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The Problem that Wasn't

The Problem that Wasn't »

Source: The Problem that Wasn't : Coordination Failures in Sovereign Debt Restructurings

Volume/Issue: 2011/265

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jeronimo Zettelmeyer , Marcos Chamon , and Ran Bi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2011

ISBN: 9781463924645

Keywords: exit consents, creditor coordination, bond, bonds, debt restructuring, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions, International Lending and Debt Problems, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Other, International Law,

Contrary to widespread expectation, debt renegotiations in the era of bond finance have generally been quick and involved little litigation. We present a model that rationalizes the initial fears and offers interpr...

The Global Credit Crunch and Foreign Banks' Lending to Emerging Markets

The Global Credit Crunch and Foreign Banks' Lending to Emerging Markets »

Source: The Global Credit Crunch and Foreign Banks' Lending to Emerging Markets : Why Did Latin America Fare Better?

Volume/Issue: 2010/102

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kulwant Rai , and Herman Kamil

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2010

ISBN: 9781455200610

Keywords: global: credit crunch, cross-border lending, foreign banks, foreign bank, international settlements, foreign currency, foreign affiliates, International Lending and Debt Problems, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, International Finance Forecasting and Simulation,

The recent global financial turmoil raised questions about the stability of foreign banks' financing to emerging market countries. While foreign banks' lending growth to most emerging market regions contracted shar...

Overpricing in Emerging Market Credit-Default-Swap Contracts

Overpricing in Emerging Market Credit-Default-Swap Contracts »

Source: Overpricing in Emerging Market Credit-Default-Swap Contracts : Some Evidence from Recent Distress Cases

Volume/Issue: 2005/125

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jochen Andritzky , and Manmohan Singh

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2005

ISBN: 9781451861440

Keywords: recovery value, cheapest-to-deliver bond, credit-default-swap contract, ISDA, bond, bonds, bond prices, present value, bond price, International Lending and Debt Problems

Since recent debt restructurings that constitute credit events have been more frequent than outright defaults, sovereign bond prices may not collapse during distress. In this case, the likely high recovery values a...

A Debt Intolerance Framework Applied to Central America, Panama and the Dominican Republic

A Debt Intolerance Framework Applied to Central America, Panama and the Dominican Republic »

Source: A Debt Intolerance Framework Applied to Central America, Panama and the Dominican Republic

Volume/Issue: 2011/220

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Geoffrey Bannister , and Luis Barrot

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2011

ISBN: 9781463904227

Keywords: CAPDR, debt intolerance, equation, debt ratio, public debt, external debt, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, International Finance: General, International Lending and Debt Problems,

This paper presents an alternative method for calculating debt targets using the debt intolerance literature of Reinhart, Rogoff, and Savastano (2003) and Reinhart and Rogoff (2009). The methodology presented impro...

Exchange Rate Policy and Sovereign Bond Spreads in Developing Countries

Exchange Rate Policy and Sovereign Bond Spreads in Developing Countries »

Source: Exchange Rate Policy and Sovereign Bond Spreads in Developing Countries

Volume/Issue: 2004/210

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Zhanwei Yue , and Samir Jahjah

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2004

ISBN: 9781451874822

Keywords: Sovereign Credit Spreads, Overvaluation, Debt Crises, exchange rate, exchange rate misalignment, bond spreads, bond issue, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions, International Lending and Debt Problems,

We test the hypothesis of a link between exchange rate policy and sovereign bonds. We analyze the effect of exchange rate policies on supply and credit spreads of sovereign bonds issued by developing countries. An...

Sovereign Credit Ratings and Spreads in Emerging Markets

Sovereign Credit Ratings and Spreads in Emerging Markets »

Source: Sovereign Credit Ratings and Spreads in Emerging Markets : Does Investment Grade Matter?

Volume/Issue: 2011/44

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Laura Jaramillo , and Michelle Tejada

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2011

ISBN: 9781455218981

Keywords: Rating Agencies, public debt, external public debt, standard deviation, external debt, standard errors, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, International Finance: General, International Lending and Debt Problems,

Sovereign investment grade status is often associated with lower spreads in international markets. Using a panel framework for 35 emerging markets between 1997 and 2010, thispaper finds that investment grade status...

Bank Asset Quality in Emerging Markets

Bank Asset Quality in Emerging Markets »

Source: Bank Asset Quality in Emerging Markets : Determinants and Spillovers

Volume/Issue: 2012/71

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Reinout De Bock , and Alexander Demyanets

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2012

ISBN: 9781475502237

Keywords: Macro-financial linkages, Nonperforming loans, Exchange rate, Panel regressions, capital inflows, net capital flows, exchange rates, Bank Asset Quality in Emerging Markets, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, International Finance: General

This paper assesses the vulnerability of emerging markets and their banks to aggregate shocks. We find significant links between banks' asset quality, credit and macroeconomic aggregates. Lower economic growth, an...

External Liabilities and Crises

External Liabilities and Crises »

Source: External Liabilities and Crises

Volume/Issue: 2013/113

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Luis Catão , and Gian Milesi-Ferretti

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 May 2013

ISBN: 9781484315910

Keywords: International Investment Positions, Current Account Imbalances, Foreign Exchange Reserves, net external debt, net debt, current account balance, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, International Lending and Debt Problems, Foreign Exchange Reserves.,

We examine the determinants of external crises, focusing on the role of foreign liabilities and their composition. Using a variety of statistical tools and comprehensive data spanning 1970-2011, we find that the ra...

Dollarization of Liabilities

Dollarization of Liabilities »

Source: Dollarization of Liabilities : Beyond the Usual Suspects

Volume/Issue: 2003/11

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Adolfo Barajas , and Armando Méndez Morales

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2003

ISBN: 9781451842807

Keywords: panel data, exchange rate, foreign currency, banking, deposit insurance, bank intervention, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, International Lending and Debt Problems,

Dollarization of liabilities (DL) has emerged as a key factor in explaining the vulnerability of emerging markets to financial and currency crises. "Usual suspects" of causing DL comprise "fatalistic" determinants...

IMF-Supported Programs in Low Income Countries: Economic Impact over the Short and Longer Term1

IMF-Supported Programs in Low Income Countries: Economic Impact over the Short and Longer Term1 »

Source: IMF-Supported Programs in Low Income Countries : Economic Impact over the Short and Longer Term

Volume/Issue: 2013/273

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Christian Mumssen , Yasemin Bal-Gunduz , Christian Ebeke , and Linda Kaltani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 31 December 2013

ISBN: 9781484356203

Keywords: macroeconomic outcomes, propensity score matching, low-income countries, balance of payments, current account, current account balance, external shocks, current account balances, International Lending and Debt Problems, Globalization: Economic Development

This paper studies the short and longer-term impact of IMF engagement in Low-Income Countries (LICs) over nearly three decades. In contrast to earlier studies, we focus on a sample composed exclusively of LICs and...