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Business and Economics > Corporate Taxation

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Cover IMF Working Papers
U.S. Investment Since the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017
Emanuel Kopp
,
Mr. Daniel Leigh
,
Susanna Mursula
, and
Suchanan Tambunlertchai
There is no consensus on how strongly the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) has stimulated U.S. private fixed investment. Some argue that the business tax provisions spurred investment by cutting the cost of capital. Others see the TCJA primarily as a windfall for shareholders. We find that U.S. business investment since 2017 has grown strongly compared to pre-TCJA forecasts and that the overriding factor driving it has been the strength of expected aggregate demand. Investment has, so far, fallen short of predictions based on the postwar relation with tax cuts. Model simulations and firm-level data suggest that much of this weaker response reflects a lower sensitivity of investment to tax policy changes in the current environment of greater corporate market power. Economic policy uncertainty in 2018 played a relatively small role in dampening investment growth.
Keywords:
WP; business investment; investment growth; capital expenditure; aggregate demand; employment behavior; firm level; Investment; fiscal policy; market power; uncertainty; investment response; growth impact; company markup; savings company; investment growth impact; response to the TCJA; Private investment; Corporate income tax; Capital spending; Employment; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Does Taxation Stifle Corporate Investment? Firm-Level Evidence from ASEAN Countries
Mr. Serhan Cevik
and
Fedor Miryugin
This paper conducts a firm-level analysis of the effect of taxation on corporate investment patterns in member states of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). Using large-scale panel data on nonfinancial firms over the period 1990–2014, and controlling for macro-structural differences among countries, we find a significant degree of persistence in firms’ net fixed investments over time, which vary with firm characteristics, such as size, sales, profitability, leverage, and age. Our analysis brings up interesting empirical results, including nonlinear patterns of behavior in firms’ capital investment decisions acrosss ASEAN countries. Concerning the main variable of interest, we find that a moderate level of taxation does not hinder business investment, but this effect turns negative as higher tax burden raises the user cost of capital and distorts resource allocations.
Keywords:
WP; firm characteristic; investment behavior; firm level; nonfinancial firm; Corporate income tax; investment; leverage; firm performance; fixed investment; cost of capital; Capital spending; Public investment and public-private partnerships (PPP); Tax incidence; Private investment; Global; Southeast Asia; Asia and Pacific
Cover The Composition of Fiscal Adjustment and Growth
The Composition of Fiscal Adjustment and Growth
Lessons from Fiscal Reforms in Eight Economies
Mr. George A Mackenzie
,
Mr. Philip R. Gerson
, and
Mr. David William Harold Orsmond

Abstract

This study examines the composition of fiscal adjustment - tax and expenditure policies and administrative procedures, and some aspects of public enterprise reform - in a sample of eight countries (Bangladesh, Chile, Ghana, India, Mexico, Morocco, Senegal, and Thailand) during a period of fiscal reform (usually 1978-93), to determine whether and to what extent the fiscal reforms fostered growth during the adjustment period.

Keywords:
OP; IMF staff country report; country; government finance statistics yearbook; tax category; services tax; expenditure program; Income; Capital spending; Income and capital gains taxes; Middle East; Global; finance government expenditure; policy reform; expenditure reduction; policy issue; public expenditure management systems; Public sector; Public enterprises