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Shang-Jin Wei
and
Ms. Irina Tytell
Monetary and fiscal policies around the world are in better shape today than two decades ago. This paper studies whether financial globalization has helped induce governments to pursue better macroeconomic policies (the "discipline effect"). The empirical tests have two innovations. First, we recognize potential endogeneity of the observed capital flows in a given country and employ an instrumental variable approach that relies on the autonomous (global) component of the capital flows. Second, we recognize inherent discreteness in defining good versus bad macroeconomic policies and use a transition matrix technique to determine whether capital flows are effective in inducing substantial qualitative policy shifts. Our results suggest that, in spite of the plausibility of the "discipline effect" in theory, it is not easy to find strong and robust causal evidence. There is some evidence that financial globalization may have induced countries to pursue low-inflation monetary policies. However, there is no evidence that it has encouraged low budget deficits.
International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.
The world’s finance ministers and central bank governors will gather in Washington on September 29 for the Annual Meetings of the Governors of the IMF and the World Bank, against a backdrop of increased concerns about the strength and durability of the global economic recovery. On September 28, the International Monetary and Financial Committee (IMFC), the IMF’s principal advisory Committee of Governors, and the Development Committee, a joint committee of IMF and World Bank Governors, will meet. The Annual Meetings have been shortened, owing to U.S. security concerns.
Mr. Vito Tanzi
Social protection in industrial countries has been provided through regulations, tax expenditures, and public spending. This paper argues that globalization will affect governments’ ability to continue providing this social protection at the level of recent decades. Specifically, tax competition among jurisdictions, ballooning electronic commerce, and increased mobility of the factors of production will likely cause significant falls in tax revenue in future years. The paper concludes that the welfare states need to look for alternative ways to provide social protection.
International Monetary Fund. Secretary's Department

Abstract

This annual publication is a record of the IMF's Annual Meeting and contains the opening and closing addresses of the Chairman of teh Board of Governors, presentation of the Annual Report by the Managing Director, statements of Governors, committee reports, resolutions, and a list of delegates. Usually published in March. 1997 edition.

International Monetary Fund. Secretary's Department

Abstract

This annual publication is a record of the IMF's Annual Meeting and contains the opening and closing addresses of the Chairman of the Board of Governors, presentation of the Annual Report by the Managing Director, statements of Governors, committee reports, resolutions, and a list of delegates. Usually published in March.