Search Results

You are looking at 1 - 6 of 6 items :

  • Keyword: Short-term Forecasting x
  • International - Economics x
Clear All Modify Search
In Search of Information: Use of Google Trends' Data to Narrow Information Gaps for Low-income Developing Countries*

In Search of Information: Use of Google Trends' Data to Narrow Information Gaps for Low-income Developing Countries* »

Source: In Search of Information: Use of Google Trends' Data to Narrow Information Gaps for Low-income Developing Countries

Volume/Issue: 2018/286

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Futoshi Narita , and Rujun Yin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 December 2018

ISBN: 9781484390177

Keywords: International finance, Low-income developing countries, Economic growth, Inflation, Capital flows, Google search volume index, Nighttime lights, Nowcasting, Short-term forecasting, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

Timely data availability is a long-standing challenge in policy-making and analysis for low-income developing countries. This paper explores the use of Google Trends' data to narrow such information gaps and finds...

How much should I hold?  Reserve Adequacy in Emerging Markets and Small Islands

How much should I hold? Reserve Adequacy in Emerging Markets and Small Islands »

Source: How much should I hold? Reserve Adequacy in Emerging Markets and Small Islands

Volume/Issue: 2012/205

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nkunde Mwase

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2012

ISBN: 9781475505559

Keywords: Logit and quantile regression, Islands, EMP, Deleveraging, reserve holdings, short-term debt, current account, balance of payments, exchange rate regimes, International Finance Forecasting and Simulation

This paper investigates the drivers of reserves in emerging markets (EMs) and small island (SIs) and develops an operational metric for estimating reserves in SIs taking into account their unique characteristics. I...

Predicting Sovereign Debt Crises

Predicting Sovereign Debt Crises »

Source: Predicting Sovereign Debt Crises

Volume/Issue: 2003/221

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Axel Schimmelpfennig , Nouriel Roubini , and Paolo Manasse

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2003

ISBN: 9781451875256

Keywords: Early-warning system, sovereign debt crises, sovereign default, debt crisis, external debt, debt crises, short-term debt, currency crisis, General Outlook and Conditions, Forecasting and Other Model Applications

We develop an early-warning model of sovereign debt crises. A country is defined to be in a debt crisis if it is classified as being in default by Standard & Poor's, or if it has access to nonconcessional IMF finan...

In Search of Information: Use of Google Trends' Data to Narrow Information Gaps for Low-income Developing Countries

In Search of Information: Use of Google Trends' Data to Narrow Information Gaps for Low-income Developing Countries »

Volume/Issue: 2018/286

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Futoshi Narita , and Rujun Yin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 December 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484390177.001

ISBN: 9781484390177

Keywords: International finance, Low-income developing countries, Economic growth, Inflation, Capital flows, Google search volume index, Nighttime lights, Nowcasting, Short-term forecasting, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

Timely data availability is a long-standing challenge in policy-making and analysis for low-income developing countries. This paper explores the use of Google Trends' data to narrow such information gaps and finds...

How much should I hold?  Reserve Adequacy in Emerging Markets and Small Islands

How much should I hold? Reserve Adequacy in Emerging Markets and Small Islands »

Volume/Issue: 2012/205

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nkunde Mwase

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475505559.001

ISBN: 9781475505559

Keywords: Logit and quantile regression, Islands, EMP, Deleveraging, reserve holdings, short-term debt, current account, balance of payments, exchange rate regimes, International Finance Forecasting and Simulation

This paper investigates the drivers of reserves in emerging markets (EMs) and small island (SIs) and develops an operational metric for estimating reserves in SIs taking into account their unique characteristics. I...

Predicting Sovereign Debt Crises

Predicting Sovereign Debt Crises »

Volume/Issue: 2003/221

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Axel Schimmelpfennig , Nouriel Roubini , and Paolo Manasse

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2003

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451875256.001

ISBN: 9781451875256

Keywords: Early-warning system, sovereign debt crises, sovereign default, debt crisis, external debt, debt crises, short-term debt, currency crisis, General Outlook and Conditions, Forecasting and Other Model Applications

We develop an early-warning model of sovereign debt crises. A country is defined to be in a debt crisis if it is classified as being in default by Standard & Poor's, or if it has access to nonconcessional IMF finan...