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Business and Economics > Banks and Banking

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Cover Global Financial Stability Notes
Pension Funds and Financial Stability
This Global Financial Stability Note examines the growth of the pension fund sector and the potential financial stability implications. Historically, pension funds have been seen as a contributor to financial stability because of their long-term and well-diversified liabilities. However, the sector has undergone significant structural shifts accelerated by a prolonged period of low interest rates, increasing its exposure to traditional risks while introducing emerging risks; this is reflected in growing intra-financial sector interconnectedness and exposure to long-term sovereign bonds. The recent transition to higher interest rates should be positive for the pension sector, albeit its pace and abruptness has been associated with liquidity stress and contagion risks in some countries.
Keywords:
Pension Funds; Financial Stability; Assets; Risks; Pension Plans; major pension fund sector; IMF Library; major pension savings market; structural liquidity; asset-liability duration mismatch; risk analysis; Pension spending; Pensions; Financial sector stability; Liquidity risk; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Sandcastles and Financial Systems: A Sandpile Metaphor
Francesco Luna
and
Luisa Zanforlin
Social welfare costs from bank resolution, including contagion and moral hazard, are often thought to be minimized when supervisors can direct the merger of a failing bank with a sound, healthy one. However, social losses may become even larger if the absorbing institutions fail themselves. We ask whether social welfare losses are indeed lower when supervisors intervene rather than not. We use the sand pile/Abelian model as a metaphor to model financial losses which, as sand grains that fall onto a pile, eventually lead to a slide/failure. When capital in the system is insufficient to absorb the failing institution there will be welfare losses. Results suggest that, over the longer-term, social costs are lower when supervisors manage mergers. Additionally, financial networks that have a structure that minimizes social losses also minimize crises frequency. However, the bank employed resolution strategy will determine which financial network structures are associated with the minimum average loss per bankruptcy event.
Keywords:
Applied Abelian model; Banking; Financial Networks; Financial Economics; Banking Crisis; Bankrupcy; Bank Resolution; Selforganized Criticality; Bank Regulation and Supervision; welfare loss; resolution strategy; loss distribution; bank resolution regime supervisor; banks fail; shareholder bank; Distressed institutions; Commercial banks; Crisis resolution; Global
Cover Technical Notes and Manuals
Sibling Rivalry in the Financial Safety Net: Governance Arrangements for Bank Resolution and Deposit Insurance
Atilla Arda
and
Jan Nolte
The technical note and manual "Sibling Rivalry in the Financial Safety Net," authored by Atilla Arda and Jan Nolte, examines the governance structures essential critical for effective bank resolution and deposit insurance functions. Considering the vulnerabilities exposed during the 2008-09 global financial crisis, the note emphasizes the interconnectedness of these two critical functions, both of which aim to safeguard depositors and maintain financial stability. The authors discuss various institutional arrangements, highlighting the choice between integrating both functions within existing agencies or establishing new entities. The note then identifies potential conflicts of interest among resolution authorities, deposit insurance systems, other safety net participants such as central banks and supervisory agencies, and the financial sector. These potential conflicts underscore the necessity of robust governance frameworks to address these challenges and ensure autonomy, operational independence, and accountability of the two functions. The note emphasizes the need for strong legal protections for individuals in charge of resolution and deposit insurance, ensuring they can take decisive actions during crises. By exploring best practices and case studies, including Denmark's integrated framework, the authors provide valuable insights into optimizing institutional and governance arrangements by integrating the deposit insurance function within the resolution authority. This could support effective cooperation among authorities which is vital for creating resilient financial safety nets.
Keywords:
deposit insurance; bank resolution; crisis preparedness; crisis management; financial crisis; financial stability; governance; independence; autonomy; deposit insurance agency; deposit insurance system; views ofthe IMF; governance arrangement; deposit insurance fund; deposit insurer; Bank resolution framework; Financial safety nets; Financial sector stability; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Czech Republic: 2024 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; and Staff Report
International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
The Czech Republic is evolving from a heavily manufacturing-based, export-oriented hub to a more mature and diversified economy. Non-auto manufacturing, energy, and construction, once important Czech engines of growth, have run out of steam, hampered by decelerating productivity growth, higher energy costs, and sluggish demand. The auto industry has shown resilience so far, but the required transition to electric vehicles and exposure to foreign competition are set to exert significant pressures in the coming years. Higher value-added sectors, including ICT services, are constrained by lack of skilled labor and limited access to capital, undermining their ability to compete in global markets.
Keywords:
currency of the Czech Republic; FSAP update; FSAP participation; services inflation; managing inflation risk; Inflation; Productivity; Labor markets; Central bank policy rate; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Czech Republic: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
2024 Selected Issues
Keywords:
macro News; macroeconomics news; ECB monetary policy surprise; EU TFP frontier; inflation expectation; Automobile industry; Total factor productivity; Productivity; Asset prices; Global; Europe; Eastern Europe
Cover IMF Working Papers
TLTRO Spillovers Outside the Euro Area
Carolina Lopez-Quiles
and
Adil Mohommad
We examine spillovers from ECB’s TLTROs on European countries outside the euro area. Using individual banks’ balance sheet data, we find that TLTROs lowered funding and lending rates for foreign-owned subsidiaries, especially in emerging market economies. We also find an increase in profitability among foreign subsidiaries and no effects on solvency risk. The effects are sizable--every €1 billion in exposure to TLTROs via parent banks is associated with 0.2 bps reduction in deposit rates and 0.4 bps reduction in lending rates of foreign subsidiaries. This underscores the need to factor euro area monetary policies into policy settings outside the euro area.
Keywords:
Monetary policy; spillovers; TLTRO; CESEE; TLTRO operation; TLTRO exposure; spillovers from ECB's TLTROs; subsidiaries' share; ECB's Targeted Longer-Term Refinancing Operations; Deposit rates; Bank credit; Foreign banks; Business cycles; Europe
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Albania: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
2024 Selected Issues
Keywords:
risk result; market liquidity; Albanian banking sector; banks' liquidity resilience; LCR value; Currency markets; Exchange rates; Commercial banks; Liquidity requirements; Capital adequacy requirements; Global
Cover Selected Issues Papers
ECB Monetary Policy Passthrough to Bank Interest Rates During Tightening: Republic of Kosovo
Ezgi O. Ozturk
This paper analyzes the transmission of ECB policy rate changes to bank interest rates in Kosovo during the 2022-23 tightening cycle. While both lending and deposit rates increased, the passthrough was more limited compared to the euro area and regional peers. Three key factors explain this limited transmission: Kosovo's stage of financial development, high banking sector liquidity, and significant bank concentration.
Keywords:
Monetary policy transmission; interest rates; banking sector; euroization; financial development; Kosovo; ECB monetary policy Passthrough; ECB policy rate change; ECB policy rate Passthrough; ECB Policy rate pass-through; Central bank policy rate; Deposit rates; Financial sector development; Inflation; Financial inclusion; Europe
Cover Selected Issues Papers
Financial Buffers in a Euroized Economy: Republic of Kosovo
Javier Kapsoli
and
Ezgi O. Ozturk
This paper analyzes reserve adequacy measurement in Kosovo, where euro serves as the legal tender. The study adapts the IMF's Assessing Reserve Adequacy framework to Kosovo's unique monetary context, focusing on precautionary motives for holding reserves. The analysis reveals limited readily available reserves at the Central Bank of Kosovo and recommends additional government deposits of 1.75-5.75 percent of GDP. Given the significant opportunity costs of maintaining such deposits, the paper suggests alternative solutions, including exploring a private lender of last resort model and maintaining ECB repo lines.
Keywords:
Reserve adequacy; euroization; central bank reserves; liquidity buffers; foreign exchange reserves; bank deposits; monetary policy; Kosovo; Euroized economy; ECB repo line; lender of last resort model; government deposit; Currencies; Lender of last resort; International reserves; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Argentina: Ex-post Evaluation of Exceptional Access under the 2022 Extended Fund Facility Arrangement-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Argentina
International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
On March 25, 2022, the IMF Executive Board approved a 30-month arrangement for Argentina supported by the Extended Fund Facility (2022 EFF). Amounting to US$44 billion (1,001 percent of quota), it was the second largest non-precautionary arrangement in the Fund’s history after the 2018 Stand-by Arrangement for Argentina (2018 SBA). Of the planned 10 reviews, eight were completed. The arrangement is set to expire at end-2024.
Keywords:
program ownership; IMF view; disinflation process; Policy strategy; lending decision; risk tolerance; Fiscal consolidation; International reserves; Inflation; Reserves accumulation; Global