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How do Experts Forecast Sovereign Spreads?*

How do Experts Forecast Sovereign Spreads?* »

Source: How do Experts Forecast Sovereign Spreads?

Volume/Issue: 2016/100

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jacopo Cimadomo , Peter Claeys , and Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 May 2016

ISBN: 9781484362068

Keywords: market expectations, sovereign bond spreads, survey data, Consensus Economics.

This paper assesses how forecasting experts form their expectations about future government bond spreads. Using monthly survey forecasts for France, Italy and the United Kingdom between January 1993 and October 201...

How do Experts Forecast Sovereign Spreads?

How do Experts Forecast Sovereign Spreads? »

Volume/Issue: 2016/100

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jacopo Cimadomo , Peter Claeys , and Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 May 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484362068.001

ISBN: 9781484362068

Keywords: market expectations, sovereign bond spreads, survey data, Consensus Economics.

This paper assesses how forecasting experts form their expectations about future government bond spreads. Using monthly survey forecasts for France, Italy and the United Kingdom between January 1993 and October 201...