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China’s Demography and its Implications

China’s Demography and its Implications »

Source: China's Demography and its Implications

Volume/Issue: 2013/82

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Il Houng Lee , Xu Qingjun , and Murtaza Syed

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 28 March 2013

ISBN: 9781484363362

Keywords: Demographics, demography, dependency ratio, working population, pension, Forecasting and Simulation, Demographic Trends and Forecasts, Public Policy, China, Peoples Republic of,

In coming decades, China will undergo a notable demographic transformation, with its old-age dependency ratio doubling to 24 percent by 2030 and rising even more precipitously thereafter. This paper uses the perman...

Macroeconomic Effects and Policy Challenges of Population Aging

Macroeconomic Effects and Policy Challenges of Population Aging »

Source: Macroeconomic Effects and Policy Challenges of Population Aging

Volume/Issue: 2006/95

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Hamid Faruqee , and Natalia Tamirisa

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2006

ISBN: 9781451863550

Keywords: simulation, general equilibrium model, dependency ratio, labor income, labor force, retirement, birth, Social Security and Public Pensions, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation,

This paper simulates the macroeconomic effects of population aging in a dynamic overlapping generations model of a small open economy. The model is calibrated to data for the Czech Republic, where population aging...

Population Aging in Japan

Population Aging in Japan »

Source: Population Aging in Japan : Demographic Shock and Fiscal Sustainability

Volume/Issue: 2001/40

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Martin Mühleisen , and Hamid Faruqee

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2001

ISBN: 9781451845976

Keywords: saving, general equilibrium analysis, social security, birth rate, elderly, Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models, Macroeconomics: Consumption, Production, Employment, and Investment: Forecasting and Simulation,

The paper develops a general equilibrium framework to examine the economic implications of population aging in Japan. Particular attention is paid to aggregate saving behavior which is modeled on the basis of empir...

Economic Implications of China's Demographics in the 21st Century

Economic Implications of China's Demographics in the 21st Century »

Source: Economic Implications of China's Demographics in the 21st Century

Volume/Issue: 2003/29

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kevin Cheng

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2003

ISBN: 9781451844825

Keywords: demographic structure, fertility, fertility rates, children per woman, fertility rate, number of children, Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment

This study assesses the economic implications of China's changing population in the 21st century using a numerical general equilibrium model. The simulations show that lower fertility rates yield lower saving rates...

The Macroeconomic Effects of Migration from the New European Union Member States to the United Kingdom

The Macroeconomic Effects of Migration from the New European Union Member States to the United Kingdom »

Source: The Macroeconomic Effects of Migration from the New European Union Member States to the United Kingdom

Volume/Issue: 2007/61

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Dora Iakova

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2007

ISBN: 9781451866254

Keywords: new EU member states, free labor movement, dependency ratio, labor income, labor force, retirement, birth, Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production

The United Kingdom allowed workers from the ten new European Union member countries immediate access to its labor market after the accession in 2004. This paper uses a general equilibrium framework to explore the d...

Population Aging and its Macroeconomic Implications

Population Aging and its Macroeconomic Implications »

Source: Population Aging and its Macroeconomic Implications : A Framework for Analysis

Volume/Issue: 2002/16

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Hamid Faruqee

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2002

ISBN: 9781451843415

Keywords: Population Aging, saving, birth rate, birth, birth ? rate, birth rates, population growth, Macroeconomics: Consumption, Production, Employment

This paper develops a model to examine the macroeconomic implications of population aging. Using a general equilibrium framework, the analysis examines the various channels through which changes in demographics aff...

Debt, Deficits, and Age-Specific Mortality

Debt, Deficits, and Age-Specific Mortality »

Source: Debt, Deficits, and Age-Specific Mortality

Volume/Issue: 2002/19

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Hamid Faruqee

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2002

ISBN: 9781451843750

Keywords: Ricardian Equivalence, Saving, mortality rates, mortality rate, birth, birth rate, death rate, Macroeconomics: Consumption, Production, Employment

This paper develops an overlapping agents model with age-specific mortality rates. The analytical framework also nests Blanchard's (1985) "perpetual youth" model as a special, though perhaps not realistic, case. Wi...

Africa Rising

Africa Rising »

Source: Africa Rising : Harnessing the Demographic Dividend

Volume/Issue: 2014/143

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paulo Drummond , Vimal Thakoor , and Shu Yu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 August 2014

ISBN: 9781498379878

Keywords: Demographic Dividend, Economic Growth, Sub-Saharan Africa, Panel Estimates, working age population, gdp per capita, demographic transition, growth rate, Models with Panel Data, Demographic Trends and Forecasts

Africa will account for 80 percent of the projected 4 billion increase in the global population by 2100. The accompanying increase in its working age population creates a window of opportunity, which if properly ha...

China's Demography and its Implications

China's Demography and its Implications »

Volume/Issue: 2013/82

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Il Houng Lee , Xu Qingjun , and Murtaza Syed

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 28 March 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484363362.001

ISBN: 9781484363362

Keywords: Demographics, demography, dependency ratio, working population, pension, Forecasting and Simulation, Demographic Trends and Forecasts, Public Policy, China, Peoples Republic of,

In coming decades, China will undergo a notable demographic transformation, with its old-age dependency ratio doubling to 24 percent by 2030 and rising even more precipitously thereafter. This paper uses the perman...

Macroeconomic Effects and Policy Challenges of Population Aging

Macroeconomic Effects and Policy Challenges of Population Aging »

Volume/Issue: 2006/95

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Hamid Faruqee , and Natalia Tamirisa

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2006

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451863550.001

ISBN: 9781451863550

Keywords: simulation, general equilibrium model, dependency ratio, labor income, labor force, retirement, birth, Social Security and Public Pensions, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation,

This paper simulates the macroeconomic effects of population aging in a dynamic overlapping generations model of a small open economy. The model is calibrated to data for the Czech Republic, where population aging...