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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2017, Middle East and Central Asia

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2017, Middle East and Central Asia »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484312520.086

ISBN: 9781484312520

Keywords: Oil, Oil exports, economic outlook, economic forecasting, Middle East and Central Asia

Oil exporters in the Middle East and North Africa, Afghanistan, and Pakistan region (MENAP) are continuing to adjust to lower oil prices, which have dampened growth and contributed to large fiscal and external defi...

Estimating a Small Open-Economy Model for Egypt

Estimating a Small Open-Economy Model for Egypt »

Source: Estimating a Small Open-Economy Model for Egypt : Spillovers, Inflation Dynamics, and Implications for Monetary Policy

Volume/Issue: 2011/108

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Elif Arbatli , and Kenji Moriyama

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2011

ISBN: 9781455261376

Keywords: Small open economy model, transmission mechanism, exchange rate, interest rate, real interest, real interest rate, output gap, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation, Prices, Business Fluctuations

This paper estimates a small open economy model for Egypt to analyze inflation, output dynamics and monetary policy during 2005-2010. The interest rate channel is found to be relatively weak in Egypt, complicating...

In Which Exchange Rate Models Do Forecasters Trust?

In Which Exchange Rate Models Do Forecasters Trust? »

Source: In Which Exchange Rate Models Do Forecasters Trust?

Volume/Issue: 2011/116

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jaewoo Lee , H. Takizawa , and David Hauner

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2011

ISBN: 9781455262397

Keywords: Exchange rate models, exchange rate, exchange rates, current account, interest rate, exchange rate regime, International Finance Forecasting and Simulation,

Using survey data of market expectations, we ask which popular exchange rate models appear to be consistent with expectation formation of market forecasters. Exchange rate expectations are found to be correlated wi...

Middle East Transitions

Middle East Transitions »

Source: Middle East Transitions : A Long, Hard Road

Volume/Issue: 2014/135

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Shahid Yusuf

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 25 July 2014

ISBN: 9781498359122

Keywords: economic transition, growth, youth unemployment, institutions, SMEs, SEZs, employment, labor market, labor force, General

Since the onset of the Arab Spring, economic uncertainty in Egypt, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia, and Yemen (Arab Countries in Transition, ACTs) has slowed already sluggish growth; worsened unemployment, particul...

Estimating a Small Open-Economy Model for Egypt
			: Spillovers, Inflation Dynamics, and Implications for Monetary Policy

Estimating a Small Open-Economy Model for Egypt : Spillovers, Inflation Dynamics, and Implications for Monetary Policy »

Volume/Issue: 2011/108

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Elif Arbatli , and Kenji Moriyama

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455261376.001

ISBN: 9781455261376

Keywords: Small open economy model, transmission mechanism, exchange rate, interest rate, real interest, real interest rate, output gap, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation, Prices, Business Fluctuations

This paper estimates a small open economy model for Egypt to analyze inflation, output dynamics and monetary policy during 2005-2010. The interest rate channel is found to be relatively weak in Egypt, complicating...

In Which Exchange Rate Models Do Forecasters Trust?

In Which Exchange Rate Models Do Forecasters Trust? »

Volume/Issue: 2011/116

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jaewoo Lee , H. Takizawa , and David Hauner

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455262397.001

ISBN: 9781455262397

Keywords: Exchange rate models, exchange rate, exchange rates, current account, interest rate, exchange rate regime, International Finance Forecasting and Simulation,

Using survey data of market expectations, we ask which popular exchange rate models appear to be consistent with expectation formation of market forecasters. Exchange rate expectations are found to be correlated wi...

Middle East Transitions
			: A Long, Hard Road

Middle East Transitions : A Long, Hard Road »

Volume/Issue: 2014/135

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Shahid Yusuf

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 25 July 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498359122.001

ISBN: 9781498359122

Keywords: economic transition, growth, youth unemployment, institutions, SMEs, SEZs, employment, labor market, labor force, General

Since the onset of the Arab Spring, economic uncertainty in Egypt, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia, and Yemen (Arab Countries in Transition, ACTs) has slowed already sluggish growth; worsened unemployment, particul...