment; Debt Sustainability; Growth; Energy Reform; Caribbean; User Fees; Public investment spending; Public investment and public-private partnerships (PPP); Public sector
Cover IMF Working Papers
Caribbean Energy: Macro-Related Challenges
Arnold McIntyre
,
Ahmed El-Ashram
,
Mr. Márcio Valério Ronci
,
Julien Reynaud
,
Ms. Natasha X Che
,
Ke Wang
,
Mr. Sebastian Acevedo Mejia
, and
Mr. Mark Scott Lutz
High energy costs contribute to dampening Caribbean competitiveness and potential growth. This paper overviews power sector challenges and takes stock of national and regional strategies to address them. It presents recommendations to move the energy agenda forward based on analyses of macro-aspects of energy reform. These include: i) quantitative assessment of the impact of energy costs on growth and competitiveness; ii) evaluation of gains from implementing announced renewable energy and energy efficiency targets; and iii) analysis of the impact of energy investments on debt sustainability. The paper argues for a bigger role for the private sector in energy reform and discusses prerequisites for good public-private partnerships.
Keywords:
WP; electric energy; oil price; Energy Reform; Oil Price Shocks; Caribbean; Economic Growth; Renewable Energy; Energy Efficiency; Public Investment; Infrastructure; Debt Sustainability; PPP; cost saving; core inflation; energy efficiency cost curve; financing terms; net exporter; recovery mechanism; generation cost assumption; fuel cost recovery mechanism; capital cost; oil price development; energy investment; Oil prices; Energy sector; Energy prices; Global