Business and Economics > Production and Operations Management

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International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Ce document de la série des questions générales se penche sur l'évaluation de l'activité économique du Togo en l'absence de séries trimestrielles du PIB. Le Togo recueille environ 40 indicateurs macroéconomiques mensuels qui couvrent un grand nombre de secteurs de l'économie. La sélection de variables à inclure dans l'indice d'activité économique est faite en trouvant la meilleure combinaison. Les indicateurs sont agrégés dans un indice à l’aide d'une méthodologie utilisée par le Conference Board des États-Unis. Ceci permet d'établir un indice d'activité économique qui reproduit bien l'évolution des taux de croissance du PIB réel au Togo. L’indice sélectionné réduit au minimum les écarts entre le taux de croissance de l'indicateur et celui du PIB réel effectif sur la période 2002–13.
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
This Selected Issues paper discusses the assessment of economic activity in Togo in absence of quarterly GDP series. Togo collects about 40 macroeconomic indicators monthly that span a wide range of sectors of the economy. The selection of the variables for the economic activity index is conducted by finding the combination of variables. The indicators are aggregated into an index using a methodology used by the Conference Board. Then an economic activity index is constructed that effectively replicates the historical growth rates of real GDP in Togo. The selected index minimizes the deviations between the growth rates of the indicator and actual real GDP growth over 2002–13.
International Monetary Fund
This paper assesses the link between public investment and economic growth in Burkina Faso. It also evaluates Burkina Faso's external competitiveness by using a comparison of REER to its equilibrium levels and a survey-based assessment of overall competitiveness. The report attempts to quantify the impact of rainfall and terms-of-trade shocks on the Burkinabe economy and draws policy measures to lessen external shocks. The report assesses that industrial mining has become a source of foreign exchange and government revenue, which requires transparent management and accountability.
Mr. Prakash Loungani
and
Mr. Phillip L Swagel
This paper develops stylized facts about the inflation process in developing countries, focusing particularly on the relationship between the exchange rate regime and the sources of inflation. Using annual data from 1964 to 1998 for 53 developing countries, we find that money growth and exchange rate changes-factors typically related to fiscal influences-are far more important in countries with floating exchange rate regimes than in those with fixed exchange rates. Instead, inertial factors dominate the inflation process in developing countries with fixed exchange rate regimes.