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Common Factors in Latin America's Business Cycles

Common Factors in Latin America's Business Cycles »

Source: Common Factors in Latin America's Business Cycles

Volume/Issue: 2006/49

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Allan Timmermann , Luis Catão , and Marco Aiolfi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2006

ISBN: 9781451863093

Keywords: Factor Models, business cycle, equation, real gdp, statistics,

This paper constructs new business cycle indices for Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Mexico based on common dynamic factors extracted from a comprehensive set of sectoral output, external data, and fiscal and financi...

Real-time Forecasts of Economic Activity for Latin American Economies

Real-time Forecasts of Economic Activity for Latin American Economies »

Source: Real-time Forecasts of Economic Activity for Latin American Economies

Volume/Issue: 2011/98

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Philip Liu , Rafael Romeu , and Troy Matheson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2011

ISBN: 9781455254293

Keywords: Nowcasting, Short-term forecasting, Real-time data, and Latin America, gdp growth, forecasting, real gdp, equation, equations, Model Construction and Estimation

Macroeconomic policy decisions in real-time are based the assessment of current and future economic conditions. These assessments are made difficult by the presence of incomplete and noisy data. The problem is more...

In Search of Coincident and Leading Indicators of Economic Activity in Argentina

In Search of Coincident and Leading Indicators of Economic Activity in Argentina »

Source: In Search of Coincident and Leading Indicators of Economic Activity in Argentina

Volume/Issue: 2001/30

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alejandro Simone

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2001

ISBN: 9781451844917

Keywords: real gdp, forecasting, cointegration, statistics, equation, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Macroeconomics: Production, Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production

Time series on economic activity in developing countries, in particular real GDP, are reported with important lags. Therefore, it is useful to construct indicators that coincide or lead the actual direction and lev...

Common Factors in Latin America's Business Cycles

Common Factors in Latin America's Business Cycles »

Volume/Issue: 2006/49

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Allan Timmermann , Luis Catão , and Marco Aiolfi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2006

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451863093.001

ISBN: 9781451863093

Keywords: Factor Models, business cycle, equation, real gdp, statistics,

This paper constructs new business cycle indices for Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Mexico based on common dynamic factors extracted from a comprehensive set of sectoral output, external data, and fiscal and financi...

Real-time Forecasts of Economic Activity for Latin American Economies

Real-time Forecasts of Economic Activity for Latin American Economies »

Volume/Issue: 2011/98

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Philip Liu , Rafael Romeu , and Troy Matheson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455254293.001

ISBN: 9781455254293

Keywords: Nowcasting, Short-term forecasting, Real-time data, and Latin America, gdp growth, forecasting, real gdp, equation, equations, Model Construction and Estimation

Macroeconomic policy decisions in real-time are based the assessment of current and future economic conditions. These assessments are made difficult by the presence of incomplete and noisy data. The problem is more...

In Search of Coincident and Leading Indicators of Economic Activity in Argentina

In Search of Coincident and Leading Indicators of Economic Activity in Argentina »

Volume/Issue: 2001/30

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alejandro Simone

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2001

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451844917.001

ISBN: 9781451844917

Keywords: real gdp, forecasting, cointegration, statistics, equation, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Macroeconomics: Production, Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production

Time series on economic activity in developing countries, in particular real GDP, are reported with important lags. Therefore, it is useful to construct indicators that coincide or lead the actual direction and lev...