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How Can Fiscal Policy Help Avert Currency Crises?1

How Can Fiscal Policy Help Avert Currency Crises?1 »

Source: How Can Fiscal Policy Help Avert Currency Crises?

Volume/Issue: 2000/185

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): George Kopits

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2000

ISBN: 9781451859409

Keywords: balance of payments crises, contingent liabilities, currency crisis, fiscal policy rules, fiscal adjustment

An overview of crisis episodes in emerging-market economies with a pegged exchange rate regime in the 1990s suggests that sizable explicit or implicit government deficits, or market perceptions of lack of fiscal su...

How to Stop a Herd of Running Bears? Market Response to Policy Initiatives during the Global Financial Crisis

How to Stop a Herd of Running Bears? Market Response to Policy Initiatives during the Global Financial Crisis »

Source: How to Stop a Herd of Running Bears? Market Response to Policy Initiatives during the Global Financial Crisis

Volume/Issue: 2009/204

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2009

ISBN: 9781451873511

Keywords: Crisis, policy, announcement, event, financial, monetary, fiscal, bank, bank bailouts, recapitalization

This paper examines the impact of macroeconomic and financial sector policy announcements in the United States, the United Kingdom, the euro area, and Japan during the recent crisis on interbank credit and liquidit...

The Fiscal Costs of Contingent Liabilities

The Fiscal Costs of Contingent Liabilities »

Source: The Fiscal Costs of Contingent Liabilities

Volume/Issue: 2016/14

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Elva Bova , Marta Ruiz-Arranz , Frederik Toscani , and H. Elif Ture

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 February 2016

ISBN: 9781498303606

Keywords: Fiscal Crisis, General, All Countries,, Budget deficits, Public debt, Contingent liabilities

We construct the first comprehensive dataset of contingent liability realizations in advanced and emerging markets for the period 1990–2014. We find that contingent liability realizations are a major source of fisc...

Adjustment Under a Currency Peg

Adjustment Under a Currency Peg »

Source: Adjustment Under a Currency Peg : Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania During the Global Financial Crisis 2008-09

Volume/Issue: 2010/213

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Catriona Purfield , and Christoph Rosenberg

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2010

ISBN: 9781455205448

Keywords: Internal devaluation, boom bust, competitiveness, wage adjustment, global financial crisis, wage, benefits, wages, fiscal balance,

The paper traces the Baltics' adjustment strategy during the 2008-09 global financial crisis. The abrupt end to the externally-financed domestic demand boom triggered a severe output collapse, bringing per capita i...

Performance of Fiscal Accounts in South Africa in a Cross-Country Setting

Performance of Fiscal Accounts in South Africa in a Cross-Country Setting »

Source: Performance of Fiscal Accounts in South Africa in a Cross-Country Setting

Volume/Issue: 2010/217

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Burcu Aydin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2010

ISBN: 9781455208821

Keywords: structural balance, panel data, tax revenue, financial crisis, global financial crisis, revenue collection, fiscal accounts, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models, Econometric Modeling: General,

This paper analyzes the cyclical fluctuations in South Africa in a cross-country context, and studies the impact of the output gap by controlling for export intensity, the debt burden, asset prices, and banking cri...

Assessing Fiscal Stress

Assessing Fiscal Stress »

Source: Assessing Fiscal Stress

Volume/Issue: 2011/100

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Gabriela Dobrescu , Iva Petrova , Nazim Belhocine , and Emanuele Baldacci

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2011

ISBN: 9781455254316

Keywords: fiscal stress, fiscal vulnerability, public debt crises, sovereign default, public debt, fiscal indicators, fiscal crisis, fiscal variables, National Deficit Surplus, Studies of Particular Policy Episodes

This paper develops a new index which provides early warning signals of fiscal sustainability problems for advanced and emerging economies. Unlike previous studies, the index assesses the determinants of fiscal str...

Getting the Dog to Bark

Getting the Dog to Bark »

Source: Getting the Dog to Bark : Disclosing Fiscal Risks from the Financial Sector

Volume/Issue: 2015/208

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Timothy Irwin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 28 September 2015

ISBN: 9781513507736

Keywords: Implicit guarantees, fiscal risks, financial crisis, budget reports, guarantees, debt, liabilities, Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits, and Debt,

Fiscal reporting is intended to warn of fiscal crises while there is still time to prevent them. The recent crisis thus seems to reveal a failure of fiscal reporting: before the crisis, even reports on fiscal risk...

The End of An Era? the Medium- and Long-Term Effects of the Global Crisison Growth in Low-Income Countries1

The End of An Era? the Medium- and Long-Term Effects of the Global Crisison Growth in Low-Income Countries1 »

Source: The End of An Era? the Medium- and Long-Term Effects of the Global Crisison Growth in Low-Income Countries

Volume/Issue: 2010/205

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Chris Papageorgiou , Andrew Berg , Catherine Pattillo , and Nicola Spatafora

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2010

ISBN: 9781455205363

Keywords: Global financial crisis, low-income countries, medium- and long-term growth, impulse response functions, growth spells, panel growth regressions, terms of trade, pre-crisis, post-crisis growth, exchange rate regime

This paper investigates the medium- and long-term growth effects of the global financial crises on Low-Income Countries (LICs). Using several methodological approaches, including impulse response function analysis,...

The Dynamic Effect of Social and Political Instability on Output

The Dynamic Effect of Social and Political Instability on Output »

Source: The Dynamic Effect of Social and Political Instability on Output : The Role of Reforms

Volume/Issue: 2013/91

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Lorenzo E. Bernal-Verdugo , Davide Furceri , and Dominique Guillaume

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 April 2013

ISBN: 9781484381687

Keywords: Economic models, Economic growth, Fiscal reforms, Political economy, social conflicts, reforms, crisis, growth, governance, social instability

The aim of this paper is to analyze the dynamic effect of social and political instability on output. Using a panel of up to 183 countries from 1980 to 2010, the results of the paper suggest that social conflicts h...

Pilot Project on Concentration and Distribution Measures for a Selected Set of Financial Soundness Indicators

Pilot Project on Concentration and Distribution Measures for a Selected Set of Financial Soundness Indicators »

Source: Pilot Project on Concentration and Distribution Measures for a Selected Set of Financial Soundness Indicators

Volume/Issue: 2016/26

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Joseph Crowley , Plapa Koukpamou , Elena Loukoianova , and André Mialou

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 February 2016

ISBN: 9781498337014

Keywords: Financial Soundness Indicators, Concentration and Distribution Measures, institutions, data, pilot project, confidentiality, information, General, All Countries, Fiscal Crisis,

This paper reports the main findings of a pilot project launched in July 2014 by the IMF’s Statistics Department to test augmenting the IMF’s financial soundness indicators (FSIs) with concentration and distributio...