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Business and Economics > Production and Operations Management

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Cover IMF Working Papers
A Simple Macrofiscal Model for Policy Analysis: An Application to Cambodia
Daniel Baksa
,
Mr. Ales Bulir
, and
Dyna Heng
The paper describes a semistructural macrofiscal approach to simulating and forecasting macroeconomic policies. Our canonical model is adapted to Cambodia and we demonstrate its application with an illustrative scenario of macroeconomic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic. Complemented with near-term forecasting tools and expert judgment, the dynamics of the model helps to inform policymakers about medium-term transmission channels and thus guide policy advice.
Keywords:
WP; nominal exchange rate; potential GDP; country risk; aggregate supply; reaction function; business cycle; transmission mechanism; exchange rate regime; central bank; Real exchange rates; Exchange rates; Real interest rates; Return on investment; Output gap; Global; Fiscal Policy; Cambodia; Fiscal Multiplier; NBC monetary policy option
Cover Departmental Papers
Structural Transformation in Employment and Productivity: What Can Africa Hope For?
Ms. Louise Fox
,
Mr. Alun H. Thomas
, and
Cleary Haines
This paper provides the most complete analysis of the structural transformation among low- and low-middle-income countries in sub-Saharan Africa to date.
Keywords:
DPPP; DP; Sub-Saharan Africa; share; employment share; wage employment; employment transformation; employment structure; type category; employment transition; Employment; Labor force; Productivity; Agricultural sector; Labor productivity; East Asia; Africa; South Asia; Asia and Pacific
Cover IMF Research Bulletin
Research Bulletin, March 2015
International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Articles in the March 2015 Research Bulletin focus on the oil market, energy subsidies, and output. The Research Summary on "An Exploration in Deep Corners of the Oil Market," authored by Rabah Arezki, Douglas Laxton, Armen Nurekyan, and Hou Wang, examines fluctuations in oil prices. "The State Budget May Afford It All," by Christian Ebeke and Constant Lonkeng Ngbouana, reviews energy subsidies and their fiscal, distributional, and environmental costs. In the “Q&A” column Pau Rabanal takes a look at “Seven Questions on Potential Output.” The Bulletin includes a listing of recent IMF Working Papers, Staff Discussion Notes, recommended readings from IMF Publications, and a call for papers for the next Annual Research Conference. A link with information and free access to IMF Economic Review is also included.
Keywords:
IRB; IMF research bulletin; energy subsidy; More Equal Laws Boost Female labor force participation; revitalization plan; policy relevance; economic policy issue; conference organizer; Energy subsidies; Potential output; Oil prices; Oil; Global; Asia and Pacific; Europe
Cover IMF Working Papers
Modeling with Limited Data: Estimating Potential Growth in Cambodia
Mr. Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul
This paper proposes a framework to analyze long-term potential growth that combines a simple quantitative model with an investigative approach of ‘growth diagnostics’. The framework is used to forecast potential growth for Cambodia, and to conduct simulations about the main drivers of growth in that country. The main result is that Cambodia compares less favorably against other lower-income Asian economies in terms of its investment rate, which in turn is constrained by the poor quality of its infrastructure. Bridging this gap can lift Cambodia’s potential growth by more than one percentage point.
Keywords:
WP; math; Potential output; Cambodia; growth diagnostics; productivity gain; productivity improvement; export diversification; investment rate; productivity level; productivity term; Phillips curve; aggregate production function; saving rate; Productivity; Output gap; Total factor productivity; Global
Cover IMF Research Bulletin
IMF Research Bulletin, September 2002
International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
The IMF Research Bulletin, a quarterly publication, selectively summarizes research and analytical work done by various departments at the IMF, and also provides a listing of research documents and other research-related activities, including conferences and seminars. The Bulletin is intended to serve as a summary guide to research done at the IMF on various topics, and to provide a better perspective on the analytical underpinnings of the IMF’s operational work.
Keywords:
IRB; market; balance sheet variable; TFP growth; capital; IMF research; factor input; monetary policy transmission mechanisms; sustainability issue; portfolio equity stock; Total factor productivity; Emerging and frontier financial markets; Stock markets; Capital flows; Growth accounting; Global; Asia and Pacific; Europe; Sub-Saharan Africa; East Asia