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Business and Economics > Public Finance

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Cover Technical Notes and Manuals
Methodology and Overview of the IMF’s World Revenue Longitudinal Database
Mario Mansour
,
Marijn Verhoeven
,
Fayçal Sawadogo
, and
Benedict Chu Sheen Tan
This note presents the methodology behind the IMF’s World Revenue Longitudinal Database, a comprehensive data set that tracks government revenue trends since the early 1990s. With data for 193 countries, including 190 IMF member countries, the World Revenue Longitudinal Database provides policymakers, researchers, and the public with invaluable insights into the evolution of the level and composition of revenues and tax revenues. It is a unique, consistent, and reliable source for comparing countries around the world, helping to shape policies that support the Sustainable Development Goals, climate action, and economic equity. Updated annually, the database and accompanying technical note provide a concise overview of recent revenue developments, data revisions, and methodological improvements, making it an essential resource for understanding revenue mobilization developments at the global level.
Keywords:
World Revenue Longitudinal Database; tax revenues; nontax revenues; tax potential; IMF's World Revenue Longitudinal Database; data IMF Library; IMF region; IMF's World revenue; revenue development; Income tax systems; Income and capital gains taxes; Government finance statistics; Natural resources; Global; Western Hemisphere; Asia and Pacific; Middle East and Central Asia; Caribbean
Cover IMF Working Papers
A Suggested Medium-Term Fiscal Framework for Guyana
Rina Bhattacharya
and
Do Yeon Park
Guyana is growing rapidly, and fiscal policy plays a critical role in ensuring that the country’s wealth is managed effectively and equitably. The paper analyzes crucial elements of a comprehensive fiscal policy framework, anchored on a medium-term fiscal framework, that would help in balancing several, and sometimes competing, fiscal policy objectives common to natural resource rich developing countries.
Keywords:
Fiscal policy framework; Fiscal rules, Non-renewable resources; Natural Resource Funds; resource wealth; fiscal policy path; Guyana's oil; expenditure growth rule; Fiscal sustainability; Natural resources; Oil production; Global
Cover Technical Assistance Reports
Indonesia: Technical Assistance Report-Subnational Government Endowment Funds
International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
The Indonesian authorities are exploring options for the establishment of subnational government endowment funds and the Ministry of Finance (MoF) has drafted regulations in that context. However, the motivations and objective for establishing an endowment fund at the subnational level diverge across various stakeholders. Clarity of the objectives and purpose of the endowment fund will be critical for informing features of its architecture, and the endowment fund should be aligned with the national fiscal policy objectives. Establishing such funds at a time of fiscal deficit entails a “borrowing-to-save” approach which is not optimal from a fiscal policy perspective. Currently, there is a misalignment between the design of inflow and outflow rules, the endowment fund’s objectives, and the fiscal/economic context. In addition, the current draft MoF regulations restrict the investment policy to conform with the law on decentralization enacted in 2022. This report emphasizes that regardless of the structure of the endowment fund, it needs to be fully integrated within the budget. The report also provides recommendations on assessing the full cost of the subnational government endowment fund, its design and implementation, and provides suggestions to improve the draft MoF regulations.
Keywords:
Indonesia; Subnational government; Local government; Endowment Fund; Sovereign wealth fund; Intergovernmental fiscal relations; Decentralization; Intergenerational wealth; Inflows; outflow rules.; CD recipient; IMF Resident representative; government endowment funds; IMF Fiscal Affairs Department; draft government; FAD expert; Budget planning and preparation; Investment policy; Budget execution and treasury management; Natural resources; Public employment
Cover IMF Working Papers
A New Fiscal Framework for Resource-Rich Countries
Mr. Luc Eyraud
,
William Gbohoui
, and
Mr. Paulo A Medas
This paper revisits the debate on the design of fiscal rules in resource-rich countries. Its main objective is to assess alternative systems of rules against their policy objectives, while taking into account country characteristics. One of the contributions of the paper is to propose fiscal frameworks that are centered around the principle of insurance against shocks and less reliant on estimating precisely resource wealth, which tends to be highly volatile.
Keywords:
Fiscal Policy; Fiscal Rules; Non-Renewable resources; Resource Funds; Nonrenewable Resource Exporting Countries; resource wealth; personal income hypothesis; financial assets floor; IMF working paper 23/230; net financial assets; policy objective; resource revenue; Natural resources; Commodity prices; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Sovereign ESG Bond Issuance: A Guidance Note for Sovereign Debt Managers
Peter Lindner
and
Kay Chung
This paper aims to provide guidance to issuers of sovereign ESG bonds, with a focus on Emerging Market and Developing Economies (EMDEs). An overview of the ESG financing options available to sovereign issuers is followed by an analysis of the operational requirements and costs that the issuance of sovereign ESG bonds entails. While green bonds are the instruments used to describe the issuance process, the paper also covers alternative instruments, including social and sustainability-linked bonds to provide issuers and other stakeholders with a comprehensive view of the ESG bond marketplace.
Keywords:
Bond issuance; Climate finance; ESG bonds; Green bonds; Public Financial Management; Social bonds; Sovereign debt management; Sustainable finance; Sustainability-linked bonds; ESG bond; ESG debt; ESG-focused investor; topology of ESG; Bonds; Corporate social responsibility; Sovereign bonds; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
The 'Fiscal Presource Curse': Giant Discoveries and Debt Sustainability
Matteo Ruzzante
and
Nelson Sobrinho
This paper investigates the dynamic impact of natural resource discoveries on government debt sustainability. We use a ‘natural experiment’ framework in which the timing of discoveries is treated as an exogenous source of within-country variation. We combine data on government debt, fiscal stress and debt distress episodes on a large panel of countries over 1970-2012, with a global repository of giant oil, gas, and mineral discoveries. We find strong and robust evidence of a ‘fiscal presource curse’, i.e., natural resources can jeopardize fiscal sustainability even before ‘the first drop of oil is pumped’. Specifically, we find that giant discoveries, mostly of oil and gas, lead to permanently higher government debt and, eventually, debt distress episodes, specially in countries with weaker political institutions and governance. This evidence suggest that the curse can be mitigated and even prevented by pursuing prudent fiscal policies and borrowing strategies, strengthening fiscal governance, and implementing transparent and robust fiscal frameworks for resource management.
Keywords:
Natural resources; Resource curse; Oil; Mines; Debt sustainability; Fiscal policy; Political institutions; debt distress episode; debt measure; giant discovery; A.II governance indicator; government financial assets; Non-renewable resources; Global
Cover Technical Notes and Manuals
DIGNAR-19 Toolkit Manual
Mr. Zamid Aligishiev
,
Mr. Giovanni Melina
, and
Luis-Felipe Zanna
This note is a user’s manual for the DIGNAR-19 toolkit, an application aimed at facilitating the use of the DIGNAR-19 model by economists with no to little knowledge of Matlab and Dynare via a user-friendly Excel-based interface. he toolkit comprises three tools—the simulation tool, the graphing tool, and the realism tool—that translate the contents of an Excel input file into instructions for Matlab/Dynare programs. These programs are executed behind the scenes. Outputs are saved in a separate Excel file and can also be visualized in customizable charts.
Keywords:
COVID-19; Natural Resources; Public Investment; Debt Sustainability; simulation tool; toolkit manual; realism tool; policy scenario analysis; I. DIGNAR-19 toolkit; Labor supply; Public investment spending; Natural resources; Fiscal stance
Cover IMF Working Papers
Sharing Resource Wealth Inclusively Within and Across Generations
Nathalie Pouokam
This paper discusses the main challenges faced by resource-rich nations in promoting equity; describes policy tools available for managing exhaustible natural resources; and analyzes the relationship between resource wealth and state fragility. It is argued that human capital accumulation, innovation, and technology diffusion can help escape the trap of low growth and resource dependence that plagues so many developing countries. But to make this possible, resource-rich nations must sustain strong citizen participation in the policy making to hold governments accountable and ensure the inclusive management of resource wealth.
Keywords:
resource curse; natural resource wealth; exhaustible natural resources; resource rent; resource wealth; natural resource; Natural resources; Fiscal rules; Income inequality; Exports; Global
Cover IMF How To Notes
How to Design a Fiscal Strategy in a Resource-Rich Country
Olivier Basdevant
and
Eslem Imamoglu
This How to Note provides operational guidance for policymakers and IMF staff teams on designing—or revising—a fiscal strategy in resource-rich countries (RRC). Properly managed, resource revenue can support fiscal sustainability and development and equity objectives. Resource revenues also create significant stabilization challenges for fiscal policy because of their size, uncertainty, volatility, and finite nature. The guidance in this note is intended to be general and applicable to RRCs with a range of income levels, resource endowments, and macroeconomic contexts. It is designed primarily to help policymakers analyze the trade-offs associated with alternative fiscal paths and select the right fiscal strategy, given country-specific circumstances.
Keywords:
FADHTN; HTN; resource revenue; resource wealth; liquid asset; commodity revenue; resource consumption
Cover IMF Working Papers
Fiscal Resilience Building: Insights from a New Tax Revenue Diversification Index
Rasmané Ouedraogo
,
Rene Tapsoba
,
Moussé Sow
, and
Ali Compaoré
Does the reliance on diversified tax structure enhance resilience to fiscal risks? This paper gives an answer to this question by proposing a new cross-country tax revenue diversification index (RDI). The RDI builds on the Theil index, and unlike the few existing tax diversification indices, which are constructed only at the state level for the US, is computed at the national level, covering a broad panel of 127 countries over the period 2000-15. We find suggestive evidence that tax revenue diversification reduces tax revenue volatility, thus bringing to the data long-held views about the prominence of tax revenue diversification for fiscal resilience strengthening. While exploring the drivers of the RDI, we find that tax revenue diversification is not just a reflection of economic diversification, but also an outcome of macroeconomic, political and institutional factors. Interestingly, a non-monotone relationship is also at play between the RDI and economic development, with countries’ portfolio of tax sources getting more diversified as their economy develops, until a tipping point, where richer countries start finding it harder to diversify further their tax revenue sources.
Keywords:
WP; yes; diversification index; Revenue volatility; Taxation; Tax revenue diversification; Theil Index; tax revenue; tax source; tax diversification; sources structure; revenue collection; Income tax systems; Consumption taxes; Natural resources; Tax administration core functions; South Asia; North America; North Africa; Middle East; East Africa; diversification pattern; collection performance