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Business and Economics > Investments: Stocks

You are looking at 1 - 10 of 14 items for :

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Cover IMF Working Papers
Trends in Fiscal Transparency: Evidence from a New Database of the Coverage of Fiscal Reporting
Rachel F Wang
,
Mr. Timothy C Irwin
, and
Lewis K Murara
Although there are several measures of fiscal transparency, none provides satisfactory information on certain issues of macroeconomic relevance, including whether fiscal data are available for all of general government, whether the government reports a balance sheet, and whether spending and revenue are reported on a cash or accrual basis. Drawing on government finance statistics reported to the IMF, this paper presents a new database of fiscal transparency for 186 countries in 2003–13 and derives from it indices of the overall comprehensiveness of fiscal statistics as well as specific indices of the coverage of public institutions, fiscal flows, and fiscal stocks, respectively. It finds evidence of gradual improvement, most notably in the coverage of institutions, but most countries’ reporting remains far from comprehensive
Keywords:
WP; government; government operation; country; central government; government Finance Statistics Manual; public finance; budgets; accounts; fiscal transparency; fiscal reporting; government finance statistics; General government; local government; government assets; government statistics; government's account; budgetary central government; correlation coefficient; balance-sheet subtotal; Financial statements; Stocks; Europe; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
The Role of Country Concentration in the International Portfolio Investment Positions for the European Union Members
Iuliia Brushko
and
Ms. Yuko Hashimoto
This paper examines the international portfolio flows of European Union. Our analysis includes three dimensions: (1) the level of countries portfolio investment concentration (those who invest evenly among counterparties versus those who invest more heavily in some counterparties); (2) the share of total portfolio investment assets invested at the destination; and (3) pre- and during the crisis periods. We find that portfolio investment positions respond differently to macroeconomic variables depending on the level of investment concentration and the share of invested assets. In particular, variables of health of the financial system become important determinants for portfolio investment during the crisis.
Keywords:
WP; stock index; GDP; interest rate; stock index growth; International Portfolio; Portfolio Flows; Portfolio Concentration; portfolio investment; concentration index; investment position; GDP ratio; Stocks; Long term interest rates; Short term interest rates; Unemployment rate; Real effective exchange rates; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
German-Central European Supply Chain-Cluster Report: Staff Report, First Background Note, Second Background Note, Third Background Note
International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
This paper discusses key findings of the Cluster Report on German-Central European Supply Chain (GCESC). Since the 1990s, a GCESC has evolved, manufacturing goods for export to the rest of the world. Reflecting this, bilateral trade linkages between Germany and the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and the Slovak Republic (CE4) have expanded rapidly. Participation in the GCESC has led to technology transfers to CE4 countries and accelerated income convergence. Export growth in knowledge-intensive sectors has been particularly rapid in the CE4. It is also observed that complementarities between supply chain activities and domestic production have led to greater synchronization of the business cycle among GCESC countries.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; GDP; CE4 FDI; Germany; CE4 Countries Based; banking; trade linkage; stock position; exports to Germany; FDI stock; aggregate demand demand shock; safe haven status; Exports; Foreign direct investment; Financial statements; Spillovers; Stocks; Global; Asia and Pacific; Europe
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Afghanistan: HIPC Initiative Paper
International Monetary Fund
This report examines the Heavily-Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative paper on Afghanistan. Afghanistan has made sufficient progress in meeting the completion point triggers, despite a challenging environment during the HIPC interim period, marked by increasing insecurity in parts of the country and the global fuel and food crisis. It has fully implemented the triggers on preparing and implementing a poverty reduction strategy paper, maintaining a stable macroeconomic environment, improving debt management and public financial and expenditure management, and improving the business environment.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; current account; C.A.R. authorities; debt management; fiscal year; government budget; real GDP; exchange rate; NPV terms; HIPC assistance; completion point; balance of payments; budget execution; sensitivity analysis; Debt relief; Debt service; Debt service ratios; Debt reduction; Stocks; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Regional Financial Spillovers Across Europe: A Global VAR Analysis
Ms. Silvia Sgherri
and
Mr. Alessandro Galesi
The recent financial crisis raises important issues about the transmission of financial shocks across borders. In this paper, a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model is constructed to assess the relevance of international spillovers following a historical slowdown in U.S. equity prices. The GVAR model contains 27 country-specific models, including the United States, 17 European advanced economies, and 9 European emerging economies. Each country model is linked to the others by a set of country-specific foreign variables, computed using bilateral bank lending exposures. Results reveal considerable comovements of equity prices across mature financial markets. However, the effects on credit growth are found to be country-specific. Evidence indicates that asset prices are the main channel through which-in the short run-financial shocks are transmitted internationally, while the contribution of other variables-like the cost and quantity of credit-becomes more important over longer horizons.
Keywords:
WP; rate of growth; Global VAR; Macro-Financial Linkages; International Financial Spillovers; equity price; foreign variable; coefficient estimate; estimation procedure; price growth; Vector autoregression; Stocks; Interbank rates; Credit; Foreign banks; Western Europe; Baltics; Global; Europe
Cover IMF Working Papers
Capital Flows to Central and Eastern Europe
Mr. Gian M Milesi-Ferretti
and
Mr. Philip R. Lane
We examine the evolution of the net external asset positions of Central and Eastern Europe (CEEC) countries over the past decade, with a strong emphasis on the composition of their international balance sheets. We assess the extent of their international financial integration, compared with the advanced economies and other emerging markets, and highlight the salient features of their external capital structure in terms of the relative importance of FDI, portfolio equity, and external debt. In addition, we briefly describe the country and currency composition of their external liabilities. Finally, we explore the implications of the accumulated stock of external liabilities for future trade and current account balances.
Keywords:
WP; liability; emerging market; current account
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Nicaragua: Enhanced Initiative for Heavily Indebted Poor Countries—Completion Point Document
International Monetary Fund
The government has fully complied with all the elements of the fourth floating completion point condition, which calls for the implementation of reforms to develop human capital and social protection. Investment in human capital development represents the second pillar of Nicaragua’s Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (PRSP). The policy and reform conditions for reaching the completion point were met by end-2003, except for one condition pertaining to the divestiture of the generating units of the power utility, for which a waiver is recommended.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; Nicaraguan authorities; long-term debt; private sector; enhanced HIPC Initiative; government's strategy; HIPC assistance; HIPC debt relief; NPV terms; organic law; supervisory authority; rate of return; authorities' medium; exports of goods; Debt service; Debt relief; Exports; Stocks; Central America; Caribbean; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Real Convergence to EU Income Levels: Central Europe From 1990 to the Long Term
Mr. Guorong Jiang
,
Mr. Peter Doyle
, and
Louis Kuijs
The paper discusses factors likely to shape the nature and pace of economic growth of five Central European transition countries now engaged in accession to the European Union. It is organized around the standard growth accounting framework. The paper reviews the growth of these countries since 1990 and draws lessons from the growth experiences of other regions since the 1950s, shedding light on long-term growth prospects for these countries. It discusses a set of growth calculations and highlights the key uncertainties in them.
Keywords:
WP; TFP growth; GDP ratio; State intervention; TFP result; Transition; EU accession; growth; growth accounting; Central Europe; investment ratio; TFP performance; output ratio; investment climate; Total factor productivity; Stocks; Productivity; Production growth; Western Europe; East Asia; Eastern Europe; Europe
Cover IMF Working Papers
Do Asset Prices in Transition Countries Contain Information About Future Economic Activity?
Mr. Torsten M Sloek
and
Mr. Peter F. Christoffersen
There is ample empirical evidence for developed economies that asset prices contain information about future economic developments. But is this also the case in transition economies? Using a panel of monthly data for the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Russia, Slovakia, and Slovenia for the period 1994-1999 it is shown that historical values for interest rates, exchange rates, and stock prices signal future movements in real economic activity. This result has significant implications for policymakers, and a composite leading indicator based on the three asset prices is presented, which contains information about the future development of economic activity.
Keywords:
WP; asset price; asset; price; Asset prices in transition countries; Leading indicator analysis; Tracking portfolio; way asset market; transition economy; asset return; market infrastructure; IP terms; leading indicator properties; asset prices in transition economy; current asset; market efficiency; market instrument; Industrial production; Asset prices; Cyclical indicators; Stocks; Stock markets; Eastern Europe
Cover IMF Working Papers
Financial Market Spillovers in Transition Economies
Ms. Ratna Sahay
and
Mr. R. G Gelos
This paper examines financial market comovements across European transition economies and compares their experience to that of their regions. Correlations in monthly indices of exchange market pressures can partly be explained by direct trade linkages, but not by measures of other fundamentals. Higher-frequency data during three crisis periods reveals the presence of structural breaks in the relationship between exchange-, but not stock markets. While the reaction of markets during the Asian and Czech crises is muted, the pattern of high-frequency spillovers during the Russian crisis looks very similar to that observed in other regions during turbulent times.
Keywords:
WP; financial market; market pressure; pressure index; exchange market; Stock Markets; contagion; transition economies; speculative attacks; impulse response; pressures well; cross-market linkage; Currency markets; Stocks; Exchange rate arrangements; Exchange rates; Asia and Pacific