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Abebe Aemro Selassie
,
Andrea Richter Hume
, and
Alfred Schipke

Abstract

Africa has made remarkable strides across many development metrics, significantly improving life expectancy, literacy, health, and education. With its population set to double to around 2 billion by 2050, Africa’s economic trajectory will increasingly shape global dynamics. Central to this growth story are Africa’s economic and financial linkages with China, reflected in robust trade, foreign direct investment, and financing flows. These connections are bolstered by institutional frameworks like the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation, which aim to strengthen and expand this partnership.  This book delves into the evolving Africa-China economic relationship, examining its many facets and the potential impact of China’s current trends on Africa’s future. It offers a multidimensional analysis, including the role of policy frameworks, capacity building, and fintech in promoting sustainable development. One chapter provides a comprehensive overview of official financing, detailing the Chinese government agencies driving the China-Africa economic partnership. Another explores the rapid evolution of fintech in both regions, highlighting its role in enhancing financial inclusion, spurring growth, and reducing income inequality. This offers valuable insights for other emerging markets and developing countries. The book also dedicates a chapter to China’s economic ties with the Maghreb countries, while discussions on global experiences in strengthening policy frameworks and capacity building offer crucial lessons for bolstering Africa’s institutional structures.   With China poised to contribute a quarter of global economic growth over the next five years, it will remain a key player in shaping Africa’s economic future. However, the slowing of China’s economy, and its ongoing structural changes, will present both challenges and opportunities for African nations. By focusing on this important and evolving driver of growth in Africa, this book complements the IMF’s ongoing policy dialogue and financial support to African countries. The IMF’s deep experience in analysing spillovers is particularly relevant for the book’s assessment of the channels through which developments in China affect Africa.

International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) provided technical assistance to the Banco Cabo Verde (BCV) on reforming and operationalizing its bank resolution framework. Cabo Verde's special resolution regime (SRR) has been in place since 2014, with the BCV serving as the Resolution Authority. It has been applied once, in 2017, for a non-systemic publicly owned bank, but falls short of international best practices, with limited resolution tools and inadequate safeguards to protect creditors' rights, resulting in legal uncertainties. The IMF mission recommended several enhancements, including strengthening the conditions for entry into resolution and expanding resolution tools. The operationalization of the SRR is hindered by staffing challenges, with only one full-time staff member dedicated to the resolution function, and a lack of operational independence. The mission suggested restructuring the governance of the resolution function, separating it from the BCV’s macroprudential function and elevating its status within the BCV. Strengthening resolution planning is crucial, as current legal limitations seem to restrict the BCV's ability to prepare and execute resolution plans. The BCV should also be empowered to develop comprehensive resolution plans and crisis preparedness should also be enhanced, including by developing a resolution manual and initiating crisis simulation exercises.
Francesco Luna
and
Luisa Zanforlin
Social welfare costs from bank resolution, including contagion and moral hazard, are often thought to be minimized when supervisors can direct the merger of a failing bank with a sound, healthy one. However, social losses may become even larger if the absorbing institutions fail themselves. We ask whether social welfare losses are indeed lower when supervisors intervene rather than not. We use the sand pile/Abelian model as a metaphor to model financial losses which, as sand grains that fall onto a pile, eventually lead to a slide/failure. When capital in the system is insufficient to absorb the failing institution there will be welfare losses. Results suggest that, over the longer-term, social costs are lower when supervisors manage mergers. Additionally, financial networks that have a structure that minimizes social losses also minimize crises frequency. However, the bank employed resolution strategy will determine which financial network structures are associated with the minimum average loss per bankruptcy event.
Atilla Arda
and
Jan Nolte
The technical note and manual "Sibling Rivalry in the Financial Safety Net," authored by Atilla Arda and Jan Nolte, examines the governance structures essential critical for effective bank resolution and deposit insurance functions. Considering the vulnerabilities exposed during the 2008-09 global financial crisis, the note emphasizes the interconnectedness of these two critical functions, both of which aim to safeguard depositors and maintain financial stability. The authors discuss various institutional arrangements, highlighting the choice between integrating both functions within existing agencies or establishing new entities. The note then identifies potential conflicts of interest among resolution authorities, deposit insurance systems, other safety net participants such as central banks and supervisory agencies, and the financial sector. These potential conflicts underscore the necessity of robust governance frameworks to address these challenges and ensure autonomy, operational independence, and accountability of the two functions. The note emphasizes the need for strong legal protections for individuals in charge of resolution and deposit insurance, ensuring they can take decisive actions during crises. By exploring best practices and case studies, including Denmark's integrated framework, the authors provide valuable insights into optimizing institutional and governance arrangements by integrating the deposit insurance function within the resolution authority. This could support effective cooperation among authorities which is vital for creating resilient financial safety nets.
Javier Kapsoli
and
Ezgi O. Ozturk
This paper analyzes reserve adequacy measurement in Kosovo, where euro serves as the legal tender. The study adapts the IMF's Assessing Reserve Adequacy framework to Kosovo's unique monetary context, focusing on precautionary motives for holding reserves. The analysis reveals limited readily available reserves at the Central Bank of Kosovo and recommends additional government deposits of 1.75-5.75 percent of GDP. Given the significant opportunity costs of maintaining such deposits, the paper suggests alternative solutions, including exploring a private lender of last resort model and maintaining ECB repo lines.
Augusto Azael Pérez Azcárraga
,
Tadatsugu Matsudaira
,
Gilles Montagnat-Rentier
,
Janos Nagy
, and
R. James Clark

Abstract

Las administraciones de aduanas ven surgir nuevos retos a medida que aumenta el volumen del comercio internacional, aparece nueva tecnología y cambian los modelo de negocio. Este libro analiza los cambios y desafíos que enfrentan las administraciones de aduanas y propone formas de abordarlos. Describe los problemas que las autoridades deben tener en cuenta a la hora de elaborar su propia hoja de ruta para la modernización de las aduanas.

International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
The IMF South Asia Regional Training and Technical Assistance Center (SARTTAC) provided technical assistance (TA) to the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) focusing on modernizing monetary operations framework and improving liquidity monitoring. Macroeconomic crisis, compounded by the pandemic, has created significant challenges for conducting monetary policy in Sri Lanka. Considering this, the mission proposed a phased approach for modernizing monetary policy instruments and operations, contingent on progress in ongoing debt restructuring, reducing financial stability risks, achieving macroeconomic stabilization, and improving CBSL’s balance sheet. A transitory model for monetary operations was recommended, centered on one week liquidity operations, while still envisaging a certain level of market segmentation. Key recommendations included introducing a single policy rate to strengthen monetary policy signaling, modifying Statutory Reserve Ratio, and operationalizing Standing Facilities to form an Interest Rate Corridor (IRC). In the later stages, when the CBSL can target aggregate liquidity, liquidity management should return to a mid-corridor system with Open Market Operations (OMO)s calibrated based on liquidity forecasts. These recommendations are designed to enhance monetary policy transmission, support the achievement of CBSL’s primary mandate of price stability, a prerequisite for macroeconomic stability and sustainable economic growth.
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
This paper examines a technical note on financial safety net and crisis management as part of Financial Sector Assessment Program in Spain. Spanish authorities have made good progress in establishing an effective crisis management and resolution regime. The Spanish authorities should integrate bank resolution authority for planning and execution in one institution. Integration would ensure that the national resolution authority responsible for implementing orderly resolution actions has control over the primary levers necessary to achieve its objectives. The Spanish authorities need to establish a framework for addressing liquidity needs in resolution. Spanish authorities should continue to enhance cross-authority crisis coordination arrangements. This should include formalizing its existing crisis management practices and prioritizing by agreeing a cross-authority crisis simulation exercise strategy. Spain’s Executive Resolution Authority should also have the flexibility, where possible, under national procurement legislation to depart from procurement rules in a crisis scenario to appoint external advisory support including independent valuers at short notice.

Abstract

The analysis in the book suggests that LAC countries are facing substantial challenges related to climate change but have tools at their disposal to seize the opportunities that the climate change presents. To maximize opportunities and minimize the risks LAC countries will need to improve flexibility and adaptability of their economies. Policies aimed at supporting the reallocation of labor and capital across sectors, investing in basic skills and human capital, improving transparency and economic governance to encourage investment in technology and know-how, and creating fiscal space to manage the climate transition would help LAC countries position themselves to take advantage of the opportunities afforded by the climate transition.

International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
This paper presents a technical note on financial safety net, resolution, and crisis management in Panama. Key institutional pillars of a financial safety net have not been established in Panama. An explicit industry-funded deposit insurance system should be established as a key element of an effective financial sector safety net in Panama. Superintendency of Banks of Panama (SBP) is the resolution authority for banks in Panama; the SBP relies on strong prudential supervision to avoid bank failures and remove weak institutions. The current approach to bank resolution has not changed since the 2012 Financial Sector Assessment Program and recent technical assistance missions. The legal framework underpinning SBP corrective actions, its overall powers and approach to handling bank insolvency has not changed since passage of the Banking Law in 2008. Panamanian authorities have undertaken a review of the current resolution framework and have determined there is need for improvement. The authorities should build upon current domestic and regional efforts, and develop their internal, interagency, and cross-border coordination and communication mechanisms for bank resolution and crisis management.