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Policy Uncertainty in Japan

Policy Uncertainty in Japan »

Source: Policy Uncertainty in Japan

Volume/Issue: 2017/128

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Elif Arbatli , Steven Davis , Arata Ito , Naoko Miake , and Ikuo Saito

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 May 2017

ISBN: 9781484300671

Keywords: Asia and Pacific, Japan, Policy uncertainty, aggregate investment, General, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects)

We develop new economic policy uncertainty (EPU) indices for Japan from January 1987 onwards building on the approach of Baker, Bloom and Davis (2016). Each index reflects the frequency of newspaper articles that c...

Inflation-Forecast Targeting for India

Inflation-Forecast Targeting for India »

Source: Inflation-Forecast Targeting for India : An Outline of the Analytical Framework

Volume/Issue: 2017/32

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jaromir Benes , Kevin Clinton , Asish George , Joice John , Ondra Kamenik , Douglas Laxton , Pratik Mitra , G.V. Nadhanael , Hou Wang , and Fan Zhang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 February 2017

ISBN: 9781475578690

Keywords: Asia and Pacific, Disinflation, India, Inflation targeting, Forecasting models, Monetary policy, Price stabilization, Central banks and their policies, inflation targeting; Reserve Bank of India; inflation episodes in India; forecasting models; monetary policy models; model calibration; monetary policy rules; monetary policy simulations, Reserve Bank of India

India formally adopted flexible inflation targeting (FIT) in June 2016 to place price stability, defined in terms of a target CPI inflation, as the primary objective of monetary policy. In this context, the paper d...

Quarterly Projection Model for India

Quarterly Projection Model for India »

Source: Quarterly Projection Model for India : Key Elements and Properties

Volume/Issue: 2017/33

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jaromir Benes , Kevin Clinton , Asish George , Pranav Gupta , Joice John , Ondra Kamenik , Douglas Laxton , Pratik Mitra , G.V. Nadhanael , Rafael Portillo , Hou Wang , and Fan Zhang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 February 2017

ISBN: 9781475578706

Keywords: Central banks and their policies, Monetary policy, Monetary transmission mechanism, Interest rate policy, Forecasting models, Inflation targeting, India, Asia and Pacific, inflation targeting; Reserve Bank of India; inflation episodes in India; forecasting models; monetary policy models; model calibration; monetary policy rules; monetary policy simulations, Reserve Bank of India

This paper outlines the key features of the production version of the quarterly projection model (QPM), which is a forward-looking open-economy gap model, calibrated to represent the Indian case, for generating for...

Assessing China's Residential Real Estate Market

Assessing China's Residential Real Estate Market »

Source: Assessing China's Residential Real Estate Market

Volume/Issue: 2017/248

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ding Ding , Xiaoyu Huang , Tao Jin , and W. Raphael Lam

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 November 2017

ISBN: 9781484324813

Keywords: Asia and Pacific, Macroprudential Policy, Central banks and their policies, China real estate market, housing bubbles, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects), Housing Supply and Markets, Bayesian Analysis

China's real estate market rebounded sharply after a temporary slowdown in 2014-2015. This paper uses city-level data to estimate the range of house price overvaluation across city-tiers and assesses the main risks...

Considering the IMF's Perspective on a "Sound Fiscal Policy"

Considering the IMF's Perspective on a "Sound Fiscal Policy" »

Source: Considering the IMF's Perspective on a "Sound Fiscal Policy"

Volume/Issue: 2002/8

Series: IMF Policy Discussion Papers

Author(s): Peter Heller

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2002

ISBN: 9781451971019

Keywords: Fiscal policy, IMF, International Monetary Fund, fiscal sustainability, fiscal position, fiscal policies, public debt, Fiscal Policies And Behavior Of Economic Agents, Macroeconomic - Aspects Of Public Finance, Macroeconomic Policy

This paper provides a perspective on how the IMF assesses a “sound fiscal policy,” focusing principally on industrial and emerging market economies. It observes six central criteria: the short-term fi...

Credit and Fiscal Multipliers in China

Credit and Fiscal Multipliers in China »

Source: Credit and Fiscal Multipliers in China

Volume/Issue: 2017/273

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sophia Chen , Lev Ratnovski , and Pi-Han Tsai

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 December 2017

ISBN: 9781484332160

Keywords: Asia and Pacific, China, Macroprudential Policy, Fiscal stimulus, Credit Growth, Multipliers, Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary or Stabilization Policy, General, Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity

We jointly estimate credit and fiscal multipliers in China. We use the tenure of the provincial party secretary, interacted with the type of stimulus used in other provinces, to obtain separate instruments for prov...

Indian Financial Sector

Indian Financial Sector »

Source: Indian Financial Sector : Structure, Trends and Turns

Volume/Issue: 2017/7

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rakesh Mohan , and Partha Ray

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 January 2017

ISBN: 9781475570168

Keywords: Central banks and their policies, Banks, Banking, Asia and Pacific, Capital markets, External sector, Financial sector, Insurance, India, Nonbank financial sector

This paper traces the story of Indian financial sector over the period 1950-2015. In identifying the trends and turns of Indian financial sector, the paper adopts a three period classification viz., (a) the 1950s a...

Collect More, Spend Better

Collect More, Spend Better »

Source: Collect More, Spend Better : Public Investment in Asian Frontier Markets

Volume/Issue: 2017/10

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Manuk Ghazanchyan , Ricardo Marto , Jiri Jonas , and Kaitlyn Douglass

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 January 2017

ISBN: 9781475570892

Keywords: Southeast Asia, Sri Lanka, Tax collection, Vietnam, Capital expenditure, Public investment, Fiscal policy, Emerging markets, Cambodia, Debt sustainability

We use a dynamic small open economy model to explore the macroeconomic impact of alternative public investment scaling-up scenarios, analyzing how improving the efficiency of capital spending and of tax revenue col...

Cambodia: Staff Report for the 2013 Article IV Consultation

Cambodia: Staff Report for the 2013 Article IV Consultation »

Source: Cambodia : Staff Report for the 2013 Article IV Consultation

Volume/Issue: 2014/33

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 February 2014

ISBN: 9781475566451

Keywords: Article IV consultations, Cambodia, Bank supervision, Economic growth, Debt sustainability analysis, Economic indicators, Fiscal consolidation, Global competitiveness, Fiscal policy, Monetary policy

This Debt Sustainability Analysis update highlights Cambodia's continued low debt distress rating: all debt burden indicators are projected to remain below the respective thresholds. The authorities have made progr...

Cambodia: Staff Report for the 2013 Article IV Consultation—Debt Sustainability Analysis 1

Cambodia: Staff Report for the 2013 Article IV Consultation—Debt Sustainability Analysis 1 »

Source: Cambodia : Staff Report for the 2013 Article IV Consultation

Volume/Issue: 2014/33

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 February 2014

ISBN: 9781475566451

Keywords: Article IV consultations, Cambodia, Bank supervision, Economic growth, Debt sustainability analysis, Economic indicators, Fiscal consolidation, Global competitiveness, Fiscal policy, Monetary policy

This Debt Sustainability Analysis update highlights Cambodia's continued low debt distress rating: all debt burden indicators are projected to remain below the respective thresholds. The authorities have made progr...