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Appendice statistique

Appendice statistique »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Sub-Saharan Africa : Capital Flows and The Future of Work

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 October 2018

Language: French

ISBN: 9781484376874

Keywords: Regional Economic Outlook, Sub-Saharan Africa, economic outlook, economic growth, public debt, downside risks, capital flows, automation, job creation

Sauf indication contraire, les données et projections utilisées dans ce rapport reposent sur les estimations des services du FMI au 20 septembre 2018 et correspondent à celles qui ont servi pour l’édition d’...

2. Capital Flows to Sub-Saharan Africa: Causes and Consequences

2. Capital Flows to Sub-Saharan Africa: Causes and Consequences »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Sub-Saharan Africa : Capital Flows and The Future of Work

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 October 2018

ISBN: 9781484375396

Keywords: Sub-Saharan Africa, Regional Economic Outlook, economic outlook, economic growth, public debt, downside risks, capital flows, automation, job creation

In the aftermath of the global financial crisis, there has been a spectacular increase in nonofficial cross-border capital flows to sub-Saharan Africa. 1 With official development...

2. Flux de capitaux vers l’Afrique subsaharienne : causes et conséquences

2. Flux de capitaux vers l’Afrique subsaharienne : causes et conséquences »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Sub-Saharan Africa : Capital Flows and The Future of Work

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 October 2018

Language: French

ISBN: 9781484376874

Keywords: Regional Economic Outlook, Sub-Saharan Africa, economic outlook, economic growth, public debt, downside risks, capital flows, automation, job creation

Dans le sillage de la crise financière mondiale, les flux de capitaux non officiels vers l’Afrique subsaharienne (AfSS) ont augmenté de manière spectaculaire 1 . Alors que l’aide p...

Growth at Risk: Concept and Application in IMF Country Surveillance

Growth at Risk: Concept and Application in IMF Country Surveillance »

Source: Growth at Risk: Concept and Application in IMF Country Surveillance

Volume/Issue: 2019/36

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ananthakrishnan Prasad , Selim Elekdag , Phakawa Jeasakul , Romain Lafarguette , Adrian Alter , Alan Xiaochen Feng , and Changchun Wang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 21 February 2019

ISBN: 9781484397015

Keywords: Interest rates on loans, Economic growth, Economic recovery, External sector, Real interest rates, downside risk;macrofinancial linkages;financial stability;Gar;financial condition;forecast horizon;article IV consultation;quantiles

The growth-at-risk (GaR) framework links current macrofinancial conditions to the distribution of future growth. Its main strength is its ability to assess the entire distribution of future GDP growth (in contrast...

Growth at Risk: Concept and Application in IMF Country Surveillance

Growth at Risk: Concept and Application in IMF Country Surveillance »

Volume/Issue: 2019/36

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ananthakrishnan Prasad , Selim Elekdag , Phakawa Jeasakul , Romain Lafarguette , Adrian Alter , Alan Xiaochen Feng , and Changchun Wang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 21 February 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484397015.001

ISBN: 9781484397015

Keywords: Interest rates on loans, Economic growth, Economic recovery, External sector, Real interest rates, downside risk;macrofinancial linkages;financial stability;Gar;financial condition;forecast horizon;article IV consultation;quantiles

The growth-at-risk (GaR) framework links current macrofinancial conditions to the distribution of future growth. Its main strength is its ability to assess the entire distribution of future GDP growth (in contrast...

Systemic Risk and Asymmetric Responses in the Financial Industry

Systemic Risk and Asymmetric Responses in the Financial Industry »

Volume/Issue: 2012/152

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Germán López-Espinosa , Antonio Rubia , Laura Valderrama , and Antonio Moreno

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475504347.001

ISBN: 9781475504347

Keywords: Value at Risk, systemic risk, tail-risk dependence, downside risk, financial system, statistics, bond, financial institutions, probability

To date, an operational measure of systemic risk capturing non-linear tail comovement between system-wide and individual bank returns has not yet been developed. This paper proposes an extension of the so-called Co...

The Term Structure of Growth-at-Risk

The Term Structure of Growth-at-Risk »

Volume/Issue: 2018/180

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tobias Adrian , Federico Grinberg , Nellie Liang , and Sheheryar Malik

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 August 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484372364.001

ISBN: 9781484372364

Keywords: Financial stability, downside risk, macrofinancial linkages, volatility paradox, quantile regression, General, International Business Cycles

Using panel quantile regressions for 11 advanced and 10 emerging market economies, we show that the conditional distribution of GDP growth depends on financial conditions, with growth-at-risk (GaR)-defined as growt...

3. L’avenir de l’emploi en Afrique subsaharienne

3. L’avenir de l’emploi en Afrique subsaharienne »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Sub-Saharan Africa : Capital Flows and The Future of Work

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 October 2018

Language: French

ISBN: 9781484376874

Keywords: Regional Economic Outlook, Sub-Saharan Africa, economic outlook, economic growth, public debt, downside risks, capital flows, automation, job creation

La vague actuelle d’avancées technologiques devrait bouleverser les marchés du travail aux niveaux national et mondial. Par le passé, les périodes de changement technologique ont conduit à une amélioration d...

1. Recovery and Rising Risks

1. Recovery and Rising Risks »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Sub-Saharan Africa : Capital Flows and The Future of Work

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 October 2018

ISBN: 9781484375396

Keywords: Sub-Saharan Africa, Regional Economic Outlook, economic outlook, economic growth, public debt, downside risks, capital flows, automation, job creation

Macroeconomic outcomes in sub-Saharan Africa continue to strengthen, reflecting domestic policy adjustments and a supportive external environment, including continued steady growth in the global economy, hig...

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Sub-Saharan Africa
			: Capital Flows and The Future of Work

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Sub-Saharan Africa : Capital Flows and The Future of Work »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 October 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484375396.086

ISBN: 9781484375396

Keywords: Sub-Saharan Africa, Regional Economic Outlook, economic outlook, economic growth, public debt, downside risks, capital flows, automation, job creation

The macroeconomic outlook for sub-Saharan Africa continues to strengthen. Growth is expected to increase from 2.7 percent in 2017 to 3.1 percent in 2018, reflecting domestic policy adjustments and a supportive exte...