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Business and Economics > Investments: Stocks

You are looking at 1 - 4 of 4 items for :

  • Type: Journal Issue x
  • National Budget, Deficit, and Debt: General x
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Cover IMF Working Papers
Government Insurance Against Natural Disasters: An Application to the ECCU
Mr. Alejandro D Guerson
This paper estimates insurance requirements against natural disasters (NDs) in the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union (ECCU) using an insurance layering framework. The layers include a government saving fund, as well as market instruments. Each layer is calibrated to cover estimated fiscal cost of NDs according to intensity and expected damage. The results indicate that ECCU countries could target saving fund stocks for relativelly smaller and more frequent events in the range of 6-12 percent of GDP, enough to cover 95 percent of NDs’ fiscal costs. To ensure financially-sustainable saving funds with a low probability of depletion, this requires annual budget savings in the range os 0.5 to 1.9 percent of GDP per year. Additional coverage could be obtained with market instruments for large and less frequent events, albeit at a significant cost.The results are based on a Monte-Carlo experiment that simulates natural disaster shocks and their impact on output and government finances.
Keywords:
ECCU; fiscal cycles; Monte Carlo experiment; debt sustainability.; WP; SF stock; ECCU country; CCRIF payout; financing flow; annual budget; cost composition; insurance cost; Natural disasters; debt sustainability; payout amount; rate of return; Insurance; Standing facilities; Stocks; Caribbean
Cover IMF Working Papers
Indonesia's Public Wealth: A Balance Sheet Approach to Fiscal Policy Analysis
Ms. Majdeline El Rayess
,
Avril Halstead
,
Jason Harris
,
Mr. John Ralyea
, and
Alexander F. Tieman
Public sector balance sheets (PSBS) provide a framework for comprehensive and deep analysis of fiscal risks and policies. To illustrate these benefits, this paper shows how PSBS analysis can be applied to assess risks to Indonesia’s public sector stemming from its public corporations. The paper also shows that the government’s plans to finance a ramp-up in public investment with additional tax revenue increases both economic growth and public wealth.
Keywords:
WP; asset; GDP; real GDP; investment; balance sheet; Public Sector Balance Sheet; Intertemporal Fiscal Balances; Public Investment; Indonesia.; asset revaluation; return on equity; public sector; baseline GDP; nonfinancial public corporation asset; cash flow; asset instrument; current ratio; Business enterprises; Financial statements; Public sector; Public investment spending; Stocks
Cover IMF Working Papers
Trends in Fiscal Transparency: Evidence from a New Database of the Coverage of Fiscal Reporting
Rachel F Wang
,
Mr. Timothy C Irwin
, and
Lewis K Murara
Although there are several measures of fiscal transparency, none provides satisfactory information on certain issues of macroeconomic relevance, including whether fiscal data are available for all of general government, whether the government reports a balance sheet, and whether spending and revenue are reported on a cash or accrual basis. Drawing on government finance statistics reported to the IMF, this paper presents a new database of fiscal transparency for 186 countries in 2003–13 and derives from it indices of the overall comprehensiveness of fiscal statistics as well as specific indices of the coverage of public institutions, fiscal flows, and fiscal stocks, respectively. It finds evidence of gradual improvement, most notably in the coverage of institutions, but most countries’ reporting remains far from comprehensive
Keywords:
WP; government; government operation; country; central government; government Finance Statistics Manual; public finance; budgets; accounts; fiscal transparency; fiscal reporting; government finance statistics; General government; local government; government assets; government statistics; government's account; budgetary central government; correlation coefficient; balance-sheet subtotal; Financial statements; Stocks; Europe; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Fiscal Transparency and the Performance of Government Financial Assets
Mr. Mike Seiferling
and
Mr. Shamsuddin Tareq
Stock-flow adjustments are typically measured as the difference between changes in gross debt and deficits. These are interpreted as a proxy for unexplained fiscal discrepancies, and often associated with a lack of fiscal transparency. However, such measures fail to capture the role of financial assets and valuation changes and therefore do not correctly predict fiscal transparency. The purpose of this paper is to provide a more detailed exposition of stock-flow residuals and the relationship with fiscal transparency, highlighting government acquisition of equities and investment fund shares and their performance in secondary markets. The results suggest that the performance of government equity portfolios correlates with fiscal transparency to the extent that fully transparent governments are expected to generate between 6 and 8 percent higher returns on their equity portfolios than others. These findings suggest that the performance of government assets may be a promising area for future research of fiscal transparency and stock-flow residuals.
Keywords:
WP; stock-flow adjustments; holding gains on government financial assets; fiscal transparency; government portfolios of equities and investment fund shares; public finance; equity portfolio; General government financial asset volume change density; government equities portfolio; government financial assets; net acquisition; gross debt; Stocks; Stock markets; Securities; Financial statements