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Western Hemisphere > Argentina

You are looking at 1 - 2 of 2 items for :

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Cover Policy Papers
The IMF-FSB Early Warning Exercise - Design and Methodological Toolkit
International Monetary Fund
The Early Warning Exercise (EWE) draws together a combination of analytical techniques, practical experience, seasoned judgment and unique databases in order to assess the potential consequences associated with economic and financial tail risks. There are several key features of the exercise. First, the exercise aims to help prevent the occurrence of financial crises and to limit their potential damage, not to predict the timing of crises. Second, coverage is fairly comprehensive, including both advanced and emerging economies. Third, the EWE is based on rigorous analysis and cutting-edge techniques, but it uses a holistic approach, drawing also various other tools rather than relying on a single crisis model. Fourth, it combines empirical analysis with forward-looking thinking, based on inputs from key policymakers and academics, in-depth real-world knowledge from practitioners, and seasoned judgment from IMF experts. The primary purpose of the EWE is to identify as early as possible the buildup of underlying vulnerabilities that predispose a system to a crisis, so that corrective policies can be implemented and contingency plans put in place.
Keywords:
PP; financial market; risk; country risk; IMF-FSB Early Warning Exercise; EWE methodology; financial crisis; business cycle; global economy; EWE framework; EWE tool; IMF mission; EWE analysis; EWE toolkit; risk premium; Early warning systems; Housing prices; Emerging and frontier financial markets; Asset bubbles; Global
Cover Regional Economic Outlook, April 2007, Western Hemisphere
Regional Economic Outlook, April 2007, Western Hemisphere
International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.

Abstract

The past year has been one of strong economic performance for the Western Hemisphere, notwithstanding somewhat slower growth in the United States in recent quarters. Can this performance be sustained, and what challenges does the region face? Reviewing macroeconomic prospects and risks, this report pays particular attention to the influence of the external environment on Latin America, and addresses the question of whether Latin America has now succeeded in breaking with its history of periodic growth reversals.

Keywords:
REO; IMF staff calculation; world growth shock; price; variable; standard deviation commodity shock; nonfuel commodity price; impulse response function; high-productivity scenario; Commodity prices; Productivity; Total factor productivity; Housing prices; Global; Central America; Caribbean; East Asia