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Business and Economics > Budgeting

You are looking at 1 - 10 of 219 items for :

  • Type: Journal Issue x
  • Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General x
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Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Moldova: Fifth Reviews Under the Extended Credit Facility and Extended Fund Facility Arrangements, First Review Under the Arrangement Under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility, and Request for Modification of a Performance Criterion-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for the Republic of Moldova
International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
This paper highlights Republic of Moldova’s Fifth Reviews under the Extended Credit Facility and Extended Fund Facility Arrangements, First Review under the Arrangement under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility, and Request for Modification of a Performance Criterion. The recovery of the economy from the multiple shocks has been slower than anticipated, with growth lower than expected in 2023 and more subdued in 2024. Inflation has remained within the National Bank of Moldova’s target band since last October. The authorities’ continued focus on contingency planning, while maintaining agile policies, has helped contain the impact of recent shocks. Going forward, ongoing efforts to undertake growth-friendly reforms, strengthen energy security, and promote climate resilient investments, while pursuing the path toward EU accession, will support Moldova’s development objectives. Continued progress on anti-corruption reforms is needed to further increase trust in Moldova’s institutions and foster socio-economic development. Adoption of the law establishing a new Anti-Corruption Court, expected this summer, would be a key welcomed development, and the authorities should operationalize the Court quickly and effectively.
Keywords:
EU agenda; Policy commitment; EU integration; weather events risk; EU integration agenda; Climate change; Climate finance; Climate policy; Credit; Natural disasters; Global
Cover Policy Papers
Review of the Fund’s Income Position for FY 2024 and FY 2025-2026
International Monetary Fund. Finance Dept.
This paper updates the projections of the Fund’s income position for FY 2024 and FY 2025-2026 and proposes related decisions for the current and the following financial years. The paper also includes a proposed decision to keep the margin for the rate of charge unchanged until completion of the review of surcharges, but until no later than end FY 2025, at which time the Board would set the margin for the rest of FY 2025 and FY 2026. The Fund’s overall net income for FY 2024 is projected at about SDR 4.4 billion after taking into account pension-related remeasurement gain and estimated retained investment income of the Endowment Account.
Keywords:
Income Position; Lending Income; Investment Income; Expenditures; Margin for the Rate of Charge; Reserve Accumulation; Precautionary Balances; Pension; Provisioning; Payout; Reimbursement; Remeasurement; Surcharges; outlook factor; GRA FY; FY 2024; review of surcharge; market condition; transparency policy; Income; SDR interest rate; Budget planning and preparation; Credit; Discount rates; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Democratic Republic of the Congo: Third Review under the Extended Credit Facility Arrangement, the Request for Modification of Performance Criteria and the Financing Assurance Review-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for the Democratic Republic of the Congo
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Macroeconomic gains under the program so far are partly overshadowed by recurrent shocks. Due to the war in Ukraine and global economic developments, the Democratic Republic of the Congo is experiencing a terms-of-trade shock associated with rising energy and food prices (pushing inflation above 12 percent) and falling prices for mining products. Compounding these headwinds, the escalation of the armed conflict in the east of the country is having major negative economic, security and humanitarian effects, the magnitude of which—if the situation persists or worsens further—could jeopardize recent progress.
Keywords:
Congolese authorities; IMF arrangement; IMF's transparency policy; terms-of-trade shock; Policy discussion; aggregate disbursement; Credit; Budget planning and preparation; Fiscal stance; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Madagascar: Second Review Under the Extended Credit Facility Arrangement and Request for Modification of Performance Criteria-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Republic of Madagascar
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Madagascar has not yet recovered from the pandemic and is struggling with the aftermath of a severe cyclone season and the fallout of Russia’s war in Ukraine. After a sharp contraction of GDP in 2020 (-7.1 percent) and a modest recovery in 2021 (4.3 percent), growth is projected to stall in 2022. Lower demand from trading partners, higher fuel and food prices, and recent weather events are weighing on economic activity and leading to widening fiscal and external deficits in the short term.
Keywords:
liabilities vis-à-vis fuel distributor; IMF team; transparency policy; spending commitment authorization process; budget transparency; governance reform agenda; Budget planning and preparation; Credit; Fiscal stance; Global; Sub-Saharan Africa
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Democratic Republic of the Congo: Third Review under the Extended Credit Facility Arrangement, the Request for Modification of Performance Criteria and the Financing Assurance Review-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for the Democratic Republic of the Congo
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
This paper discusses Democratic Republic of the Congo’s third review under the Extended Credit Facility arrangement, request for modification of performance criteria, and financing assurances review. Despite multiple shocks, economic activity has proven resilient supported by higher-than envisaged mining production. Growth is forecast at 6.6 per cent in 2022, but inflation is expected to exceed 12 percent by end-2022. The fiscal deficit is expected to narrow in 2023. Sustained revenue mobilization and contained current spending in goods, services and subsidies are expected to provide space for social spending, infrastructure, and human capital investment, and arrears clearance. Saving revenue over performance would support efforts to build buffers. Phasing out the fuel subsidy and establishing targeted social transfers are important measures to strengthen social safety nets to protect the vulnerable. Readiness to tighten the monetary stance to bring inflation to the 7- percent target together with efforts to strengthen the monetary policy framework will support price stability. Further accumulation of reserves, while enhancing the role of the exchange rate as a shock absorber, is essential to external resilience. The recent adoption of the new banking law is crucial to strengthen financial sector regulation and supervision.
Keywords:
Congolese authorities; IMF arrangement; IMF's transparency policy; terms-of-trade shock; Policy discussion; aggregate disbursement; Credit; Budget planning and preparation; Fiscal stance; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Moldova: First Reviews Under the Extended Credit Facility, and Requests for Modification of Performance Criteria and Inflation Consultation Clause-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Republic of Moldova
International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Moldova’s economy is projected to stagnate in 2022 amid spillovers from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The war in Ukraine continues to weigh heavily on Moldova, although some initial pressures have subsided. Bank deposit net withdrawals came to an end and are now steadily being replenished. The leu depreciated by about 8 percent so far while pressures on foreign reserves have eased. About 550,000 refugees fleeing the war (representing more than 20 percent of the Moldovan population) have transited through Moldova, with about a fifth remaining in the country. Driven by rising food and energy prices, inflation accelerated further above the target band.
Keywords:
General government budget; Policy discussion; program implementation; policy effectiveness; inflation consultation clause; governance reform; Inflation; Energy prices; Budget planning and preparation; Import prices; Credit; Global; Central and Eastern Europe
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Madagascar: Second Review Under the Extended Credit Facility Arrangement and Request for Modification of Performance Criteria-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Republic of Madagascar
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Madagascar has not yet recovered from the pandemic and is struggling with the aftermath of a severe cyclone season and the fallout of Russia’s war in Ukraine. After a sharp contraction of GDP in 2020 (-7.1 percent) and a modest recovery in 2021 (4.3 percent), growth is projected to stall in 2022. Lower demand from trading partners, higher fuel and food prices, and recent weather events are weighing on economic activity and leading to widening fiscal and external deficits in the short term.
Keywords:
liabilities vis-à-vis fuel distributor; IMF team; transparency policy; spending commitment authorization process; budget transparency; governance reform agenda; Budget planning and preparation; Credit; Fiscal stance; Global; Sub-Saharan Africa
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Liberia: 2022 Article IV Consultation and Fourth Review of the Extended Credit Facility Arrangement, Requests for Waiver of Nonobservance of Performance Criterion, and Rephasing of Access-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Liberia
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Liberia is a fragile, low-income country. Per-capita income remains about a third of the level prior to the civil wars during 1989-2003. After a bout of economic instability, prudent monetary and fiscal policies reduced inflation to just over 5 percent in 2021 and budgets are financed without recourse to central bank credit. Economic growth suffered first from macroeconomic instability and then from the COVID-19 pandemic. Growth rebounded to 5 percent in 2021 and, after a soft patch this year due to Russia’s war in Ukraine, should reach 5-6 percent in the medium term if Liberia taps its clear potential through persistent structural reforms and prudent policies. The government’s resolve will be tested in the runup to the general elections in September 2023.
Keywords:
Liberian authorities; pro-Poor Agenda for Prosperity and Development; reform agenda; airport authority; government contract; Debt sustainability; Debt sustainability analysis; Global; Africa
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Madagascar: First Review Under the Extended Credit Facility Arrangement-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Republic of Madagascar
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Madagascar continues to be severely affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. After a contraction of GDP estimated at 7.1 percent in 2020, the economic recovery has been sluggish, partly reflecting a delayed reopening of the economy. Postponement of some external budget support, following delays in structural reforms, will open a fiscal financing gap in 2022.
Keywords:
authorities' intention; government plan; revenue administration measure; authorities' effort; IMF's transparency policy; Budget planning and preparation; Credit; Global; Southern Africa; East Africa
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Madagascar: First Review Under the Extended Credit Facility Arrangement-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Republic of Madagascar
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Madagascar continues to be severely affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. After a contraction of GDP estimated at 7.1 percent in 2020, the economic recovery has been sluggish, partly reflecting a delayed reopening of the economy. Postponement of some external budget support, following delays in structural reforms, will open a fiscal financing gap in 2022.
Keywords:
authorities' intention; government plan; revenue administration measure; authorities' effort; IMF's transparency policy; Budget planning and preparation; Credit; Global; Southern Africa; East Africa