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An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts

An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 1

Volume: 54

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 September 2007

ISBN: 9781589066052

Keywords: forecast errors, forecast error, serial correlation, test statistics, output growth

This is the first issue of IMF Staff Papers published under a special partnership between the IMF and Palgrave Macmillan. Very little will change with regard to the journal's visual appearance, though significant s...

The Missing Globalization Puzzle: Evidence of the Declining Importance of Distance

The Missing Globalization Puzzle: Evidence of the Declining Importance of Distance »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 1

Volume: 54

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 September 2007

ISBN: 9781589066052

Keywords: forecast errors, forecast error, serial correlation, test statistics, output growth

This is the first issue of IMF Staff Papers published under a special partnership between the IMF and Palgrave Macmillan. Very little will change with regard to the journal's visual appearance, though significant s...

Foreign Aid Policy and Sources of Poverty: A Quantitative Framework

Foreign Aid Policy and Sources of Poverty: A Quantitative Framework »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 1

Volume: 54

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 September 2007

ISBN: 9781589066052

Keywords: forecast errors, forecast error, serial correlation, test statistics, output growth

This is the first issue of IMF Staff Papers published under a special partnership between the IMF and Palgrave Macmillan. Very little will change with regard to the journal's visual appearance, though significant s...

Commodity Price Shocks and the Odds on Fiscal Performance: A Structural Vector Autoregression Approach

Commodity Price Shocks and the Odds on Fiscal Performance: A Structural Vector Autoregression Approach »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 1

Volume: 54

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 September 2007

ISBN: 9781589066052

Keywords: forecast errors, forecast error, serial correlation, test statistics, output growth

This is the first issue of IMF Staff Papers published under a special partnership between the IMF and Palgrave Macmillan. Very little will change with regard to the journal's visual appearance, though significant s...

Labor Policies to Raise Employment

Labor Policies to Raise Employment »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 1

Volume: 54

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 September 2007

ISBN: 9781589066052

Keywords: forecast errors, forecast error, serial correlation, test statistics, output growth

This is the first issue of IMF Staff Papers published under a special partnership between the IMF and Palgrave Macmillan. Very little will change with regard to the journal's visual appearance, though significant s...

Grants vs. Loans

Grants vs. Loans »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 1

Volume: 54

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 September 2007

ISBN: 9781589066052

Keywords: forecast errors, forecast error, serial correlation, test statistics, output growth

This is the first issue of IMF Staff Papers published under a special partnership between the IMF and Palgrave Macmillan. Very little will change with regard to the journal's visual appearance, though significant s...

Core Inflation: Measurement and Statistical Issues in Choosing Among Alternative Measures

Core Inflation: Measurement and Statistical Issues in Choosing Among Alternative Measures »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 1

Volume: 54

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 September 2007

ISBN: 9781589066052

Keywords: forecast errors, forecast error, serial correlation, test statistics, output growth

This is the first issue of IMF Staff Papers published under a special partnership between the IMF and Palgrave Macmillan. Very little will change with regard to the journal's visual appearance, though significant s...

An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts

An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts »

Source: An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts

Volume/Issue: 2006/59

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Allan Timmermann

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2006

ISBN: 9781451863192

Keywords: Global economic condition, forecast performance, and evaluation, inflation, statistics, correlation, inflation forecasts, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation, Prices, Business Fluctuations

The World Economic Outlook (WEO) is a key source of forecasts of global economic conditions. It is therefore important to review the performance of these forecasts against both actual outcomes and alternative forec...

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 1

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 1 »

Volume: 54

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 September 2007

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781589066052.024

ISBN: 9781589066052

Keywords: forecast errors, forecast error, serial correlation, test statistics, output growth

This is the first issue of IMF Staff Papers published under a special partnership between the IMF and Palgrave Macmillan. Very little will change with regard to the journal's visual appearance, though significant s...

An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts

An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts »

Volume/Issue: 2006/59

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Allan Timmermann

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2006

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451863192.001

ISBN: 9781451863192

Keywords: Global economic condition, forecast performance, and evaluation, inflation, statistics, correlation, inflation forecasts, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation, Prices, Business Fluctuations

The World Economic Outlook (WEO) is a key source of forecasts of global economic conditions. It is therefore important to review the performance of these forecasts against both actual outcomes and alternative forec...