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Output Volatility and Large Output Drops in Emerging Market and Developing Countries

Output Volatility and Large Output Drops in Emerging Market and Developing Countries »

Source: Output Volatility and Large Output Drops in Emerging Market and Developing Countries

Volume/Issue: 2007/114

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Dalia Hakura

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2007

ISBN: 9781451866780

Keywords: Output volatility, output drops, output growth, terms of trade, government spending,

This paper establishes that output volatility and the size of output drops have declined across all countries over the past three decades, but remain considerably higher in developing countries than in industrial c...

Estimating Potential Output in Chile

Estimating Potential Output in Chile »

Source: Estimating Potential Output in Chile : A Multivariate Filter for Mining and Non-Mining Sectors

Volume/Issue: 2016/201

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Patrick Blagrave , and Marika Santoro

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 October 2016

ISBN: 9781475544923

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, Potential Output, Production Function

Using a multivariate filter, we estimate potential growth rates in Chile's mining and non-mining sectors. Estimates for the mining sector incorporate information on copper prices, whereas estimates for non-mining r...

Growth Strategies, Employment, and Income Distribution in Brazil

Growth Strategies, Employment, and Income Distribution in Brazil »

Source: Growth Strategies, Employment, and Income Distribution in Brazil : An Input-Output Assessment

Volume/Issue: 1991/122

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Benedict Clements

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 1991

ISBN: 9781451938944

Keywords: employment, job creation, input-output, income groups

The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, inclu...

A Fresh Look at Potential Output in Central, Eastern, and Southeastern European Countries1

A Fresh Look at Potential Output in Central, Eastern, and Southeastern European Countries1 »

Source: A Fresh Look at Potential Output in Central, Eastern, and Southeastern European Countries

Volume/Issue: 2017/37

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jiri Podpiera , Faezeh Raei , and Ara Stepanyan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 February 2017

ISBN: 9781475578980

Keywords: Central and Eastern Europe, Economic growth, Emerging markets, Cross country analysis, Potential output, Potential output; Output gap; Emerging Markets, Output gap, General, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

Was the postcrisis growth slowdown in Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe (CESEE) structural or cyclical? We use three different methods-production function approach, basic multivariate filter, and multivariat...

Lower for Longer

Lower for Longer »

Source: Lower for Longer : Neutral Rates in the United States

Volume/Issue: 2015/135

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Andrea Pescatori , and Jarkko Turunen

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 June 2015

ISBN: 9781513508382

Keywords: Neutral interest rate, output, interest, output gap, interest rates, General, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects),

We use a semi structural model to estimate neutral rates in the United States. Our Bayesian estimation incorporates prior information on the output gap and potential output (based on a production function approach)...

China’s Growth

China’s Growth »

Source: China's Growth : Can Goldilocks Outgrow Bears?

Volume/Issue: 2015/113

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Wojciech Maliszewski , and Longmei Zhang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 May 2015

ISBN: 9781513504643

Keywords: potential growth, output gap, production, investment, inflation, credit, potential output, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development,

The paper analyzes the recent growth dynamics in China, evaluating both cyclical positions and long-term growth prospects. The analysis shows that financial cycles play a more important role than traditional inflat...

Measures of Potential Output

Measures of Potential Output »

Source: Measures of Potential Output : An Application to Israel

Volume/Issue: 1999/96

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Fabio Scacciavillani , and Phillip Swagel

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 1999

ISBN: 9781451851892

Keywords: potential output, output gap, wavelets analysis, inflation, aggregate demand, price level, monetary fund, monetary economics

This paper estimates measures of potential output for Israel, with the aim of providing evidence on whether the recent growth slowdown is principally a cyclical slowdown or a structural shift toward a slower growth...

Output Collapse in Eastern Europe

Output Collapse in Eastern Europe »

Source: Output Collapse in Eastern Europe : The Role of Credit

Volume/Issue: 1992/64

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Guillermo Calvo , and Fabrizio Coricelli

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 1992

ISBN: 9781451848472

Keywords: bank credit, inflation, real output, relative prices, banking, Output Collapse in Eastern Europe:,

Real bank credit in Eastern European countries after their recent stabilization programs is shown to have fallen sharply, except in the case of Hungary. The meaning of the fall is discussed under the present value...

Potential Growth in Colombia

Potential Growth in Colombia »

Source: Potential Growth in Colombia

Volume/Issue: 2017/238

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sergi Lanau , Jorge Roldos , and Jose Daniel Rodríguez-Delgado

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 November 2017

ISBN: 9781484324929

Keywords: Western Hemisphere, Colombia, Potential output, Potential output; Colombia; Investment, Investment, General, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

This paper uses a multivariate filter and a production function to project potential growth in Colombia, modeling in detail the impact of low oil prices on investment. The framework also captures the impact of curr...

The Evolution of Output in Transition Economies

The Evolution of Output in Transition Economies »

Source: The Evolution of Output in Transition Economies : Explaining the Differences

Volume/Issue: 1999/73

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ratna Sahay , Jeronimo Zettelmeyer , Eduardo Borensztein , and Andrew Berg

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 1999

ISBN: 9781451849448

Keywords: transition economies, growth, output decline, recovery, structural reforms, output growth, correlation, equation, internal liberalization

What are the relative roles of macroeconomic variables, structural policies, and initial conditions in explaining the time path of output in transition and the large observed differences in output performance acros...