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United Kingdom

United Kingdom »

Source: United Kingdom : Selected Issues Paper

Volume/Issue: 2011/221

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2011

ISBN: 9781462337521

Keywords: inflation equation, inflation rate, annual inflation, forecasting inflation

In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after discuss...

United Kingdom: Selected Issues Paper

United Kingdom: Selected Issues Paper »

Source: United Kingdom : Selected Issues Paper

Volume/Issue: 2011/221

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2011

ISBN: 9781462337521

Keywords: inflation equation, inflation rate, annual inflation, forecasting inflation

In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after discuss...

United Kingdom: Selected Issues Paper

United Kingdom: Selected Issues Paper »

Source: United Kingdom : Selected Issues Paper

Volume/Issue: 2011/221

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2011

ISBN: 9781462337521

Keywords: inflation equation, inflation rate, annual inflation, forecasting inflation

In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after discuss...

Ghostbusting

Ghostbusting »

Source: Ghostbusting : Which Output Gap Measure Really Matters?

Volume/Issue: 2004/146

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Andreas Billmeier

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2004

ISBN: 9781451856675

Keywords: Output gap, inflation forecasting, forecasting, statistics, statistic, inflationary pressures, Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation,

This paper investigates various output gap measures in a simple inflation forecasting framework. Reflecting the cyclical position of an economy, an (unobservable) output gap has important implications for economic...

The Inverted Fisher Hypothesis

The Inverted Fisher Hypothesis »

Source: The Inverted Fisher Hypothesis : Inflation Forecastability and Asset Substitution"

Volume/Issue: 2000/194

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Woon Choi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2000

ISBN: 9781451859850

Keywords: Inverted Fisher hypothesis, asset substitution, inflation forecastability, switching regression, threshold effect, nominal interest rate, inflation process, high inflation, inflation rate

This paper examines the implications of inflation persistence for the inverted Fisher hypothesis that nominal interest rates do not adjust to inflation because of a high degree of substitutability between money and...

Forecasting ECB Monetary Policy

Forecasting ECB Monetary Policy »

Source: Forecasting ECB Monetary Policy : Accuracy is (Still) a Matter of Geography

Volume/Issue: 2006/41

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michael Ehrmann , Marcel Fratzscher , and Helge Berger

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2006

ISBN: 9781451863017

Keywords: ECB, forecast, geography, history, heterogeneity, Taylor rule, learning, transmission, survey data, communication

Monetary policy in the euro area is conducted within a multicountry, multicultural, and multilingual context involving multiple central banking traditions. How does this heterogeneity affect the ability of economic...

Testing the Transparency Benefits of Inflation Targeting

Testing the Transparency Benefits of Inflation Targeting »

Source: Testing the Transparency Benefits of Inflation Targeting : Evidence from Private Sector Forecasts

Volume/Issue: 2006/289

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Christopher Crowe

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2006

ISBN: 9781451865493

Keywords: inflation forecasts, central bank transparency, propensity score matching, central bank, Asymmetric and Private Information,

I test whether inflation targeting (IT) enhances transparency using inflation forecast data for 11 IT adoption countries. IT adoption promotes convergence in forecast errors, suggesting that it enhances transparenc...

Shock from Graying

Shock from Graying »

Source: Shock from Graying : Is the Demographic Shift Weakening Monetary Policy Effectiveness

Volume/Issue: 2013/191

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Patrick Imam

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 September 2013

ISBN: 9781475598070

Keywords: Demographic shift, life-cycle model, monetary policy, inflation, monetary transmission, central bank, inflation targeting, Demographic Trends and Forecasts,

Abstract Empirical evidence is mounting that, in advanced economies, changes in monetary policy have a more benign impact on the economy—given better anchored inflation expectations and inflation being less...

Inflation Targeting and the Unemployment-Inflation Trade-off

Inflation Targeting and the Unemployment-Inflation Trade-off »

Source: Inflation Targeting and the Unemployment-Inflation Trade-off

Volume/Issue: 2001/166

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Chorng-Huey Wong , Eric Clifton , and Gene Leon

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2001

ISBN: 9781451858105

Keywords: inflation targeting, credibility, Phillips curve, smooth transition regression models, inflation, central bank, monetary fund, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation, Inflation Targeting Credibility,

This paper examines the impact of the introduction of inflation targeting on the unemployment-inflation trade-off in OECD countries. Theoretical models suggest that the credibility-enhancing effects of the adoption...

Some Implications for Monetary Policy of Uncertain Exchange Rate Pass-Through

Some Implications for Monetary Policy of Uncertain Exchange Rate Pass-Through »

Source: Some Implications for Monetary Policy of Uncertain Exchange Rate Pass-Through

Volume/Issue: 2003/25

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Benjamin Hunt , and Peter Isard

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 March 2003

ISBN: 9781451844283

Keywords: Exchange Rate, Uncertainty, inflation, exchange rate pass, monetary policy rules, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

The paper uses MULTIMOD to examine the implications of uncertain exchange rate pass-through for the conduct of monetary policy. From the policymaker's perspective, uncertainty about exchange rate pass-through impli...