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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Middle East and Central Asia

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Middle East and Central Asia »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 October 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781616351298.086

ISBN: 9781616351298

Keywords: Economic recovery, Energy prices, Commodity prices, Economic forecasting, Economic conditions, Spillovers, South Sudan, Regional Economic Outlook, Foreign direct investment, Monetary policy

The Arab Spring holds the promise of improved living standards and a more prosperous future for the peoples of the Middle East and North Africa region. At the same time, the region is witnessing uncertainty and eco...

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2014, Middle East and Central Asia,

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2014, Middle East and Central Asia, »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 October 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498343732.086

ISBN: 9781498343732

Keywords: Cross country analysis, Economic forecasting, Economic cooperation, Economic growth, Economic conditions, Afghanistan, Economic integration, Middle East and Central Asia, North Africa, Oil exporting countries

This issue discusses economic developments in the Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan, and Pakistan (MENAP), which continue to reflect the diversity of conditions prevailing across the region. Most high-income o...

Measures of Fiscal Risk in  Hydrocarbon-Exporting Countries

Measures of Fiscal Risk in Hydrocarbon-Exporting Countries »

Source: Measures of Fiscal Risk in Hydrocarbon-Exporting Countries

Volume/Issue: 2012/260

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Carlos Caceres , and Leandro Medina

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 October 2012

ISBN: 9781475530162

Keywords: stochastic simulations, volatility, break-even prices, exporting countries, commodity prices, break-even prices., Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Financial Forecasting and Simulation, General, Government Policy,

The recent relatively high levels of global oil prices have led to a significant improvement in the public finances of several hydrocarbon-exporting countries. However, despite the increase in fiscal buffers, mediu...

The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy*

The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy* »

Source: The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy

Volume/Issue: 2012/253

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paul Cashin , Kamiar Mohaddes , Mehdi Raissi , and Maziar Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 October 2012

ISBN: 9781475597158

Keywords: Global VAR (GVAR), global macroeconomic modeling, impulse responses, international business cycle, oil-demand and oil-supply shocks, oil exporters, exporters, oil prices, exporting countries, Time-Series Models

We employ a set of sign restrictions on the generalized impulse responses of a Global VAR model, estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2-2011Q2, to discriminate between supply-driven and demand-dr...

Middle East Transitions

Middle East Transitions »

Source: Middle East Transitions : A Long, Hard Road

Volume/Issue: 2014/135

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Shahid Yusuf

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 25 July 2014

ISBN: 9781498359122

Keywords: economic transition, growth, youth unemployment, institutions, SMEs, SEZs, employment, labor market, labor force, General

Since the onset of the Arab Spring, economic uncertainty in Egypt, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia, and Yemen (Arab Countries in Transition, ACTs) has slowed already sluggish growth; worsened unemployment, particul...

The Global Impact of the Systemic Economies and MENA Business Cycles*

The Global Impact of the Systemic Economies and MENA Business Cycles* »

Source: The Global Impact of the Systemic Economies and MENA Business Cycles

Volume/Issue: 2012/255

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paul Cashin , Kamiar Mohaddes , and Mehdi Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 25 October 2012

ISBN: 9781475581645

Keywords: Global VAR (GVAR), global macroeconomic modeling, impulse responses, macroeconomic shocks, international business cycle, oil exporters, exporters, oil prices, oil exports, reer

This paper analyzes spillovers from macroeconomic shocks in systemic economies (China, the Euro Area, and the United States) to the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region as well as outward spillovers from a GD...

1. MENAP Oil Exporters: Benefiting from High Oil Prices amid Growing Risks

1. MENAP Oil Exporters: Benefiting from High Oil Prices amid Growing Risks »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Middle East and Central Asia

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 October 2011

ISBN: 9781616351298

Keywords: Economic recovery, Energy prices, Commodity prices, Economic forecasting, Economic conditions, Spillovers, South Sudan, Regional Economic Outlook, Foreign direct investment, Monetary policy

MENAP oil exporters have benefited from high oil prices, which have provided a boost to economic activity, directly and indirectly, through the fiscal space that has facilitated...

2. MENAP Oil Importers: Meeting Social Needs, Restoring Economic Confidence

2. MENAP Oil Importers: Meeting Social Needs, Restoring Economic Confidence »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Middle East and Central Asia

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 October 2011

ISBN: 9781616351298

Keywords: Economic recovery, Energy prices, Commodity prices, Economic forecasting, Economic conditions, Spillovers, South Sudan, Regional Economic Outlook, Foreign direct investment, Monetary policy

The political and economic transformations in several MENAP countries are advancing slowly and are expected to extend well into 2012. These, together with a weakening in the glob...

3. Caucasus and Central Asia: Safeguarding the Recovery

3. Caucasus and Central Asia: Safeguarding the Recovery »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Middle East and Central Asia

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 October 2011

ISBN: 9781616351298

Keywords: Economic recovery, Energy prices, Commodity prices, Economic forecasting, Economic conditions, Spillovers, South Sudan, Regional Economic Outlook, Foreign direct investment, Monetary policy

The near-term growth outlook is broadly positive across the CCA region, helped by high oil prices for the oil and gas exporters and the continuing recovery in Russia for the oil...

Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan, and Pakistan

Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan, and Pakistan »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Middle East and Central Asia

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 October 2011

ISBN: 9781616351298

Keywords: Economic recovery, Energy prices, Commodity prices, Economic forecasting, Economic conditions, Spillovers, South Sudan, Regional Economic Outlook, Foreign direct investment, Monetary policy

Population, millions (2010) GDP per capita, U.S. dollars (2010) Sources: IMF Regional Econ...