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Anticipating Arrears to the IMF Early Warning Systems

Anticipating Arrears to the IMF Early Warning Systems »

Source: Anticipating Arrears to the IMF Early Warning Systems

Volume/Issue: 2003/18

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Chikako Oka

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2003

ISBN: 9781451843668

Keywords: early warning, probability, currency crises, debt service, external debt, debt outstanding, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions, International Lending and Debt Problems, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation,

This paper attempts to predict the incidence of arrears to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) by modifying and applying two of the major early warning systems for currency crises: the "signals" approach proposed...

Anticipating Arrears to the IMF Early Warning Systems

Anticipating Arrears to the IMF Early Warning Systems »

Volume/Issue: 2003/18

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Chikako Oka

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2003

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451843668.001

ISBN: 9781451843668

Keywords: early warning, probability, currency crises, debt service, external debt, debt outstanding, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions, International Lending and Debt Problems, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation,

This paper attempts to predict the incidence of arrears to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) by modifying and applying two of the major early warning systems for currency crises: the "signals" approach proposed...