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International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
A new Government of National Unity (GNU) has been in place since June 2024, which the markets have welcomed. The GNU faces difficult challenges: declining GDP per capita, high unemployment, poverty and inequality, and rising public debt and debt service, which crowd out other urgent spending needs. Its fresh mandate represents an opportunity to pursue ambitious reforms to safeguard macroeconomic stability and address these challenges, placing the economy on a path toward higher, more inclusive, and greener growth.
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
The authorities have requested a three-month extension of the Extended Credit Facility (ECF) arrangement set to expire on January 20, 2025. The three-year arrangement was approved by the Executive Board on January 21, 2022, with access of SDR 324.0 million (200 percent of quota). The extension seeks to allow sufficient time to complete the sixth (and final) review. The additional time needed would allow: (i) the authorities to complete remaining reforms; (ii) staff and the authorities to reach understandings on appropriate policies to support the completion of the 6th ECF review for the Republic of Congo, prepare documents and circulate them for Board consideration; and (iii) the Executive Board to discuss the review of regional policies and policy assurances for CEMAC, which is critical for the success of Congo’s Fund-supported program.
Inter-American Center of Tax Administrations
,
International Monetary Fund
,
Intra-European Organisation of Tax Administrations
, and
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development

Abstract

This VITARA Reference Guide provides a solid understanding of audit as a key tool available to a tax administration to promote and enforce compliance. The guide explains international good practices in designing and managing an effective audit program including the necessary legal powers, audit-related organization, and governance arrangements as well as the staff expertise and resources needed for audit and auditor performance evaluation. It focuses on practical issues such as how audit cases are selected, the different types and scope of audit, and audit methods that are available to staff. It also discusses the concepts of audit integrity, audit quality assurance, and the Random Audit Program as well as electronic audit tools and how they can be used in conducting audits. A potential annual operational performance dashboard that can be implemented to allow program monitoring throughout the fiscal year is also included. Finally, the guide highlights the key components of an audit process.

International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
The Gambia hosted the 15th Summit of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) in early May 2024—the second largest intergovernmental organization in the world. Economic recovery is strengthening, while inflation has trended down, albeit slowly. Despite strong revenue collection efforts, the fiscal outcome for 2024H1 was weighed down by the costs of hosting the OIC Summit and emergency support to the National Water and Electricity Corporation (NAWEC). The foreign exchange market continues to function smoothly, and foreign reserves remain at a comfortable level. Structural reforms are advancing. The economic outlook is subject to large downside risks, particularly owing to global geopolitical tensions.
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
Tajikistan has continued to navigate the challenging external environment well. Real GDP rose 8.4 percent during January-September 2024, while inflation remained well-contained at 3.1 percent (y/y) in September. Robust remittances have boosted the external position, with FX reserves at more than 7 months’ import coverage, while prudent fiscal implementation has anchored a continued reduction in public debt. The banking sector remains stable amid steady growth in credit aggregates. Geopolitical fragmentation and regional tensions create uncertainty over the medium-term outlook.
International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
This paper presents Republic of Kosovo’s 2024 Article IV Consultation and Third Reviews under the Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) and the Arrangement under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF). Kosovo’s economic performance has been strong, with growth accelerating in 2024 and inflation falling sharply. The near-term outlook is favorable despite some downside risks. The authorities continue to show strong performance under both programs. All quantitative targets and structural conditions for the completion of the Third Review under the SBA were met. Most RSF Reform Measures have been completed. Fiscal policy should continue to balance sustainability and development objectives and be framed within a solid, rules-based fiscal framework. The 2025 budget envisages a fiscal impulse with full-year implementation of spending measures announced in 2024, a proposed increase in public wages, and the expected improvement in public investment execution. Structural reforms are urgently needed to raise potential growth. Priority should be given to further advancing green reforms and decarbonization, implementing policies to boost female labor-force participation, attracting foreign capital—including from the diaspora—into productive sectors of the economy, and accelerating digitalization.
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
The 2024 Article IV Consultation discusses that United Arab Emirates (UAE) economic growth remains strong, driven by robust domestic activity. Non-hydrocarbon growth has benefitted from healthy tourism flows and increased activity in the construction, manufacturing, and financial services sectors. The UAE has continued to experience strong capital inflows, reflecting commodity revenue, safe haven flows, and investment drawn by social and business-friendly reforms. This has boosted central bank foreign reserves and surplus domestic liquidity. Bank balance sheets have strengthened further, with capital buffers well above regulatory minima, and credit has continued to grow despite policy interest rate hikes. The outlook is subject to uncertainty and external risks, but large sovereign buffers help mitigate vulnerabilities. Intensification of geopolitical tensions and geoeconomics fragmentation, or an abrupt global slowdown, sharp correction in global asset prices, or commodity price volatility could lead to a reduction in the flow of goods, capital, and tourism.
Peter Windsor
,
Suzette J Vogelsang
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Christiaan Henning
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Kerwin Martin
,
Elias Omondi
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Gerardo Rubio
, and
Jooste Steynberg
International standards and best practice supports the implementation of a risk-based solvency regime in the regulation and supervision of insurers. Several emerging market and developing economies are transitioning to such a solvency regime or planning to do so. This paper discusses Kenya, Mexico, and South Africa’s journey to putting in place a risk-based solvency regime which had several common elements notwithstanding significantly different insurance sectors. The transition was a multi-year project requiring dedicated additional resources; restructuring of the regulator, including redesigning supervisory processes and tools and upgrading information technology systems; and significantly greater coordination between the regulator and the insurance industry.
International Monetary Fund. Statistics Dept.
The mission worked with officials of the Macroprudential Supervision Department (MSD) of the State Bank of Vietnam (CBS) to enhance the compilation and reporting of financial soundness indicators (FSIs) for deposit takers (DTs). The mission reviewed source data, prepared new spreadsheets, and implemented updated FSIs report forms in line with the 2019 FSIs Compilation Guide. The mission also discussed the potential for compiling FSIs for the rapidly growing insurance sector in Vietnam. Alongside these improvements, the SBV will be able to produce updated and improved FSIs for financial sector surveillance.
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Abstract

Sub-Saharan African countries are implementing difficult and much needed reforms to restore macroeconomic stability, and while overall imbalances have started to narrow, the picture is varied. Policymakers face three main hurdles. First, regional growth, at a projected 3.6 percent in 2024, is generally subdued and uneven, although it is expected to recover modestly next year to 4.2 percent. Second, financing conditions continue to be tight. Third, the complex interplay of poverty, scarce opportunities, and weak governance--compounded by a higher cost of living and short-term hardships linked to macroeconomic adjustment--are fueling social frustration. Within this environment, policymakers face a difficult balancing act in striving for macroeconomic stability while also working to address development needs and ensure that reforms are socially and politically acceptable. Protecting the most vulnerable from the costs of adjustment and realizing reforms that create sufficient jobs will be critical to mobilize public support.