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Business and Economics > Banks and Banking

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Cover IMF Working Papers
Implementing Risk-Based Solvency for Insurers—Lessons from Kenya, Mexico, and South Africa
Peter Windsor
,
Suzette J Vogelsang
,
Christiaan Henning
,
Kerwin Martin
,
Elias Omondi
,
Gerardo Rubio
, and
Jooste Steynberg
International standards and best practice supports the implementation of a risk-based solvency regime in the regulation and supervision of insurers. Several emerging market and developing economies are transitioning to such a solvency regime or planning to do so. This paper discusses Kenya, Mexico, and South Africa’s journey to putting in place a risk-based solvency regime which had several common elements notwithstanding significantly different insurance sectors. The transition was a multi-year project requiring dedicated additional resources; restructuring of the regulator, including redesigning supervisory processes and tools and upgrading information technology systems; and significantly greater coordination between the regulator and the insurance industry.
Keywords:
Insurance; Risk-based Solvency; Risk-based supervision; solvency regime; Penetration rate; RBS project; solvency assessment; RBS implementation; supervision of insurer; Insurance companies; Solvency; Financial statements; Africa; Global
Cover FinTech Notes
Implications of Central Bank Digital Currency for Monetary Operations
Tansaya Kunaratskul
,
Andre Reslow
, and
Manmohan Singh
This Fintech Note aims to analyze how the issuance of central bank digital currency (CBDC) could affect monetary operations, which include central banks managing the demand and supply of reserves to achieve a desired stance of monetary policy. The note outlines three scenarios: CBDCs substituting cash, commercial bank deposits, and reserves, with implications varying based on design features and market developments. It discusses how these scenarios influence balance sheets and reserves, potentially drawing short-term interest rates away from the policy target and complicating liquidity forecasting. Furthermore, the note shows how central banks could calibrate monetary operations such as engaging in a fine-tuning operation and provide additional reserves on demand to ensure that central banks can maintain their monetary policy stance. Finally, careful design of CBDCs, such as setting criteria for access, holding quantity, and remuneration, can mitigate adverse effects on monetary operations.
Keywords:
Central bank digital currency; CBDC; digital money; monetary operations; monetary policy; central bank digital currency design; IMF FINTECH note 2024/007; Bank of England omnibus account; design choice; CBDC demand; handbook chapter; Central Bank digital currencies; Short term interest rates; Commercial banks; Monetary base; Global
Cover Regional Economic Outlook: Sub-Saharan Africa, April 2024
Regional Economic Outlook: Sub-Saharan Africa, April 2024
A Tepid and Pricey Recovery
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Abstract

After four turbulent years, the outlook for sub-Saharan Africa is gradually improving. Growth will rise from 3.4 percent in 2023 to 3.8 percent in 2024, with nearly two thirds of countries anticipating higher growth. Economic recovery is expected to continue beyond this year, with growth projections reaching 4.0 percent in 2025. Additionally, inflation has almost halved, public debt ratios have broadly stabilized, and several countries have issued Eurobonds this year, ending a two-year hiatus from international markets. However, not all is favorable. The funding squeeze persists as the region’s governments continue to grapple with financing shortages, high borrowing costs, and impending debt repayments. Risks to the outlook remain tilted to the downside. The region continues to be more vulnerable to global external shocks, as well as the threat of rising political instability, and frequent climate events. Three policy priorities can help countries adapt to these challenges: improving public finances without undermining development; monetary policy focused on ensuring price stability; and implementing structural reforms to diversify funding sources and economies. Amid these challenges, sub-Saharan African countries will need additional support from the international community to develop a more inclusive, sustainable, and prosperous future.

Keywords:
Sub-Saharan Africa; Slow recovery; Funding squeeze; Monetary policy; Economic diversification; Structural reforms; International support; IMF staff calculation; headline inflation; public finance; IMF financing arrangement; borrowing costs entail; sub-Saharan Africa face; Inflation; Central bank policy rate; Fiscal consolidation; Price stabilization; Emerging and frontier financial markets; Global; Africa
Cover IMF Working Papers
E-Money and Monetary Policy Transmission
Zixuan Huang
,
Amina Lahreche
,
Mika Saito
, and
Ursula Wiriadinata
E-money development has important yet theoretically ambiguous consequences for monetary policy transmission, because nonbank deposit-taking e-money issuers (EMIs) (e.g., mobile network operators) can either complement or substitute banks. Case studies of e-money regulations point to complementarity of EMIs with banks, implying that the development of e-money could deepen financial intermediation and strengthen monetary policy transmission. The issue is further explored with panel data, on both monthly (covering 21 countries) and annual (covering 47 countries) frequencies, over 2001 to 2019. We use a two-way fixed effect estimator to estimate the causal effects of e-money development on monetary policy transmission. We find that e-money development has accompanied stronger monetary policy transmission (measured by the responsiveness of interest rates to the policy rate), growth in bank deposits and credit, and efficiency gains in financial intermediation (measured by the lending-to-deposit rate spread). Evidence is more pronounced in countries where e-money development takes off in a context of limited financial inclusion. This paper highlights the potential benefits of e-money development in strengthening monetary policy transmission, especially in countries with limited financial inclusion.
Keywords:
Monetary policy transmission; banks; nonbank financial institutions; e-money; panel data; e-money development; e-money issuer; e-money intensity; E-Money intensity; Financial inclusion; Central bank policy rate; Deposit rates; Bank credit; Sub-Saharan Africa; Africa
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Belize: Technical Assistance Report—Cybersecurity, Regulation, Supervision, and Resilience
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Cybersecurity risk is embedded in the CBB’s supervisory framework, but additional enhancements are needed to formalize guidance and develop more intensive supervisory practices. Supervisory expectations on cybersecurity are presented in an informal guidance note, which should be formalized into regulation to ensure enforceability; and an IT/cybersecurity supervisory manual should be developed to promote effective and consistent practices. With its principle-based guidance note, the CBB highlights its priorities in strengthening the cybersecurity posture of Belizean financial institutions. The principles are an appropriate interpretation of international best practices on incident prevention, detection, response, and recovery measures, adapted to the cyber maturity of the Belizean financial institutions, and can be used as a foundation for the formalized guidelines. The manual could emphasize the review of cybersecurity strategies, policies, and responsibility specifications and should address obtaining assurance on the effectiveness of the financial institutions’ processes for cyber risk identification, assessment, and mitigation.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; risk management; self-assessment guidance; cybersecurity governance; cybersecurity process; efficiency gain; cybersecurity resilience; cybersecurity regulation; incident reporting; guidance note; control environment; cybersecurity posture; incident management; cybersecurity innovation; cybersecurity guidance note; cybersecurity guideline; Cyber risk; Central bank bills; Operational risk; Internal audit; Securities; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Beyond the COVID-19 Crisis: A Framework for Sustainable Government-To-Person Mobile Money Transfers
Delphine Prady
,
Hervé Tourpe
,
Sonja Davidovic
, and
Soheib Nunhuck
During the 2020 pandemic, the majority of countries have provided income support to households at an unprecedented speed and scale. Social distancing measures and the large penetration of mobile phones in emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs) have encouraged government-to-person (G2P) transfers through mobile platforms. This paper presents a comprehensive framework for sustainable money solutions in support of social assistance. The framework consists of eight building blocks that may help policymakers i) take stock and assess emergency fixes taken to scale up mobile money in a crisis context and ii) develop sustainable long-term solutions for mobile G2P transfers.
Keywords:
WP; government; Novissi G2P; country; firm; government assistance program; money; G2P; mobile money; bank account; electronic money; cash transfer; low income; financial service; central bank; Mobile banking; Currencies; Fiscal accounting and reporting; Sub-Saharan Africa; South Asia; Africa; East Asia; Asia and Pacific; Philippines government; CICO network; State transfer; government ecosystem; government assistance; government cash transfer; total cost of ownership; COVID-19
Cover IMF Working Papers
Financial Inclusion: What Have We Learned So Far? What Do We Have to Learn?
Mr. Adolfo Barajas
,
Thorsten Beck
,
Mohammed Belhaj
, and
Samy Ben Naceur
The past two decades have seen a rapid increase in interest in financial inclusion, both from policymakers and researchers. This paper surveys the main findings from the literature, documenting the trends over time and gaps that have arisen across regions, income levels, and gender, among others. It points out that structural, as well as policy-related, factors, such as encouraging banking competition or channeling government payments through bank accounts, play an important role, and describes the potential macro and microeconomic benefits that can be derived from greater financial inclusion. It argues that policy should aim to identify and reduce frictions holding back financial inclusion, rather than targeting specific levels of inclusion. Finally, it suggests areas for future research.
Keywords:
WP; bank account; economic growth; incorporated firm; financial activity; household enterprise; loan officer; Financial Inclusion; Financial Development; Fintech; Economic Growth; Income Inequality; Financial Frictions; financial system; external finance; private sector; comparative advantage; Credit; Mobile banking; Financial sector development; Global; fixed cost; credit market; firm owner; firms' use
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Kenya: Technical Assistance Report-Monetary and Financial Statistics Mission (December 3-14, 2018)
International Monetary Fund. Statistics Dept.
This technical assistance report on Kenya reviews the implementation of the recommendations made by the monetary and financial statistics (MFS) mission in January 2017 and the expanded coverage of the standardized report form for other depository corporations (SRF 2SR) including savings and credit cooperatives (SACCOs), microfinance banks (MFBs), and money market funds. The mission found that the Central Bank of Kenya (CBK) had made significant progress in collaborating with other financial sector regulatory authorities by forming the Technical Working Group and holding regular meetings. The previous missions recommended that the CBK improve coordination with other regulatory authorities to cooperate and collaborate on the compilation of MFS. With source data available for deposit taking SACCOs and MFBs, the CBK made significant progress in producing initial provisional data for 2SR with the coverage expanded to include those data which were reported to IMF’s Statistics Department for review in August of 2017. In order to support progress in the various work areas, the mission recommended a detailed action plan with the different priority recommendations.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; SACCOs institution; CBK amount; deposit-taking SACCOs; MFBs sector; SACCOs to the CBK; staff of the Central Bank of Kenya; microfinance banks; MMF investment funds; Mutual funds; Pension spending; Commercial banks; Insurance companies; Financial sector
Cover IMF Working Papers
Monetary Policy Is Not Always Systematic and Data-Driven: Evidence from the Yield Curve
Mr. Ales Bulir
and
Mr. Jan Vlcek
Does monetary policy react systematically to macroeconomic innovations? In a sample of 16 countries – operating under various monetary regimes – we find that monetary policy decisions, as expressed in yield curve movements, do react to macroeconomic innovations and these reactions reflect the monetary policy regime. While we find evidence of the primacy of the price stability objective in the inflation targeting countries, links to inflation and the output gap are generally weaker and less systematic in money-targeting and multiple-objective countries.
Keywords:
WP; rate; interest rate; Nelson-Siegel yield curve model; inflation expectation; yield curve movement; Monetary transmission; yield curve; rule-based monetary policy; inflation-targeting country; monetary policy innovation; monetary policy decision; inflation stabilization; Inflation; Exchange rates; Inflation targeting; Central bank policy rate; Sub-Saharan Africa; Africa; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Ghana: Selected Issues Paper
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
This Selected Issues paper discusses growth strategy for Ghana. Ghana has achieved impressive development gains over the last decades, with rising incomes, lower poverty, and better health, education, and gender outcomes. However, growth has recently become less inclusive, with high inequality and slower poverty reduction. In order to address these challenges, the authorities are pursuing a “Ghana beyond Aid” development strategy centered around agricultural modernization and export-led industrialization. Accelerating productivity growth calls for fostering competition, improving the business environment, strengthening human capital, taking advantage of growing regional markets and industrial policies that prioritize sectors that can export and innovate and where Ghana could achieve economies of scale. Consistent and predictable government policies can help increase long-term investment and improve public spending effectiveness. A key lesson from growth accelerations in other countries is that it is crucial to achieve economies of scale. In most cases, rapid economic growth required achieving export success in specific sectors.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; Ghana; asset; bank; industry; liability; per capita income; public sector; bank intermediation cost; structural change; gas assets; banking system; extractive industry; processing industries in Ghana; value chain; exposure to the commodity cycle; government balance sheet; bank profitability; Financial statements; Public sector; Commercial banks; Business enterprises; Nonperforming loans; Sub-Saharan Africa; Africa