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Business and Economics > Finance: General

You are looking at 1 - 10 of 485 items for :

  • Type: Journal Issue x
  • Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill x
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Cover Global Financial Stability Notes
Fund Investor Types and Bond Market Volatility
Benjamin Mosk
,
Felix Suntheim
,
Yuhua Cai
, and
Anna-Theresa Helmke
This note explores the connection between the varied investor profiles of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and open-ended mutual funds (OEMFs) and the return volatility of the securities they hold. Based on the security-level data of US ETF and OEMF holdings, the analysis suggests that, on aggregate, a higher ETF ownership share may be associated with lower bond return volatility. However, there is a stark divergence between the behavior of institutional and retail ETF investors and their impact on the underlying market. When a larger share of a bond is owned by institutional investors through ETFs, its volatility tends to be higher. Conversely, retail investors tend to offset this impact of institutional investors. This disparity is not evident for OEMFs.
Keywords:
Global Financial Stability; Bond Market Volatility; Exchange-Traded Funds; Open-Ended Mutual Funds; Institutional Investors; Retail Investors; Market Stress; ETF share; ownership share; fund investor type; Securities markets; Corporate bonds; Bonds; Mutual funds; Financial sector stability; Global
Cover Global Financial Stability Notes
Pension Funds and Financial Stability
This Global Financial Stability Note examines the growth of the pension fund sector and the potential financial stability implications. Historically, pension funds have been seen as a contributor to financial stability because of their long-term and well-diversified liabilities. However, the sector has undergone significant structural shifts accelerated by a prolonged period of low interest rates, increasing its exposure to traditional risks while introducing emerging risks; this is reflected in growing intra-financial sector interconnectedness and exposure to long-term sovereign bonds. The recent transition to higher interest rates should be positive for the pension sector, albeit its pace and abruptness has been associated with liquidity stress and contagion risks in some countries.
Keywords:
Pension Funds; Financial Stability; Assets; Risks; Pension Plans; major pension fund sector; IMF Library; major pension savings market; structural liquidity; asset-liability duration mismatch; risk analysis; Pension spending; Pensions; Financial sector stability; Liquidity risk; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Pension Reform and Stock Market Development
Shujaat Khan
,
Bo Li
, and
Yunhui Zhao
We highlight the strong connection between developing fully-funded, individually-owned, collectively-managed, mandatory/incentivized (FICMI) pension schemes and the development of domestic stock markets. We do so by building a stylized model and complementing the analysis with cross-country empirical analysis and case studies. We also highlight the challenges of individual impatience, network externalities, and coordination failure in long-term equity investments, which are crucial for stock market development and technological innovation. We find that FICMI pension schemes—when sufficiently wide in coverage and large in size—can serve as coordination devices to support long-term equity investments. Such investments will not only promote domestic stock market development and make it easier for firms to raise long-term equity capital, therefore supporting long-term economic growth, but also enhance financial inclusion and enable more households to benefit from the overall economic development, therefore contributing to inclusive growth. Moreover, we find that the introduction of FICMI pension schemes can impact household savings in two ways: first, FICMI pension can increase household savings through “forced/incentivized” savings channel, where households save too little without FICMI pension (such as in many EMDEs); and second, FICMI pension can decrease household savings and increase household consumption by reducing non-pension savings and decreasing precautionary savings, where households save too much without FICMI pension (such as in China). In both cases, FICMI pension schemes can help move the economy closer to the optimal level of household savings, and may also help improve the structure of such savings. Finally, we discuss the enabling conditions (such as a strong political commitment to the reform and a well-designed fiscal strategy for financing the transition) and policy design for FICMI pension schemes.
Keywords:
Pension Reforms; Stock Market Development; Equity Financing; Innovation' Financial Inclusion; Intertemporal Optimization; Public Pensions; Funded and Private Pensions; FICMI pension schemes; household saving; savings channel; IMF working paper No. 25/49; Pension spending; Pensions; Stock markets; Pension reform; Capital markets; East Asia
Cover Technical Assistance Reports
Colombia: Technical Assistance Report-Foreign Exchange Market Development and Regulatory Framework Review
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
This report provides an overview of the technical assistance provided by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to the Banco de la República to support the authorities in reviewing the regulatory framework and formulating development strategies for the foreign exchange market.
Keywords:
Currency internationalization; regulatory framework; foreign exchange market development; Colombia.; FX Market development strategy; FX channeling; Banco de la República; IMF's Monetary; Currency markets; Currencies; Exchange rate risk; Exchange rates; Global
Cover Technical Assistance Reports
Seychelles: Technical Assistance Report-Macroprudential Stress Testing and Climate Risk Analysis
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
The Technical Assistance (TA) mission, conducted in Victoria, Seychelles, from May 2 to 17, 2023, assisted authorities with macroprudential stress testing and climate risk analysis. The stress testing focused on strengthening the solvency and liquidity frameworks: (i) for solvency, considering credit and foreign exchange risks to design robust scenarios, applying econometric techniques to enhance their risk assessment, and (ii) for the liquidity stress test, enhancing the cash flow analyses utilized by the authorities. For the climate risk analysis framework, the mission reviewed essential components, identified data sources, and provided hands-on training for climate risk assessment. Recommendations include fostering collaboration within CBB and other agencies, better leveraging available data, and improving data collection for stress testing and climate risk analysis. The CBS is expected to advance its framework and address data challenges to implement stress testing and climate risk analysis initiatives effectively.
Keywords:
Climate change; Climate scenario analysis; Environment; Financial sector policy and analysis; Liquidity stress testing; Macroprudential stress testing; Natural disasters; Solvency stress testing' Seychelles.; IMF stress; Department mission; Climate risk analysis diagnosis; mission Climate risk analysis component; IMF's Monetary; Loans; Nonperforming loans; Stress testing; Credit risk; Global
Cover Policy Papers
Considerations for the Comprehensive Review of Access Limits
International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department
,
International Monetary Fund. Finance Dept.
, and
International Monetary Fund. Legal Dept.
This paper provides background for an informal discussion to engage with Executive Directors, held on November 26, 2024, on the Comprehensive Review of GRA Access Limits. The General Resources Account (GRA) access limits are part of the Fund’s risk management framework. They help maintain a balance between the need to: (i) ensure that members have confidence in the availability of Fund financing; and (ii) preserve liquidity and the revolving nature of the Fund’s resources.
Keywords:
risk management framework; GRA lending commitment; transparency policy; managing transition; enterprise risk consideration; risk tolerance; financing needs; Credit; Liquidity; Credit risk; COVID-19; Global
Cover Policy Papers
2024 Review Of The Fund’s Transparency Policy And Open Archives Policy
International Monetary Fund. Legal Dept.
,
International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department
,
International Monetary Fund. Policy Development and Review Dept.
, and
International Monetary Fund. Secretary's Department
On November 15, 2024, the IMF’s Executive Board concluded the Review of the IMF’s Transparency Policy and Open Archives Policy and approved a number of reforms. As an international institution, making important documents available to the public on timely basis enhances the IMF’s credibility, accountability, and effectiveness and is critical to fulfill its mandate of promoting global economic and financial stability. While transparency at the IMF is achieved through a range of policies and practices, the Transparency Policy and the Open Archives Policy form the core elements of the IMF’s transparency framework. The Fund has come a long way since the inception of these policies in the early nineties. Most Board documents are now published, published more quickly, and under more consistent and evenhanded application of modification rules. The information available in the Fund’s archives has increased and is more easily accessible to the public. While experience suggests that these policies are effective in delivering on their objectives, the landscape in which the Fund operates has evolved since these policies were last reviewed in 2013. In a more interconnected and shock-prone world the pace with which policymakers need to make decisions has accelerated and the expectations of stakeholders on the availability and timeliness of the Fund’s analysis and policy advice has grown. Against this backdrop, the 2024 Review of the IMF’s Transparency Policy and Open Archives Policy focuses on targeted reforms to (i) support faster publication of board documents and communications of Board’s decisions; (ii) strengthen the rules and processes to modify Board documents prior to publication; and (iii) allow faster release of some documents in the Fund’s archives accessible to the public. The reforms further clarify the scope and objectives of these policies, their implementation processes, and how to strengthen knowledge sharing. The review was supported by data analysis as well as surveys and consultations with key stakeholders, including Executive Directors, country authorities, IMF missions chiefs, and civil society organizations as detailed in the three background papers accompanying this 2024 review.
Keywords:
Accountability; Archives; Communication; Independence; Lending; Modification Rules; Publication; Surveillance Transparency; TRANSPARENCY Policy; staff report; country staff report; Transparency Policy review; policy recommendation; Reputational risk; Poverty reduction strategy; Multilateral development institutions; Financial Sector Assessment Program; Global
Cover High-Level Summary Technical Assistance Reports
India: Review and Evaluation of the Reserve Bank of India’s Stress Test Model Framework
Marco Gross
and
Wei Sun
This report provides a brief summary of the purpose and findings of a technical assistance (TA) mission that was intended to review and evaluate the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)’s stress test model suite, which took place in April 2023. The RBI’s model suite was found to be strong and well developed in numerous respects. The most noteworthy recommendations pertain to credit risk, market risk, and macro-financial scenario design. A detailed list of 28 recommendations spanning all areas was left with the RBI. A detailed TA report accompanies this brief summary report.
Keywords:
Bank solvency risk analysis; liquidity risk analysis; contagion analysis; stress test model framework; IMF team; RBI's model suite; TA mission; summary report; Stress testing; Market risk
Cover Technical Assistance Reports
Jamaica: Technical Assistance Report-Systemic Risk Monitoring
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
The technical assistance mission aimed to build capacity to enhance financial stability analyses and assessments at the Bank of Jamaica (BOJ). It reviewed the latest available Financial Stability Report (FSR) and the analytical toolkit. In particular, the mission assisted the BOJ in estimating sectoral credit risk models to enhance the forward-looking element of its financial stability assessment. The mission explained the Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) approach and provided initial estimates for five sectoral credit risk models, including mortgages to households, personal loans, corporate loans for tourism, corporate loans for construction, and other corporate loans. Additionally, the mission covered topics such as financial stability indicators, credit risk, stress testing, insurance and pension balance sheets, climate risk, interconnectedness, and contagion risk. Several recommendations were provided, covering the FSR, methodological work on the financial stability analytical toolkit, internal and external communication, and data sources and their management. The mission concluded that financial stability should be regarded as equally important as monetary policy and supervision. It emphasized the need for a detailed production plan for the FSR, a comprehensive communication strategy, and the organization of all data in a single data warehouse to support the financial stability analytical toolkit. The mission also highlighted the importance of improving non-bank analyses and regularly reporting on emerging risks, such as climate and cyber risks.
Keywords:
Financial stability; financial stability report; systemic risk; stress testing; credit risk modeling; Jamaica.; BOJ data management system; BOJ stress; BOJ website; BOJ credit risk stress tests; market risk analysis; BOJ absorption ratio; Financial sector stability; Credit risk; Market risk; Financial sector risk; Caribbean
Cover Technical Assistance Reports
India: Technical Assistance Report-Review and Evaluation of the Reserve Bank of India’s Stress Test Model Framework
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
This report summarizes the content and findings of a technical assistance (TA) mission that was reviewing and evaluating the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)’s stress test model suite. The RBI’s model suite was found to be strong and well developed in numerous respects. The most noteworthy recommendations pertain to credit risk, market risk, and macro-financial scenario design. A detailed list of recommendations spanning all areas was left with the RBI.
Keywords:
Bank solvency risk analysis; liquidity risk analysis; contagion analysis; India.; IMF TA mission member; CD recipient; revaluation calculation; stress test model framework; executive director Dr. O. P. Mall; Stress testing; Market risk; Credit risk; Nonperforming loans; Credit; Global