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Business and Economics > Production and Operations Management

You are looking at 1 - 9 of 9 items for :

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Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Finland: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
This Selected Issues paper examines Finland’s sectoral balance sheets and how they have evolved since the global financial crisis; the analysis reveals that financial vulnerabilities have risen in most sectors. Indebtedness has increased for nonfinancial corporations (NFCs), households, and the government, increasing their financial fragility and vulnerability to shocks. Also, cross-border financial exposures have risen on both sides of Finland’s balance sheet. Specifically, banks’ balance sheets have grown considerably, largely owing to a rise in foreign liabilities. NFCs and the government have also relied in part on foreign investors to finance their debt increases.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; firm; private sector; firm productivity; product market; firm TFP; accounts payable; productivity gain; company size; Productivity; Financial statements; Commodity markets; Total factor productivity; Stocks; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Norway: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
This paper discusses the oil economy, outlook, and risk for Norway. Growth has continued to slow in the mainland economy. At the start of this year, oil prices had dropped by roughly 60 percent from their peak in June 2014 to less than US$40 a barrel. The labor market is feeling the sting of the oil price crash. The krone has weakened substantially along with the decline in oil prices. However, a modest recovery should take root next year. Mainland economy growth should be about 1 percent this year and pick up to close to 1¾ percent in 2017.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; mortgage; firm; risk; firm TFP; oil price; mortgage risk weight; development enterprise; labor market; LTV ratio guideline; tax deductibility; valuation gap; firm productivity; Housing prices; Mortgages; Productivity; Macroprudential policy instruments; Oil; Global; Western Europe
Cover IMF Research Bulletin
IMF Research Bulletin, September 2015
International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
The September 2015 issue of the IMF Research Bulletin covers a range of research topics. The Research Summaries featured in this issue are “Lower for Longer: Neutral Rates in the United States” (Andrea Pescatori and Jarkko Turunen) and “Economic Principles for Resource Revenue Management” (Anthony J. Venables and Samuel Wills). The Q&A article looks at “Seven Questions on Financing for Development” (Amadou Sy) and the global development agenda. The issue also includes special announcements on the 2015 Annual Research Conference and the 2015 IMF Annual Report, as well as new IMF publications. Readers will also find a link to a top-viewed article from the “IMF Economic Review”—the IMF’s official research journal.
Keywords:
IRB; IMF research bulletin; anchor; research conference; journal of the IMF; research community; Policy instrument; Asia's financial systems; Infrastructure; Global financial crisis of 2008-2009; Central bank policy rate; Output gap; Consumption; Global; Sub-Saharan Africa; Africa; Asia and Pacific; West Africa
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Norway: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
This Selected Issues paper examines migration patterns in Norway and their implications for estimates of potential output. It applies a new methodology proposed by Borio and others (2013) to estimate potential output by drawing on information about immigration and oil price movements. The paper also provides an overview of the recent trend in immigration in Norway and discusses various estimates of potential output using standard approaches. The results indicate that immigration plays a small but statistically significant role in the estimation of potential output for Norway. The data show that immigration inflows into Norway vary across source countries. The largest share of immigrants is from Poland, accounting for 15 percent of the total in 2012. Immigration patterns in Norway contain both cyclical and structural elements, but the latter seems dominant at least for now. Empirical results also suggest that immigration plays some role in determining potential output, however, its impact is quite small, consistent with the view that the recent immigration patterns are structural.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; enterprise; HP filter; output gap estimate; mainland GDP output gap; autoregressive output gap term; telecom company; Productivity; Migration; Potential output; Personal income; Corporate income tax; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Business Cycle Fluctuations, Large Shocks, and Development Aid: New Evidence
Ms. Era Dabla-Norris
,
Ms. Camelia Minoiu
, and
Luis-Felipe Zanna
We examine the cyclical properties of development aid using bilateral data for 22 donors and over 100 recipients during 1970?2005. We find that bilateral aid flows are on average procyclical with respect to business cycles in donor and recipient countries. However, they become countercyclical when recipient countries face large adverse shocks to the terms-of-trade or growth collapses-thus playing an important cushioning role. Aid outlays contract sharply during severe donor economic downturns; this effect is magnified by higher public debt levels. Additionally, bilateral aid flows are higher in the presence of IMF programs and are more countercyclical for recipient countries with stronger institutions.
Keywords:
WP; country; recipient country; aid outlay; donor output gap; recipient cycle
Cover IMF Working Papers
Investment-Specific Productivity Growth - Chile in a Global Perspective
Gabriel Di Bella
and
Mr. Martin D. Cerisola
By the end of 2007, Chile's total factor productivity was lower than ten years earlier, a performance that contrasted sharply with the previous decade, when productivity grew by a cumulative 30 percent. This paper assesses productivity trends in Chile, by decomposing productivity into investment-specific technological change (associated with improvements in the quality of capital) and neutral technological change (related to the organization of productive activities). It concludes that investment-specific technological improvements have contributed significantly to long-term growth in Chile, in line with trends observed in other net commodity exporters, while neutral technological change has been slow.
Keywords:
WP; market concentration
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Chile: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund
This Selected Issues paper for Chile assesses the impact of the global financial crisis on Chilean banks. It provides a framework for analyzing government measures aimed at reducing systemic risk. The analysis suggests that Chilean banks are resilient to global and regional shocks. However, even in the absence of direct exposures with other countries in the region, there may be risk spillovers from other banks in the region and in advanced economies. The paper also presents options for further strengthening Chile’s fiscal framework.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; Chile; productivity slowdown; EDF; BIS banking data; factor productivity; Chilean bank; Moody's credit ratings; risk measure; Total expenditures; Productivity; Fiscal stance; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Paraguay: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund
After five years of Paraguay’s high growth led, in part by agro-exporting sectors, the external environment has turned less favorable, with a sharp decline of export prices and a curtailment of external credit lines. The Selected Issues paper for Paraguay discusses economic development and policies. Over the same period, inflation remained above 5 percent, but hovered around 10 percent in the last two years, fed in part by supply shocks but possibly also by an overheating of the economy.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; monetary policy; bank behavior; monetary policy rule; primary sector; bank fundamentals; excess output gap; Credit; Banking crises; Output gap; Inflation; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Fixed Capital Adjustment: Is Latin America Different? Evidence from the Colombian and Mexican Manufacturing Sectors
Mr. R. G Gelos
and
Mr. Alberto Isgut
This paper examines capital adjustment patterns using two large and largely novel data sets from the manufacturing sectors of Colombia and Mexico. The findings show that investment patterns in these countries resemble those reported for the United States to a surprising extent. Capital adjustments beyond maintenance investment occur only rarely, but large spikes account for a significant fraction of total investment. Although duration models do not provide strong evidence for the presence of substantial fixed costs, nonparametric adjustment function estimates reveal the presence of irreversibilities in investment. These irreversibilities are important for understanding aggregate investment behavior.
Keywords:
WP; investment rate; investment spike; capital stock; equipment investment; hazard function; Investment; lumpiness; irreversibilities; nonconvexities; manufacturing; panel data; investment episode; Stocks; Logit models; Producer price indexes; Productivity