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Potential Growth in Colombia

Potential Growth in Colombia »

Source: Potential Growth in Colombia

Volume/Issue: 2017/238

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sergi Lanau , Jorge Roldos , and Jose Daniel Rodríguez-Delgado

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 November 2017

ISBN: 9781484324929

Keywords: Western Hemisphere, Colombia, Potential output, Potential output; Colombia; Investment, Investment, General, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

This paper uses a multivariate filter and a production function to project potential growth in Colombia, modeling in detail the impact of low oil prices on investment. The framework also captures the impact of curr...

A Fresh Look at Potential Output in Central, Eastern, and Southeastern European Countries1

A Fresh Look at Potential Output in Central, Eastern, and Southeastern European Countries1 »

Source: A Fresh Look at Potential Output in Central, Eastern, and Southeastern European Countries

Volume/Issue: 2017/37

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jiri Podpiera , Faezeh Raei , and Ara Stepanyan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 February 2017

ISBN: 9781475578980

Keywords: Central and Eastern Europe, Economic growth, Emerging markets, Cross country analysis, Potential output, Potential output; Output gap; Emerging Markets, Output gap, General, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

Was the postcrisis growth slowdown in Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe (CESEE) structural or cyclical? We use three different methods-production function approach, basic multivariate filter, and multivariat...

World Economic Outlook, April 2015
			: Uneven Growth: Short- and Long-Term Factors

World Economic Outlook, April 2015 : Uneven Growth: Short- and Long-Term Factors »

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 July 2015

Language: Arabic

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475573428.081

ISBN: 9781475573428

Keywords: Global growth, trends, global shocks, exchange rates, market economies, public policy, oil prices, private fixed investment, potential output, new mediocre

Global growth remains moderate and uneven, and a number of complex forces are shaping the outlook. These include medium- and long-term trends, global shocks, and many country- or region-specific factors. The April...

World Economic Outlook, April 2015
			: Uneven Growth: Short- and Long-Term Factors

World Economic Outlook, April 2015 : Uneven Growth: Short- and Long-Term Factors »

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 July 2015

Language: Chinese

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475574456.081

ISBN: 9781475574456

Keywords: Global growth, trends, global shocks, exchange rates, market economies, public policy, oil prices, private fixed investment, potential output, new mediocre

Global growth remains moderate and uneven, and a number of complex forces are shaping the outlook. These include medium- and long-term trends, global shocks, and many country- or region-specific factors. The April...

World Economic Outlook, April 2015
			: Uneven Growth: Short- and Long-Term Factors

World Economic Outlook, April 2015 : Uneven Growth: Short- and Long-Term Factors »

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 June 2015

Language: French

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484356920.081

ISBN: 9781484356920

Keywords: Global growth, trends, global shocks, exchange rates, market economies, public policy, oil prices, private fixed investment, potential output, new mediocre

Global growth remains moderate and uneven, and a number of complex forces are shaping the outlook. These include medium- and long-term trends, global shocks, and many country- or region-specific factors. The April...

World Economic Outlook, April 2015
			: Uneven Growth: Short- and Long-Term Factors

World Economic Outlook, April 2015 : Uneven Growth: Short- and Long-Term Factors »

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 June 2015

Language: Russian

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484357736.081

ISBN: 9781484357736

Keywords: Global growth, trends, global shocks, exchange rates, market economies, public policy, oil prices, private fixed investment, potential output, new mediocre

Global growth remains moderate and uneven, and a number of complex forces are shaping the outlook. These include medium- and long-term trends, global shocks, and many country- or region-specific factors. The April...

Panama's Growth Prospects

Panama's Growth Prospects »

Source: Panama's Growth Prospects : Determinants and Sectoral Perspectives

Volume/Issue: 2017/150

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kimberly Beaton , and Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 July 2017

ISBN: 9781484307861

Keywords: Panama, Infrastructure, Investment, Economic growth, Tourism, Western Hemisphere, Potential output, Potential Growth, Growth Determinants, Case Study

This paper estimates medium-term potential growth for a country undergoing significant structural and secular changes. Our forward-looking framework, incorporating three analytical approaches for examining economic...

A New Strategy for Korea's Fiscal Policy in a Low Growth Environment

A New Strategy for Korea's Fiscal Policy in a Low Growth Environment »

Source: A New Strategy for Korea's Fiscal Policy in a Low Growth Environment

Volume/Issue: 2018/91

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Edda Zoli , Hou Wang , and Douglas Laxton

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 April 2018

ISBN: 9781484352724

Keywords: Asia and Pacific, Korea, Republic of, aging; long-term fiscal sustainability; structural reforms; potential output, aging, long-term fiscal sustainability, structural reforms, potential output, Forecasting and Simulation

Adverse demographics and other structural weaknesses impinge on Korea's long-term fiscal outlook and potential growth. Moreover, inadequate social protection is creating poverty and dampening consumption. The paper...

A Closed Form Multivariate Linear Filter

A Closed Form Multivariate Linear Filter »

Source: A Closed Form Multivariate Linear Filter

Volume/Issue: 2018/275

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francis Vitek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 December 2018

ISBN: 9781484388785

Keywords: Closed form; Multivariate linear filter; New Keynesian model; Potential output; Natural rate of unemployment; Natural rate of interest

This paper considers the problem of jointly decomposing a set of time series variables into cyclical and trend components, subject to sets of stochastic linear restrictions among these cyclical and trend components...

Labor Force Participation in Chile

Labor Force Participation in Chile »

Source: Labor Force Participation in Chile : Recent Trends, Drivers, and Prospects

Volume/Issue: 2017/54

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Patrick Blagrave , and Marika Santoro

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 March 2017

ISBN: 9781475586213

Keywords: Labor force participation, Chile, Women, Potential output, Labor supply, Aging, Labor force partipation, female labor force participation, potential output, Labor Economics Policies

Gains in labor force participation rates in Chile have slowed in recent years. We examine their determinants using a cohort-model analysis. Allowing for both age- and cohort-specific effects in the context of a see...