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In Search of Coincident and Leading Indicators of Economic Activity in Argentina

In Search of Coincident and Leading Indicators of Economic Activity in Argentina »

Source: In Search of Coincident and Leading Indicators of Economic Activity in Argentina

Volume/Issue: 2001/30

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alejandro Simone

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2001

ISBN: 9781451844917

Keywords: real gdp, forecasting, cointegration, statistics, equation, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Macroeconomics: Production, Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production

Time series on economic activity in developing countries, in particular real GDP, are reported with important lags. Therefore, it is useful to construct indicators that coincide or lead the actual direction and lev...

Stock Market Developments and Private Consumer Spending in Emerging Markets

Stock Market Developments and Private Consumer Spending in Emerging Markets »

Source: Stock Market Developments and Private Consumer Spending in Emerging Markets

Volume/Issue: 2002/238

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Norbert Funke

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2002

ISBN: 9781451875751

Keywords: Stock market, Financial wealth, equity returns, stock markets, stock market developments, stock market liberalization, Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment

Using a panel of 16 emerging markets, the paper finds a small but statistically significant effect of stock market developments on private consumption spending. In the short run, a 10 percent decline in the annual...

In Search of Coincident and Leading Indicators of Economic Activity in Argentina

In Search of Coincident and Leading Indicators of Economic Activity in Argentina »

Volume/Issue: 2001/30

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alejandro Simone

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2001

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451844917.001

ISBN: 9781451844917

Keywords: real gdp, forecasting, cointegration, statistics, equation, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Macroeconomics: Production, Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production

Time series on economic activity in developing countries, in particular real GDP, are reported with important lags. Therefore, it is useful to construct indicators that coincide or lead the actual direction and lev...

Stock Market Developments and Private Consumer Spending in Emerging Markets

Stock Market Developments and Private Consumer Spending in Emerging Markets »

Volume/Issue: 2002/238

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Norbert Funke

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2002

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451875751.001

ISBN: 9781451875751

Keywords: Stock market, Financial wealth, equity returns, stock markets, stock market developments, stock market liberalization, Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment

Using a panel of 16 emerging markets, the paper finds a small but statistically significant effect of stock market developments on private consumption spending. In the short run, a 10 percent decline in the annual...