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Oil Shocks and External Balances

Oil Shocks and External Balances »

Source: Oil Shocks and External Balances

Volume/Issue: 2007/110

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2007

ISBN: 9781451866742

Keywords: External Balances, Oil demand Shocks, Oil supply Shocks, International Financial Integration, oil exporters, crude oil, oil shocks, oil supply,

This paper studies the effects of demand and supply shocks in the global crude oil market on several measures of countries' external balance, including the oil and non-oil trade balances, the current account, and c...

Optimal Oil Production and the World Supply of Oil

Optimal Oil Production and the World Supply of Oil »

Source: Optimal Oil Production and the World Supply of Oil

Volume/Issue: 2012/294

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nikolay Aleksandrov , lajos Gyurko , and Raphael Espinoza

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 December 2012

ISBN: 9781616354831

Keywords: Real Options, Capacity Expansion, Equilibrium Price of Oil, oil revenues, oil prices, world supply, oil fields, General, Energy and the Macroeconomy,

We study the optimal oil extraction strategy and the value of an oil field using a multiple real option approach. The numerical method is flexible enough to solve a model with several state variables, to discuss th...

The Future of Oil

The Future of Oil »

Source: The Future of Oil : Geology Versus Technology

Volume/Issue: 2012/109

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Marcelle Chauvet , Jack Selody , Douglas Laxton , Michael Kumhof , Jaromir Benes , Ondrej Kamenik , and Susanna Mursula

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2012

ISBN: 9781475503302

Keywords: Hubbert&;amp;#x2019;s Peak, Bayesian econometrics, oil supply, oil demand, world oil production, Bayesian Analysis, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation: Demand and Supply, Exhaustible Resources and Economic Development,

We discuss and reconcile two diametrically opposed views concerning the future of world oil production and prices. The geological view expects that physical constraints will dominate the future evolution of oil out...

Oil Price Volatility and the Role of Speculation

Oil Price Volatility and the Role of Speculation »

Source: Oil Price Volatility and the Role of Speculation

Volume/Issue: 2014/218

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Samya Beidas-Strom , and Andrea Pescatori

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 December 2014

ISBN: 9781498333481

Keywords: oil and the business cycle, crude oil speculation and inventories, demand and supply shocks, oil price volatility, vector autoregression (VAR), price, market, demand, prices, inventories

How much does speculation contribute to oil price volatility? We revisit this contentious question by estimating a sign-restricted structural vector autoregression (SVAR). First, using a simple storage model, we sh...

The Africa Growth and Opportunity Act and its Rules of Origin

The Africa Growth and Opportunity Act and its Rules of Origin »

Source: The Africa Growth and Opportunity Act and its Rules of Origin : Generosity Undermined?

Volume/Issue: 2002/158

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Arvind Subramanian , Aaditya Mattoo , and Devesh Roy

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2002

ISBN: 9781451857597

Keywords: preference, rules of origin, export supply, oil exports, exporters, preferential access, Macroeconomic Aspects Of International Trade And Finance,

This paper describes the United States recently enacted Africa Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) and assesses its quantitative impact on African exports. The AGOA expands the scope of preferential access of Africa'...

A Barrel of Oil or a Bottle of Wine

A Barrel of Oil or a Bottle of Wine »

Source: A Barrel of Oil or a Bottle of Wine : How Do Global Growth Dynamics Affect Commodity Prices?

Volume/Issue: 2011/1

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tahsin Saadi Sedik , and Serhan Cevik

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2011

ISBN: 9781455211791

Keywords: Wine, Comovement, Global growth, Emerging economies, crude oil, oil demand, Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation: Other, Energy: Demand and Supply, Energy and the Macroeconomy,

This paper investigates the causes of extreme fluctuations in commodity prices from 1990 to 2010. Analyzing two very distinct commodities-crude oil and fine wine, we find that macroeconomic factors are the main det...

Oil and the World Economy

Oil and the World Economy »

Source: Oil and the World Economy : Some Possible Futures

Volume/Issue: 2012/256

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michael Kumhof , and Dirk Muir

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 25 October 2012

ISBN: 9781475586640

Keywords: Hubbert&;amp;#x2019;s Peak, externalities, oil exporters, exporters, oil importers, world economy, Bayesian Analysis, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Demand and Supply, Exhaustible Resources and Economic Development,

This paper, using a six-region DSGE model of the world economy, assesses the GDP and current account implications of permanent oil supply shocks hitting the world economy at an unspecified future date. For modest-s...

Oil Shocks and External Balances

Oil Shocks and External Balances »

Volume/Issue: 2007/110

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2007

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451866742.001

ISBN: 9781451866742

Keywords: External Balances, Oil demand Shocks, Oil supply Shocks, International Financial Integration, oil exporters, crude oil, oil shocks, oil supply,

This paper studies the effects of demand and supply shocks in the global crude oil market on several measures of countries' external balance, including the oil and non-oil trade balances, the current account, and c...

Optimal Oil Production and the World Supply of Oil

Optimal Oil Production and the World Supply of Oil »

Volume/Issue: 2012/294

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nikolay Aleksandrov , lajos Gyurko , and Raphael Espinoza

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 December 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781616354831.001

ISBN: 9781616354831

Keywords: Real Options, Capacity Expansion, Equilibrium Price of Oil, oil revenues, oil prices, world supply, oil fields, General, Energy and the Macroeconomy,

We study the optimal oil extraction strategy and the value of an oil field using a multiple real option approach. The numerical method is flexible enough to solve a model with several state variables, to discuss th...

The Future of Oil
			: Geology Versus Technology

The Future of Oil : Geology Versus Technology »

Volume/Issue: 2012/109

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Marcelle Chauvet , Jack Selody , Douglas Laxton , Michael Kumhof , Jaromir Benes , Ondrej Kamenik , and Susanna Mursula

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475503302.001

ISBN: 9781475503302

Keywords: Hubbert&;amp;#x2019;s Peak, Bayesian econometrics, oil supply, oil demand, world oil production, Bayesian Analysis, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation: Demand and Supply, Exhaustible Resources and Economic Development,

We discuss and reconcile two diametrically opposed views concerning the future of world oil production and prices. The geological view expects that physical constraints will dominate the future evolution of oil out...