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Business and Economics > Budgeting

You are looking at 1 - 10 of 17 items for :

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Cover IMF How To Notes
How to Make the Management of Public Finances Climate-Sensitive—“Green PFM”
Ozlem Aydin Sakrak
,
Bryn Battersby
,
Mr. Fabien Gonguet
,
Mr. Claude P Wendling
,
Jacques Charaoui
,
Murray Petrie
, and
Suphachol Suphachalasai
This How to Note develops the “green public financial management (PFM)” framework briefly outlined in an earlier Staff Climate Note (2021/002, published in August 2021). It illustrates, how climate change and environmental concerns can be mainstreamed into government’s institutional arrangements in place to facilitate the implementation of fiscal policies. It provides numerous country examples covering possible entry points for green PFM – phases in the budget cycle (strategic planning and fiscal framework, budget preparation, budget execution and accounting, control, and audit), legal framework or issues that cut across the budget cycle, such as fiscal transparency or coordination with State Owned Enterprises or with subnational governments. This How to Note also summarizes practical guidance for implementation of a green PFM strategy, underscoring the need for a tailored approach adapted to country specificities and for a strong stewardship role of the Ministry of Finance.
Keywords:
Public financial management; green budgeting; green public financial management; mainstreaming; climate change adaptation; climate change mitigation; public finances; PFM function; view of Green PFM; PFM practice; PFM reform; Climate change; Budget planning and preparation; Climate policy; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Philippines: 2021 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Philippines
International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
The economy is recovering after a major, pandemic-induced economic downturn. The authorities have deployed a comprehensive set of policy responses that have helped to mitigate the socioeconomic impact and maintain financial stability. The economic recovery slowed in the first half of 2021 due to a second wave of COVID-19 infections. Vaccination has started and is poised to accelerate from midyear.
Keywords:
money market rate; government transaction; financial asset; headline inflation; CPI data; IMF capacity development assistance; inflation outlook; FSI website; COVID-19; Economic recovery; Fiscal stimulus; Liquidity requirements; Budget planning and preparation; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Philippines: Technical Assistance Report-Public Investment Management Assessment
International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
This Technical Assistance report highlights institutional weaknesses that need to be addressed and proposes eight priority reform measures to strengthen the public investment management framework in the Philippines. This report reviews public investment management practices in the Philippines, using the IMF’s Public Investment Management Assessment (PIMA) methodology. The PIMA findings could guide the upcoming Public Expenditure Review that is likely to be completed with the support of the World Bank. The PIMA provides a broad overview of institutional strengths and weaknesses along the public investment cycle. Strengthening public investment management in the Philippines would help maximize the return from the infrastructure investment in the coming years. While the public investment management institutions in the Philippines are generally comparable to emerging market economies, there is scope to improve performance. Standard methodologies for maintenance planning and costing of infrastructure assets exist for certain types of assets, and the same practice should be extended to other sectors. It would also be beneficial to establish a central monitoring mechanism to ensure the routine maintenance of major infrastructure assets.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; public investment; investment project; nonfinancial asset; annual budget; General government investment; investment management; capital project; Public investment and public-private partnerships (PPP); Public investment spending; Infrastructure; Budget planning and preparation; Capital spending; Asia and Pacific; East Asia; South Asia
Cover IMF How To Notes
How to Manage the Fiscal Costs of Natural Disasters
Mr. Serhan Cevik
and
Guohua Huang
This how-to note focuses on the management of the fiscal costs associated with natural disaster risks. Unlike other types of fiscal risks (for example, unexpected macroeconomic changes or materialization of contingent liabilities), a natural disaster presents a unique challenge to fiscal risk-management and budget processes because of its exogenous nature and potentially overwhelming scale. This note discusses how governments can build fiscal resilience against natural hazards and strengthen fiscal management after a disaster, including through budgeting frameworks and other fiscal policies. The note aims to answer three central questions: How large should fiscal buffers be? How should fiscal buffers be built up? How should fiscal buffers be used efficiently and transparently once a natural disaster has struck? These three questions directly relate to fiscal policy, fiscal risk management, and the budget process—all core areas of IMF expertise. To address them, the note focuses on fiscal strategies for financing recovery efforts and considers approaches to mitigate disaster impact. The note also provides guidance on how to conduct regular risk analyses of natural disasters’ potential fiscal consequences and outlines best practices for defining and accounting for the contingent liabilities associated with natural disasters in budgeting frameworks. Finally, the note touches on approaches for risk reduction, disaster risk financing strategies, and risk transfer mechanisms, such as various insurance instruments.
Keywords:
FADHTN; HTN; fund; financing; contingency reserve; cost; cash flow; unexpended LDRRMF funds; investment strategy; budget reallocation; fund balance; contingency reserve fund; NDF management; contingency financing plan; VRRF resource; disaster risk financing strategy; Natural disasters; Budget planning and preparation; Fiscal space; Fiscal risks; Caribbean; fiscal cost; costs of natural disasters; costs of natural DisastersHow; natural DisastersHow; annual budget; fiscal policy
Cover IMF Working Papers
Enforcing Public-Private Partnership Contract: How do Fiscal Institutions Matter?
Manabu Nose
Public-private partnerships (PPPs) have increased rapidly in emerging and developing countries, creating both opportunities and fiscal challenges. One of the main challenges is that while governments have increased commitments in guarantees and direct subsidies to promote PPPs, contractual disputes remain high with significant costs. This paper examines how fiscal institutions affect the selection of PPP contracts and the probability of contract disputes using about 6,000 PPP contract-level data. The analysis shows that larger government financing needs, lower budget transparency and bureaucratic efficiency are associated with higher probability for governments to offer guarantees. Propensity score matching results show that disputes are more common for guaranteed contracts due to adverse selection and contingent liability effects. PPP management quality and budget transparency are found to be key determinants for a longer survival of PPPs.
Keywords:
WP; adverse selection; capital stock; Public-private partnerships; public investment management; fiscal risk; propensity score matching; dispute risk; PPP contract; drive government decision; PIM quality index; government involvement; government financing; dispute case; management quality; indebted government; PPP investment; provision of guarantee; PPP project; Public investment and public-private partnerships (PPP); Budget planning and preparation; Fiscal risks; Contingent liabilities; Asia and Pacific
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Philippines: 2016 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for the Philippines
International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
This 2016 Article IV Consultation highlights that the Philippine economy has continued to perform strongly. Real GDP regained strength from a slowdown in mid-2015 to record a robust 5.9 percent growth rate in 2015 and 6.9 percent in the first half of 2016. Both consumption and investment grew rapidly, while net exports were held back by weak external demand. Job creation was also strong: the unemployment rate declined to 6.3 percent in 2015 and 6.0 percent in the first half of 2016. The outlook for the Philippine economy remains favorable despite external headwinds. Real GDP growth is expected at 6.4 percent in 2016 and 6.7 percent in 2017 on continued robust domestic demand and a modest recovery in exports.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; government; break; IMF staff projection; debt; monetary policy transmission; Philippine authorities; infrastructure project; government process; frontline service; Infrastructure; Credit; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Asia: A Survey of Gender Budgeting Efforts
Lekha Chakraborty
This paper reviews gender budgeting efforts in Asia. The countries in the region have achieved mixed success in improving gender equality. Gender budgeting is ideally a fiscal innovation that translates gender-related goals into budgetary commitments and can help countries to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals with regard to gender equality. India has a sustainable gender budgeting model for the region, while a few countries in the region have begun such efforts more recently. The legislative mandates for gender budgeting in the Philippines and South Korea are remarkable achievements and are contributing to their efforts.
Keywords:
WP; public expenditure; Gender equality; government of India; Gender budgeting; fiscal policies and administration; Asia; gender inequality; State Finance account; Bangladesh government; gender equality commitment; national budget; UN woman; State level; government budget process; public finance; government institution; management system; government program; Women; Budget planning and preparation; Asia and Pacific; East Asia; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Philippines: Fiscal Transparency Evaluation
International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
This paper discusses the findings of Fiscal Transparency Evaluation on Philippines. Improving fiscal transparency has been a priority in the Philippines over recent years. The government’s public financial management reform strategy has helped initiate a wide variety of reforms, which are beginning to bear fruit. Fiscal reporting is relatively comprehensive, frequent, and timely, with many areas of good and advanced practices. Fiscal risk analysis and management is relatively strong in the Philippines compared with other countries. However, improvements are needed in a few areas, especially to capture of risks from guarantees and public–private partnership, assess the scope of tax expenditures, and introduce a longer-term perspective in the fiscal sustainability analysis.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; government; budget; expenditure; PFM reform program; fiscal policy; policy activity; budget framework; budgetary objective; Budget planning and preparation; Fiscal risks; Fiscal accounting and reporting; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Malaysia: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
This Selected Issues paper examines the implications of lower crude oil prices on Malaysia’s economy. Although Malaysia’s net oil exports are now very small as a share of GDP, its gas exports are sizeable. The paper provides some background on the structure of energy production and trade in Malaysia, and presents results from empirical analysis of the oil prices on Malaysia’s growth. It is concluded that the decline in prices is likely to have a net negative impact on growth, even though the recent decline in oil prices partially reflects supply considerations.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; oil; oil price; price; oil market; market factor; oil inventory; tapis oil; reserve holder; Fiscal risks; Oil prices; Contingent liabilities; Global; Africa; Budget planning and preparation; annual budget
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Philippines: Staff Report for the 2014 Article IV Consultation
International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
KEY ISSUES Context. Growth remains rapid, but has moderated from the 7¼ percent recorded in 2013. Remittances and accommodative monetary and financial conditions remain the primary growth drivers, despite volatile capital flows, slowing activity in the region and severe natural disasters. Inflation has picked up to over 4 percent, while the current account remains in surplus. Local financial markets were moderately impacted by the Fed’s “taper talk and action,” weakening the peso and equity prices. Credit growth has quickened, especially to construction. Potential growth has risen to about 6?6¼ percent. However, persistent weakness in the business climate is a risk to sustained growth and hinders job creation. Foreign ownership restrictions, inadequate infrastructure and high doing-business costs have held back overall investment and employment. Along with frequent natural disasters, this has kept poverty elevated, thereby sustaining outward migration. Outlook and risks. Normalizing financial conditions are forecast to ease growth to 6?6½ percent over the medium term, while keeping inflation within the band and moderating the current account surplus. Abrupt changes in global financial conditions and a sharp growth slowdown in EMs are among the external growth risks. On the domestic front, excessive flow of real and financial resources to the property sector could increase volatility of asset prices and GDP growth over the longer run. Policy recommendations. A more restrictive policy stance is needed to preserve macro- financial stability, with rebalancing of the mix to allow higher public investment spending, while implementing reforms to sustain vibrant growth and make it more inclusive: • Absorbing liquidity and raising official interest rates would address second-round inflation effects and potential overheating and financial stability risks. Allowing the exchange rate to adjust more fully to structural inflows, while smoothing the effect of cyclical flows, would limit further sustained reserve buildup. • Addressing specific risks from real estate and large credit exposures requires further targeted measures and broadening the BSP’s mandate to include financial stability. This would help prevent diversion of systemic risk to shadow banking and strengthen tools to manage risks from deepening cross-border financial integration. • Raising the fiscal deficit from below 1½ percent of GDP in 2013 to 2 percent of GDP in 2014 to accommodate reconstruction spending should be accompanied by tighter monetary and financial conditions. Mobilizing sizable additional stable revenue would ensure room for structural spending priorities while preserving fiscal prudence. • Improving the investment climate by relaxing foreign ownership limits, reducing red tape, limiting tax holidays, and reducing labor and product market rigidities would enhance competition, support PPP execution and create employment opportunities within the Philippines.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; break; GDP; IMF-World Bank Collaboration Matrix; private sector; Philippines; IMF definition; short-term debt; output gap; cash management; fiscal policy; public spending; disaster reconstruction spending; debt ratio; Natural disasters; Budget planning and preparation; Global