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Business and Economics > Investments: Stocks

You are looking at 1 - 3 of 3 items for :

  • Type: Journal Issue x
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Cover Selected Issues Papers
Revamping the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) Fiscal Framework
Can Sever
and
Athene Laws
This paper aims to provide a broad perspective on the WAEMU fiscal framework. Based on backward looking exercises and forward looking scenarios, it shows that (i) repeated fiscal slippages and historically large stock flow adjustments contributed to the surge in the WAEMU public debt, and (ii) stock flow adjustments can have significant effects on the WAEMU debt dynamics going forward. This paper also discusses that it is essential and urgent to reintroduce the fiscal rules and the Convergence Pact and to enhance the rules. Revamping the fiscal rules should focus on introducing a correction mechanism (which could contain surges in debt in the future) and an escape clause (which would enhance fiscal discipline and predictability), as well as capturing the extensive extra-budgetary and below-the-line operations and strengthening the enforcement mechanism. Any consideration to changing the fiscal deficit target should also encompass addressing extra-budgetary and below-the-line transactions (for example by changing the definition of the deficit). It is not appropriate to increase the debt ceiling.
Keywords:
Fiscal policy; fiscal rules; fiscal governance; PFM; fiscal coordination; monetary unions; WAEMU; stock flow adjustments; flow adjustment; debt dynamics scenario; deficit target; scenario assumption; deficit measure; deficit combination; so called SFA; Government debt management; Debt sustainability analysis; Debt limits; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Evaluating the Impact of Non-Financial IMF Programs Using the Synthetic Control Method
Ms. Monique Newiak
and
Tim Willems
We use the Synthetic Control Method to study the effect of IMF advice on economic growth, inflation, and investment. The analysis exploits the existence of IMF programs that do not involve any financing (Policy Support Instruments, “PSIs”). This enables us to focus on the effects of IMF monitoring, advice, and approval (as opposed to direct financial assistance). In addition, countries with non-financial programs are typically not crisis-struck – thereby mitigating the reverse causality problem and facilitating the construction of counterfactuals. Results suggest that treated countries add about 1 percentage point in annual real GDP per capita growth, with inflation being lower by some 3 percentage points per year. While we do not find evidence for an impact on total investment and the resulting capital stock, PSI-treatment does seem to stimulate foreign direct investment.
Keywords:
WP; adverse selection; absolute value; International Monetary Fund; Program-evaluation; Economic growth; Inflation; Investment; IMF operations; IMF loan-participation rate; treatment effect; IMF's executive board; PSI review; traditional IMF program; structural adjustment; causal effect of IMF-program; effectiveness of IMF-program; adoption of an IMF-program; types of IMF-engagement; Stocks; Consumer price indexes; Sub-Saharan Africa
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Senegal: Enhanced Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative Completion Point Document
International Monetary Fund
This paper examines the completion point document for Senegal’s Enhanced Initiative for Heavily Indebted Poor Countries. Senegal could reach the completion point on the basis of a full poverty reduction strategy and sound macroeconomic policies, as well as specific structural and social reforms set out in the decision point document. Major reforms have been advancing in the energy and groundnut sectors and in the postal and pension systems, and institutional improvements in public financial management toward better controls and transparency have been made and are continuing.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; consumer price inflation; Senegal; staff appraisal; reform effort; debt-to-export ratio; World Bank's International Development Association; Debt relief; Debt service; Stocks; Exports; West Africa