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IEO Annual Report 2014

IEO Annual Report 2014 »

Series: Independent Evaluation Office Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Independent Evaluation Office

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 August 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498350891.017

ISBN: 9781498350891

Keywords: evaluation, imf, forecasts, monitoring, quality

The 2014 Annual Report of the Independent Evaluation Office of the International Monetary Fund....

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2017, Middle East and Central Asia

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2017, Middle East and Central Asia »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 October 2017

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484312520.086

ISBN: 9781484312520

Keywords: Oil, Oil exports, economic outlook, economic forecasting, Middle East and Central Asia

Oil exporters in the Middle East and North Africa, Afghanistan, and Pakistan region (MENAP) are continuing to adjust to lower oil prices, which have dampened growth and contributed to large fiscal and external defi...

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2020, Europe
			: Whatever It Takes: Europe's Response to COVID-19

New
Regional Economic Outlook, October 2020, Europe : Whatever It Takes: Europe's Response to COVID-19 »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. European Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 21 October 2020

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513558233.086

ISBN: 9781513558233

Keywords: COVID-19 , Monetary policy, Macroprudential policies and financial stability, Health, Regional Economic Outlook, Financial markets, Private sector, Crisis management, Crisis recovery and resolution planning, COVID-19

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused dramatic loss of human life and major damage to the European economy, but thanks to an exceptionally strong policy response, potentially devastating outcomes have been avoided....

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Middle East and Central Asia

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Middle East and Central Asia »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 October 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781616351298.086

ISBN: 9781616351298

Keywords: Economic recovery, Energy prices, Commodity prices, Economic forecasting, Economic conditions, Spillovers, South Sudan, Regional Economic Outlook, Foreign direct investment, Monetary policy

The Arab Spring holds the promise of improved living standards and a more prosperous future for the peoples of the Middle East and North Africa region. At the same time, the region is witnessing uncertainty and eco...

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2020, Middle East and Central Asia

New
Regional Economic Outlook, October 2020, Middle East and Central Asia »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 October 2020

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513558165.086

ISBN: 9781513558165

Keywords: COVID-19 , Health, Crisis management, Crisis recovery and resolution planning, Fluctuating oil revenues, Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Monetary policy, Tourism, Education, Regional Economic Outlook

Countries in the Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan, and Pakistan (MENAP) region and those in the Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA) responded to the COVID-19 pandemic with swift and stringent measures to mitigate...

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2020, Asia and Pacific
			: Navigating the Pandemic: A Multispeed Recovery in Asia

New
Regional Economic Outlook, October 2020, Asia and Pacific : Navigating the Pandemic: A Multispeed Recovery in Asia »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 22 October 2020

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513558202.086

ISBN: 9781513558202

Keywords: COVID-19 , Crisis management, Crisis recovery and resolution planning, Regional Economic Outlook, Economic forecasting, Monetary policy, Gender inequality, Income inequality, Poverty and inequality, Loss of jobs

The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic is still unfolding around the globe. In Asia, as elsewhere, the virus has ebbed in some countries but surged in others. The global economy is beginning to recover after a...

World Economic Outlook, October 2018
			: Challenges to Steady Growth

World Economic Outlook, October 2018 : Challenges to Steady Growth »

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 October 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484376799.081

ISBN: 9781484376799

Keywords: Inflation rates, Inflation, Inflation targeting, Inflation research, Inflation risk, Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009, Gross domestric product growth, Output growth, Global Financial Stability Risks, International trade

Global growth for 2018-19 is projected to remain steady at its 2017 level, but its pace is less vigorous than projected in April and it has become less balanced. Downside risks to global growth have risen in the pa...

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2014, Middle East and Central Asia,

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2014, Middle East and Central Asia, »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 October 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498343732.086

ISBN: 9781498343732

Keywords: Cross country analysis, Economic forecasting, Economic cooperation, Economic growth, Economic conditions, Afghanistan, Economic integration, Middle East and Central Asia, North Africa, Oil exporting countries

This issue discusses economic developments in the Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan, and Pakistan (MENAP), which continue to reflect the diversity of conditions prevailing across the region. Most high-income o...

Consensus Forecasts and Inefficient Information Aggregation

Consensus Forecasts and Inefficient Information Aggregation »

Source: Consensus Forecasts and Inefficient Information Aggregation

Volume/Issue: 2010/178

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Christopher Crowe

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2010

ISBN: 9781455201891

Keywords: Consensus Forecasts, Information Aggregation, Forecast Efficiency, efficiency, forecast horizons, forecast errors, forecast horizon, forecast error, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation,

Consensus forecasts are inefficient, over-weighting older information already in the public domain at the expense of new private information, when individual forecasters have different information sets. Using a cro...

Imperfect Central Bank Communication - Information versus Distraction*

Imperfect Central Bank Communication - Information versus Distraction* »

Source: Imperfect Central Bank Communication - Information versus Distraction

Volume/Issue: 2008/60

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Athanasios Orphanides , Spencer Dale , and Pär Österholm

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2008

ISBN: 9781451869224

Keywords: Forecasts, Learning, inflation, central bank,

Much of the information communicated by central banks is noisy or imperfect. This paper considers the potential benefits and limitations of central bank communications in a model of imperfect knowledge and learning...