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Business and Economics > Budgeting

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Cover IMF Working Papers
Public Debt Targeting An Application to the Caribbean
Mr. Alejandro D Guerson
and
Mr. Giovanni Melina
This paper proposes a fiscal policy framework we call Public Debt Targeting. The framework seeks to smooth primary spending over the business cycle while remaining consistent with public debt sustainability. Under the proposed framework, a government announces a commitment to a public debt band trajectory over the medium term, while sequentially announcing primary expenditures for the next budget cycle, which are determined recursively based on the history of shocks. Public debt targeting differs from a structural balance rule in that it internalizes the effect of the deterioration in creditworthiness from fiscal deficits and public debt accumulation, which tend to affect sovereign spreads, interest rates, exchange rates, and economic activity. The proposed framework is applied to Caribbean economies, which in general show high levels of public debt and procyclical primary expenditure.
Keywords:
WP; primary expenditure; country authorities; expenditure simulation; aggregate demand; political economy; real GDP; Procyclical spending; public debt sustainability; fiscal rules; expenditure consolidation; expenditure impulse; potential GDP; expenditure envelope; expenditure vis-à-vis GDP; vis-à-vis GDP; pro-cyclical bias; interest expenditure; expenditure growth; expenditure stance; Fiscal stance; Budget planning and preparation; Caribbean
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Eastern Caribbean Currency Union: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund
The objective of this paper is to analyze the growth performance of the ECCU countries since independence and the policy challenges they face to ensure sustained growth in the period ahead. Although tourism specialization may bring about higher growth, it could also increase volatility in growth by amplifying the impact of business cycles in source countries on the tourism sector. Low productivity growth is principally the reason for the slowdown in growth. High debt levels have been a major drag on growth.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; ECCU country; GDP; ECCU Tourism; debt; Tourism competitiveness vis-á-vis; composition analysis; public debt debt ratio; public-debt-to GDP ratio; ECCU group; Tourism; Budget planning and preparation; Civil service; Caribbean; Global
Cover Policy Papers
Technical Assistance Evaluation Program - Findings of Evaluations and Updated Program - Second Mid-Term Review of the Caribbean Regional Technical Assistance Centre
International Monetary Fund
CARTAC, the second of the regional technical assistance centers, was created with singular emphasis on ownership of technical assistance by the beneficiary countries. To this end, it was structured as a UNDP project with the IMF as Executing Agency and with a Steering Committee empowered to give strategic guidance to the program and select its senior staff from short lists provided by the IMF. With the spread of the RTAC modality, the IMF has sought to bring the Centers' activities within the ambit of overall resource planning for technical assistance, ensure consistency with the institution's view on priorities for technical assistance in the countries concerned, and tighten quality control through backstopping. This has created the potential for conflict with the relative independence that CARTAC has enjoyed from its inception. The conclusion in this report, however, is that alignment with the IMF does not necessarily undermine country ownership and that the Steering Committee can play a pivotal role in defusing any tension that may arise.
Keywords:
PP; steering committee; CARTAC program; CARTAC activity; work plan; CARTAC advisers activity analysis; governance practice; cash management; on-the-job training; reform program; budget management CARTAC; Value-added tax; Budget planning and preparation; Caribbean; Middle East; East Africa
Cover Policy Papers
Technical Assistance Evaluation Program - Findings of Evaluations and Updated Program - Mid-Term Evaluation of Middle East Regional Technical Assistance Center
International Monetary Fund
CARTAC, the second of the regional technical assistance centers, was created with singular emphasis on ownership of technical assistance by the beneficiary countries. To this end, it was structured as a UNDP project with the IMF as Executing Agency and with a Steering Committee empowered to give strategic guidance to the program and select its senior staff from short lists provided by the IMF. With the spread of the RTAC modality, the IMF has sought to bring the Centers' activities within the ambit of overall resource planning for technical assistance, ensure consistency with the institution's view on priorities for technical assistance in the countries concerned, and tighten quality control through backstopping. This has created the potential for conflict with the relative independence that CARTAC has enjoyed from its inception. The conclusion in this report, however, is that alignment with the IMF does not necessarily undermine country ownership and that the Steering Committee can play a pivotal role in defusing any tension that may arise.
Keywords:
PP; steering committee; CARTAC program; work plan; CARTAC activity; governance practice; reform program; budget management CARTAC; CARTAC intervention; on-the-job training; CARTAC's work; CARTAC consultant; CARTAC PC; Value-added tax; Budget planning and preparation; Caribbean; Middle East; East Africa
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Barbados: Report on Observance of Standards and Codes: Fiscal Transparency Module
International Monetary Fund
This Report on the Observance of Standards and Codes assesses Fiscal Transparency for Barbados. The report reveals that Barbados has a number of good practices on fiscal transparency including a legal requirement to publish the budget Estimates, the annual report of the accountant general, and the annual Report of the auditor general as well as websites that provide data on budget outturn for current and previous years. The outturn prior to the budget year is provided alongside budget estimates, which are provided on a gross basis according to administrative, economic, program, and functional classifications.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; government; budget; enterprise; final accounts; equity holding; central government; annual budget; fiscal year; internal audit; debt management; Budget planning and preparation; Public enterprises; Public investment and public-private partnerships (PPP); Fiscal accounting and reporting; Auditing; Caribbean
Cover Policy Papers
Midterm Review of the Caribbean Regional Technical Assistance Centre (CARTAC)
International Monetary Fund
The mid-term review was undertaken to help funding and implementing agencies foster a greater level of understanding of the Caribbean Regional Technical Assistance Center's (CARTAC) work. It ascertains activities to date and should help the Steering Committee determine optimal strategies for the Center’s continuation.
Keywords:
PP; long-term advisor; training session; core area; Cartac's activity; line item; CARTAC office; CARTAC project; CARTAC intervention; participating country; CARTAC activity; Administration in revenue administration; Budget planning and preparation; Caribbean