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Business and Economics > Public Finance

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Cover Selected Issues Papers
Post-Pandemic Changes to Chile’s Financial Markets: Chile
Tatsushi Okuda
Pension fund withdrawals, rising public debt, and the Central Bank of Chile’s pandemic liquidity injections have reshaped Chile’s financial landscape. In the context of the diminished demand for local bonds, large non-financial corporations and the government relied more on foreign investors. Overall, Chile’s financial depth has diminished, and markets have become more volatile and sensitive to shocks. Restoring pension funds as well as continuing to strengthen market resilience and crisis response capabilities are essential for ensuring future financial stability.
Keywords:
Financial sector stability; Financial depth; Pension fund withdrawal; market resilience; pandemic liquidity injection; Chile's financial markets; I. Chilean pension funds; Pension spending; Sovereign bonds; Bonds; Corporate bonds; COVID-19; Global
Cover Technical Assistance Reports
Republic of Armenia: Technical Assistance Report-Personal Income Tax and Social Security Contribution Gaps
International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
This report presents results on a review of data available to the State Revenue Committee for estimating the Personal Income Tax and Social Security Contribution gaps. It is concluded that SRC has sufficient quality data available from operational audits to assess the gaps.
Keywords:
Personal Income Tax Gap; Social Security Contributions Gap; Bottom-up approach; Operational audits; Heckman Sample Selection model; Republic of Armenia.; SSC gap; PIT gap measurement methodology; social security contribution gap; PIT gap; SRC data; assessed PIT; Personal income tax; Auditing; Tax audits; Corporate income tax; Tax gap; Global
Cover VITARA Reference Guide
VITARA Reference Guide
The Audit Program
Inter-American Center of Tax Administrations
,
International Monetary Fund
,
Intra-European Organisation of Tax Administrations
, and
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development

Abstract

This VITARA Reference Guide provides a solid understanding of audit as a key tool available to a tax administration to promote and enforce compliance. The guide explains international good practices in designing and managing an effective audit program including the necessary legal powers, audit-related organization, and governance arrangements as well as the staff expertise and resources needed for audit and auditor performance evaluation. It focuses on practical issues such as how audit cases are selected, the different types and scope of audit, and audit methods that are available to staff. It also discusses the concepts of audit integrity, audit quality assurance, and the Random Audit Program as well as electronic audit tools and how they can be used in conducting audits. A potential annual operational performance dashboard that can be implemented to allow program monitoring throughout the fiscal year is also included. Finally, the guide highlights the key components of an audit process.

Keywords:
Audit; audit program; compliance; compliance risk management; revenue; revenue mobilization; tax; tax administration; revenue administration; asset betterment method; audit case selection; cash expenditure; percentage markup; audit manager; Auditing; Tax administration core functions; Tax audits; Audit standards and procedures; Tax gap; Global
Cover Technical Notes and Manuals
Using Top-Down Compliance Gap Techniques to Supplement the Compliance Risk Management Framework
Elena D'Agosto
,
Michael A Hardy
,
Stefano Pisani
, and
Anthony Siouclis
Traditional top-down tax gap assessments identify the size of a tax gap, but not its origins. By extracting more granular information from top-down tax gap assessments, and combining this information with compliance risk management (CRM) techniques, it is possible to: improve the accuracy of CRM techniques; improve the consistency of the likelihood and consequence dimensions of compliance risk assessments; identify emerging areas of tax compliance risk and; better disaggregate the direct and indirect revenue effects of compliance interventions, including the “behavioral component” within the indirect effects. Finally, it is also possible to determine the optimal revenue recovery from each segment of the taxpayer population.
Keywords:
tax administration; tax compliance; tax gap; compliance gap; Compliance Risk Management; CRM; direct revenue effect; indirect revenue effect; taxpayer behavioral component; compliance risk-management framework; compliance gap technique; IMF Library; taxpayer compliance; compliance index; Auditing; Tax return filing compliance; Value-added tax
Cover Technical Assistance Reports
Georgia: Technical Assistance Report-Cyber Risk: Regulation, Supervision and Testing
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
The technical mission aimed to strengthen the cyber risk regulation and supervision, and testing for the National Bank of Georgia (NBG). The mission focused on (i) an assessment of NBG’s cyber risk regulation, (ii) an assessment of cyber risk supervisory arrangements of NBG, (iii) assisting in the development of a cyber testing framework, and (iv) assisting in the development of a methodology for cyber exercising and stress testing. The mission found that cyber risk regulations including incident reporting requirements are in place, but gaps remain. Cyber risk supervision practices need improvements and more focus on supervisory priorities. Information sharing practices within the financial sector require strengthening. Cyber testing and exercises are an area where significant improvements are needed. Overall, the mission found that the NBG would benefit with an overarching cyber strategy for its financial sector.
Keywords:
Cyber risk regulation; cybersecurity supervision; cyber testing; incident reporting; information sharing; Georgia; Central Bank.; offsite supervision activity; cybersecurity strategy; request of the National Bank of Georgia; information security Act; cybersecurity risk management regulation; Cyber risk; Financial sector; Commercial banks; Operational risk; Auditing; Global
Cover Policy Papers
Implementing Board-Endorsed Recommendations From The 2024 External Evaluation Of The Fund’s Independent Evaluation Office (IEO)
International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department
This paper describes implementation steps related to the board-endorsed recommendations from the Fourth External Evaluation of the Fund's Independent Evaluation Office (The Garcia Silva Report). The Garcia Silva Report brought recommendations in six areas to further improve the IEO’s relevance and effectiveness: (i) Undertaking Early-Stage Evaluations, (ii) Review the IEO’s HR Policy, (iii) Topic Selection, (iv) IEO Product Line, (v) Follow-up process, and (vi) Joint evaluations with other International Financial Institutions' evaluators. Recommendations (i-iv) fall under the IEO’s purview, and recommendation (vi) was not endorsed by the Executive Board. Therefore, this paper focuses on staff’s proposals to enhance the ownership in implementation and the follow-up of Board-endorsed IEO recommendations (recommendation v).
Keywords:
Management Implementation Plan; External Evaluation of the Independent Evaluation Office (IEO); 2024 External Evaluation Report of the IEO; The Garcia Silva Report; IEO product line; IEO Director; transparency policy; evaluation Policy; IEO recommendation; Multilateral development institutions; Auditing; Absorptive capacity; Crisis management; Global
Cover Technical Assistance Reports
Republic of Armenia: Technical Assistance Report-Corporate Income Tax Gap Prediction 2023 Based on Corporate Income Tax Returns
International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
This report presents estimates of predictions of the Corporate Income Tax (CIT) gap for Armenia for 2023. The predicted CIT Gap is based on not-yet audited tax returns. The CIT gap is predicted to be 25.5 to 34.1 percent of potential CIT liability in 2023.
Keywords:
Predicted Corporate Income Tax Gap; Bottom-up approach; Not-yet audited tax returns; Heckman Sample Selection model; Republic of Armenia.; CIT gap; CIT gap estimate; IMF team; gap analysis; IMF short term expert; Corporate income tax; Auditing; Business enterprises; Tax gap; Tax audit performance measurement
Cover IMF Working Papers
Fiscal Risk Sharing in China: Is It Significant and How to Further Improve It?
Fei Han
,
Grace Li Bin
, and
Chenqi Zhou
The COVID-19 pandemic has weakened the fiscal positions of local governments in China, while the recent stress in the Chinese property market has further compounded this issue, calling for stronger fiscal risk sharing among provinces. This paper examines the existing central to local governmental transfer system and its effect on interprovincial risk sharing and redistribution in China. We show that the fiscal transfers have played an important role in risk sharing although their main purpose is still redistribution. We also propose an alternative transfer mechanism with the size of transfers to each province linked to the shocks that the province is facing to enhance the fiscal risk-sharing effect. Using counterfactual simulations, we show that such an alternative mechanism can significantly enhance risk sharing among all provinces against idiosyncratic shocks while maintaining a comparable level of redistribution effect. Intergovernmental reforms and other structural measures could also be considered to further improve policy efficiency and effectiveness.
Keywords:
Risk sharing; redistribution; intergovernmental reform; local government; counterfactual simulation; Annex I. data description; IMF working paper 24/200; LG bond issuance; Fiscal transfers; Fiscal union; COVID-19; Tax refunds
Cover Technical Assistance Reports
Republic of Armenia: Technical Assistance Report-Corporate Income Tax Gap Estimation Based on Operational Audits
International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
This report presents estimates of the Corporate Income Tax (CIT) gap for Armenia for the period 2020–2022. The CIT gap is based on a bottom-up approach using operational audits. The average CIT gap in Armenia is estimated at 26.4-35.2 percent of potential CIT liability.
Keywords:
Republic of Armenia; Corporate Income Tax Gap; Bottom-up approach; Operational audits; Heckman Sample Selection model; Machine learning model; Select cases for future audits.; CIT Gap; CIT gap estimate; A. CIT gap result; CIT gap; Corporate income tax; Auditing; Income; Tax audit performance measurement; Business enterprises
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Vanuatu: 2024 Article IV Consultation-Press Release and Staff Report
International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
The 2024 Article IV Consultation highlights that as Vanuatu was recovering from the multiple natural disasters of 2023, the voluntary liquidation of Air Vanuatu in May 2024 created a major shock with significant effects on growth and business confidence. There is a strong need to address immediate risks to growth and stability, and then redouble efforts to rebuild buffers and tackle structural issues with policy reforms. Fiscal challenges abound and call for urgent and comprehensive action. In the near term, targeted and strategic support is needed to help stabilize the economy, while ensuring fiscal accounts remain under control. Monetary policy is appropriately accommodative but monetary financing needs to be reduced and eventually stopped. The currency basket needs close monitoring. Structural issues remain ever important, and action is needed such as reprioritization of investment needs and integration to the medium-term fiscal strategy, and an increase in efforts to address labor shortages and skills drain.
Keywords:
control environment; article IV consultation mission; recapitalization plan; Vanuatu's authorities; internal audit function; Debt sustainability analysis; Debt sustainability; Pacific Islands; Global; Australia and New Zealand