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The Information Content of Money in Forecasting Euro Area Inflation

The Information Content of Money in Forecasting Euro Area Inflation »

Source: The Information Content of Money in Forecasting Euro Area Inflation

Volume/Issue: 2008/166

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Emil Stavrev , and Helge Berger

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2008

ISBN: 9781451870244

Keywords: Information content of money, inflation forecasting, New Keynesian model, DSGE model, P* model, Two-pillar Phillips curve, VAR model, general dynamic factor model, Bayesian estimation, aggregate demand

This paper contributes to the debate on the role of money in monetary policy by analyzing the information content of money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among...

The Real Effects of Financial Sector Risk1

The Real Effects of Financial Sector Risk1 »

Source: The Real Effects of Financial Sector Risk

Volume/Issue: 2009/198

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Andrea Maechler , and Alexander Tieman

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2009

ISBN: 9781451873450

Keywords: financial sector risk, feedback effects, second-round effects, credit growth, financial sector, regression results, panel regression, regression equation, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

This paper estimates the magnitude of key effects on the real economy from financial sector stress. We focus on the short-run feedback effect from market-based indicators of financial sector risk to the real econom...

The Information Content of Money in Forecasting Euro Area Inflation

The Information Content of Money in Forecasting Euro Area Inflation »

Volume/Issue: 2008/166

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Emil Stavrev , and Helge Berger

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2008

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451870244.001

ISBN: 9781451870244

Keywords: Information content of money, inflation forecasting, New Keynesian model, DSGE model, P* model, Two-pillar Phillips curve, VAR model, general dynamic factor model, Bayesian estimation, aggregate demand

This paper contributes to the debate on the role of money in monetary policy by analyzing the information content of money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among...

The Real Effects of Financial Sector Risk

The Real Effects of Financial Sector Risk »

Volume/Issue: 2009/198

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Andrea Maechler , and Alexander Tieman

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2009

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451873450.001

ISBN: 9781451873450

Keywords: financial sector risk, feedback effects, second-round effects, credit growth, financial sector, regression results, panel regression, regression equation, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

This paper estimates the magnitude of key effects on the real economy from financial sector stress. We focus on the short-run feedback effect from market-based indicators of financial sector risk to the real econom...