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Business and Economics > Public Finance

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Cover High-Level Summary Technical Assistance Reports
Paraguay: Public Investment Management Assessment – PIMA and Climate PIMA
Ramon Hurtado Arcos
,
Juan Alberti
,
Eduardo Aldunate
,
Jorge Baldrich
,
Rui Monteiro
, and
Isabel Rial
An IMF team conducted a Public Investment Management Assessment including the module on Climate Change in Paraguay. The team identified strengths related to the recent reforms in the National Public Investment System (SNIP) and several weaknesses along the investment cycle that affect its efficiency. It identified ten high-priority recommendations that could improve PIM processes.
Keywords:
Public investment management; climate change; IMF team; high-priority recommendation; climate Pima; investment cycle; cycle in Paraguay; Public Investment Management Assessment (PIMA); Infrastructure; Public investment spending
Cover Technical Notes and Manuals
Managing Tax Incentives in Developing Countries
Miguel Pecho
,
Stoyan E Markov
,
Philip R Wood
,
Rachel Auclair
, and
Fernando Velayos
This technical note sets out the essential elements to effectively manage tax incentives in developing countries, emphasizing the important role that revenue authorities must play in preventing abuses and revenue leakages. The note presents considerations for a risk-based compliance program on tax incentives that combines various supportive, preventative, and corrective practices and approaches. It also delineates key enablers, such as a whole-of-government approach, robust transparency and accountability practices, and a modern compliance risk management framework.
Keywords:
Tax incentive risks; revenue authorities; whole-of-government approach; governance; transparency and accountability; policy design and legislation; compliance risk management; risk differentiation framework; managing tax incentives; due diligence; Policy design; views ofthe IMF; reporting obligation; Customs authorities; Tax incentives; Semi-autonomous revenue bodies; Special economic zones; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
The Political Economy of Fossil Fuel Subsidy Removal: Evidence from Bolivia and Mexico
Mariza Montes de Oca Leon
,
Achim Hagen
, and
Franziska Holz
We study the impact of fossil fuel subsidy removal on presidential popularity using difference-indifference approaches and a stylized theoretical model. Analyzing macro level data for two subsidy removal events in Mexico and Bolivia in the early 2010s, we find evidence of a negative impact on presidential approval. Our theoretical probabilistic voting model predicts that the decline in popularity is driven by high income groups if subsidies are regressive, and that lack of trust in the government lowers popularity of the removal in all income groups. We confirm these predictions using micro level data for the Mexican subsidy removal event.
Keywords:
Political economy; Fossil fuels; Subsidy removal; removal event; on approval rating; outcome variable; outcome predictor; Energy subsidies; Income; Fuel prices; Non-renewable resources; Gasoline; Caribbean
Cover Regional Economic Outlook, Western Hemisphere, October 2024
Regional Economic Outlook, Western Hemisphere, October 2024
Rebalancing Policies and Pressing on with Reforms
International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.

Abstract

After successfully weathering a series of shocks, most countries in the region are converging to their (tepid) potential. Growth is expected to moderate in late 2024 and 2025 while inflation is projected to continue easing, although gradually. With output and inflation gaps mostly closed but monetary policy still contractionary and public finances in need of strengthening, a further rebalancing of the policy mix is necessary. Fiscal consolidation should advance without delay to rebuild buffers while protecting priority public investment and social spending. This would support the normalization of monetary policy and strengthen credibility and resilience of policy frameworks. Most central banks are well placed to proceed with monetary easing, striking a balance between fending off the risk of reemerging price pressures and avoiding an undue economic contraction. Medium-term growth is expected to remain close to its low historical average, reflecting long-standing, unresolved challenges—including low investment and productivity growth—and shifting demographics. Worrisomely, the ongoing reform agenda is noticeably thin and could lead to a vicious circle of low growth, social discontent, and populist policies. Avoiding this requires pressing on with reforms. Improving governance—by strengthening the rule of law, enhancing government effectiveness, and tackling crime—is a priority that cuts across all areas of growth. Boosting capital accumulation requires improving the business environment, fostering competition, and increasing international trade. Greater and more effective public investment is also needed. Maintaining a dynamic labor force and increasing productivity requires tackling informality and making formal labor markets more flexible, including to adapt to new technologies. Increasing female labor participation can help boost the labor force and offset demographic shifts.

Keywords:
Growth; potential growth; medium-term growth; inflation; risks to growth; risks to inflation; labor markets; inflation expectations; fiscal slippages; fiscal consolidation; fiscal rules; policy mix; geopolitical tensions; harmful trade interventions; public debt; public investment; monetary policy; central banks; monetary easing; exchange rates; neutral rates; structural reforms; governance; rule of law; government effectiveness; crime; capital accumulation; international trade; labor force participation; climate change; green transformation.; IMF staff calculation; gender participation gap; central government debt; dynamics in Latin America; gender disparity; Labor force; Public sector; Caribbean; Central America; South America; Global; Europe
Cover La aduana, una institución clave
La aduana, una institución clave
Fortaleciendo la administración aduanera en un mundo de cambios
Augusto Azael Pérez Azcárraga
,
Tadatsugu Matsudaira
,
Gilles Montagnat-Rentier
,
Janos Nagy
, and
R. James Clark

Abstract

Las administraciones de aduanas ven surgir nuevos retos a medida que aumenta el volumen del comercio internacional, aparece nueva tecnología y cambian los modelo de negocio. Este libro analiza los cambios y desafíos que enfrentan las administraciones de aduanas y propone formas de abordarlos. Describe los problemas que las autoridades deben tener en cuenta a la hora de elaborar su propia hoja de ruta para la modernización de las aduanas.

Keywords:
aduana; cumplimiento tributario; recaudación de impuestos; evasión fiscal; facilitación del comercio; gestión del riesgo aduanero; seguridad de fronteras; comercio; regímenes fiscales; política comercial; ingreso tributario; operadores comerciales; modernización de la aduana; tecnologías digitales; economía del sector público; administración pública; finanzas públicas; desarrollo económico; avances tecnológicos
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Dominican Republic: 2024 Article IV Consultation-Press Release and Staff Report
International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
The 2024 Article IV Consultation explains that a track record of sound policies and institutional policy frameworks has helped the Dominican Republic achieve robust and resilient economic growth and low inflation over the last two decades. Effective policies contributed to a growth moderation that appropriately supported inflation’s rapid and sustained return to its target last year and then aided the recovery, while close monitoring of the financial sector supported macro-financial stability. Planned enhancements to policy frameworks and deepening structural reforms—in particular, comprehensive fiscal and electricity reforms—have the potential to further support stability, competitiveness, and inclusive growth. The financial sector remains resilient and well capitalized, and efforts to bring the regulatory framework up to the latest international standards should continue. The fiscal policy framework and spending and revenue efficiency can be further enhanced by continued improvements to public financial management and further strengthening of revenue administration. Reforms to education and the labor market, alongside further improvements to social outcomes and implementation of climate adaptation and mitigation policies will be critical to support inclusive and resilient growth and continue to reduce vulnerabilities.
Keywords:
article IV consultation discussion; statistics office; inequality construction sector statistics; policy priority; currency of the Dominican Republic; Western Hemisphere department; Public sector; Fiscal stance; Global; Central America
Cover Technical Notes and Manuals
Revenue Authorities and their Boards of Management: Recent Developments
William Joseph Crandall
,
Elizabeth Gavin
,
Maureen Kidd
, and
Andrew R Masters
This technical note provides detailed and updated information on the semi-autonomous Revenue Authority (RA) governance model for revenue administration, a model developed 40 years ago and used by some 35 administrations world-wide. The update is provided through a review of relevant legislation, questionnaire results, and outcomes of a series of seminars. The RA governance model has a unique governance structure that includes a Minister, a board of management, and a Chief Executive Officer - three partners. RAs are set up using specific enabling legislation. Clarity in the language used in the law is critical for establishing the exact roles of the three partners. The board of management is unique in that it usually has a more limited role (due in part to the confidentiality of individual taxpayer information) than a board of directors in a private sector corporation. Emerging issues with these boards are examined, and it is noted that some see the RA board role as becoming more closely aligned with private sector boards of directors. RAs were initially founded on the belief that more nimble HR practices and appropriate funding would result in more robust revenue administration. While it is difficult to establish direct causality between the adoption of the RA governance model and improved revenue administration, practitioners are convinced this is the case and that the HR and funding advantages need to be protected.
Keywords:
Semi-autonomous Revenue Authorities; institutional arrangements for revenue administration; governance model; board of management; management autonomy; RA governance model; RA board role; semi-autonomous revenue authority; board chair; RA board; Revenue laws; Semi-autonomous revenue bodies; Tax administration core functions; Revenue administration transparency and accountability; Australia and New Zealand; Africa; Global; Sub-Saharan Africa
Cover Policy Papers
Review of The Fund’s Capacity Development Strategy—Background Papers
International Monetary Fund. Institute for Capacity Development
This supplement includes five background papers and provides background information on various aspects of capacity development (CD) for the main Board paper, Review of the Fund’s Capacity Development Strategy—Towards a More Flexible, Integrated, and Tailored Model. It is divided into five sections, each consisting of a different background paper. The five sections cover (1) CD Delivery Modalities; (2) Evaluation and Impact; (3) Regional Capacity Development Centers and Field Presence; (4) HR Policies; and (5) Mapping the Fund’s Position vis-à-vis Other CD Providers.
Keywords:
Capacity Development; Technical Assistance; Training; Institution; Priorities; Evaluation; Impact; Field Presence; Regional Capacity Development Training Center; CD Strategy Review; CD department; CD provider; delivery modality; CD staffing model; RCDC CD Delivery; Anti-money laundering and combating the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT); Comparative advantage; Training and development in revenue administration; Global; South America; Asia and Pacific; Sub-Saharan Africa; Maghreb
Cover Таможенные вопросы
Таможенные вопросы
Укрепление таможенной службы в меняющемся мире
Augusto A Perez Azcarraga
,
Tadatsugu Matsudaira
,
Gilles Montagnat-Rentier
,
Janos Nagy
, and
R. James Clark

Abstract

Перед таможенными службами во всем мире встают новые задачи: растущий объем международной торговли, революция в новых технологиях и фундаментальные изменения в бизнес-моделях. Преимущества хорошо функционирующей таможенной администрации очевидны, равно как и необходимость развития эффективных, действенных, справедливых и современных таможенных администраций. Книга «Таможенные вопросы» анализирует многочисленные изменения и проблемы, с которыми сталкиваются таможенные администрации, и предлагают пути их решения. Предлагая разноплановый взгляд на основные аспекты таможенного администрирования, книга служит руководством для директивных органов и должностных лиц таможенных служб при оценке текущего состояния их таможенных систем в целях разработки, совершенствования или продвижения своих планов действий по модернизации таможенной службы.

Keywords:
таможня; соблюдение обязательств по уплате налогов; принудительное взыскание налогов; уклонение от уплаты налогов; обеспечение безопасности границ; торговля; модернизация налоговой службы; государственная служба; государственные финансы; налог на добавленную стоимость
Cover IMF Working Papers
The Role of Structural Fiscal Policy on Female Labor Force Participation in OECD Countries
Miyoko Asai
,
Qiaoe Chen
,
Mr. Jiro Honda
,
Xingwei Hu
, and
Qianqian Zhang
This paper examines the role of structural fiscal policies to promote female labor force participation and reduce gender gaps in labor markets in 26 OECD countries from 2000 to 2019. As both female labor force participation and many explanatory/control variables clearly exhibit non-stationarity (potentially leading to spurious regression results), we employ a panel vector error-correction model, in contrast with most previous empirical studies on this matter. Our analyses confirm statistically significant positive impacts of government spending on (1) early childcare and education, (2) active labor market programs, and (3) unemployment benefits, all of which would help encourage women to enter the labor force, while (4) an increase in relative tax rate on second earner could have negative impact on female labor force participation.
Keywords:
Fiscal Policy; Gender; Labor Force; OECD; panel unit root; panel vector error-correction model; robustness test; panel VECM result; female LFPR; age group; regression analysis; positive correlation; standard deviation; Women; Active labor market policies; Gender diversity; Unemployment benefits; Global