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Business and Economics > Budgeting

You are looking at 1 - 4 of 4 items for :

  • Type: Journal Issue x
  • Forecasting and Other Model Applications x
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Cover Technical Assistance Reports
Mongolia: Technical Assistance Report-Macroeconomic Framework Technical Assistance: Scoping Mission
International Monetary Fund. Institute for Capacity Development
Further to Mongolia’s Ministry of Finance (MOF) request, an assessment mission was carried out from May 24 to June 2, 2023. The mission reviewed the needs, capacity and constraints for the development of institutional macroeconomic forecasting capacity at the Financial and Fiscal Research Department (FFRD). Notably, despite FFRD’s ambitious goals in fiscal policymaking, a comprehensive macroeconomic framework for analysis, forecasting, and assessing fiscal policy's macroeconomic impact is not yet in place. The action plan and logical framework is centered around capacity development and customization of the Comprehensive Adaptive Expectations Model (CAEM) to the Mongolia economy. This note summarizes the main findings and action plan agreed on for the project.
Keywords:
Macroeconomic Framework; Forecasting and Policy Analysis; Comprehensive Adaptive Expectations Model (CAEM); Mongolia.; IMF mission team; FFRD officer; Mongolia's Ministry of Finance; FFRD staff monitor; data management practice; macroeconomic projection tool; Macro-fiscal framework; Macroeconomic and fiscal forecasts; Budget planning and preparation; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
How Do Canadian Budget Forecasts Compare with Those of Other Industrial Countries?
Mr. Martin Mühleisen
,
Ms. Kornelia Krajnyak
,
Mr. Stephan Danninger
,
Mr. David Hauner
, and
Mr. Bennett W Sutton
This paper compares Canadian central government budget forecasting with forecasting by other industrial countries. While fiscal forecasting in Canada is governed by one of the strongest institutional frameworks, quantitative analysis suggests that budget projections of macroeconomic and fiscal aggregates have been more cautious than in other countries since the mid-1990s. The relatively volatile macroeconomic environment as well as institutional factors, such as Canada's asymmetric deficit target, have likely contributed to this outcome.
Keywords:
WP; private sector; benchmark country; nominal GDP; country authorities; Canada; Budget Forecasting; Fiscal Performance; Industrial Countries; Macroeconomic Projections; fiscal policy; standard deviation; macroeconomic assumption; budget vote; IMF country desk; Budget planning and preparation; Macroeconomic and fiscal forecasts; Australia and New Zealand
Cover IMF Working Papers
Assessing Monthly Progress towards Annual Fiscal Revenue Targets
Mr. Daniel S Kanda
A simple statistical methodology is developed to help evaluate monthly progress toward an annual fiscal revenue target, and the applicability of the methodology to both developing and industrial countries is demonstrated using data for Sri Lanka and the United States.
Keywords:
WP; Sri Lanka; United States; fiscal; revenue; hypothesis testing; test statistic; uniform revenue path; revenue generation; acceptance region; revenue estimate; Budget planning and preparation; Income and capital gains taxes; Excises; Value-added tax
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Switzerland: Staff Report for the 1999 Article IV Consultation
International Monetary Fund
For the past quarter century, Switzerland’s real per capita growth rate has been substantially slower than in most other industrial countries. Unemployment has declined rapidly to 2.4 percent of the labor force in November 1999 from its 1997 peak of more than 5 percent. Inflation has edged up from exceptionally low levels. Switzerland’s longstanding current account surplus was above 9 percent of gross domestic product in 1998 and is estimated to have risen further in 1999. The franc has shadowed the euro closely since January 1999, fluctuating narrowly around 1.6 Sw F/euro.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; headline CPI inflation; inflation risk; interest rate; consumer confidence; staff appraisal; headline inflation; euro area economy; growth prospect; Inflation; Price stabilization; Budget planning and preparation; Europe; Global