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Comparing Projections and Outcomes of IMF-Supported Programs

Comparing Projections and Outcomes of IMF-Supported Programs »

Source: Comparing Projections and Outcomes of IMF-Supported Programs

Volume/Issue: 2001/45

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Steven Phillips , and Alberto Musso

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2001

ISBN: 9781451846478

Keywords: IMF, programs, projections, forecasts, statistics, statistic, forecasting, samples

“Program numbers” from a sample of IMF-supported programs are studied as if they were forecasts, through statistical analyses of the relationship between projections and outcomes for growth, inflation...

Give Trust a Chance-A Model of Trust in the Context of an IMF-Supported Program

Give Trust a Chance-A Model of Trust in the Context of an IMF-Supported Program »

Source: Give Trust a Chance-A Model of Trust in the Context of an IMF-Supported Program

Volume/Issue: 2007/42

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Daouda Sembene

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2007

ISBN: 9781451866063

Keywords: Trust, IMF-supported Program, Program design and implementation, Negotiation, paper, probability, predictability, survey, predictions,

This paper is an attempt to identify the determinants of trust between country authorities and IMF staff in the context of an IMF-supported program. Using an outcomes-based definition of trust, a game-theoretic mod...

Sudden Stops and IMF-Supported Programs1

Sudden Stops and IMF-Supported Programs1 »

Source: Sudden Stops and IMF-Supported Programs

Volume/Issue: 2006/101

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Barry Eichengreen , Poonam Gupta , and Ashoka Mody

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2006

ISBN: 9781451863611

Keywords: IMF-supported programs, current account, currency crises, current account balance, capital inflows, International Economic Order, International Lending and Debt Problems, Imf - Supported Programs,

Could a high-access, quick-disbursing "insurance facility" in the IMF help to reduce the incidence of sharp interruptions in capital flows ("sudden stops")? We contribute to the debate around this question by analy...

Do IMF Programs Improve Economic Governance?

Do IMF Programs Improve Economic Governance? »

Source: Do IMF Programs Improve Economic Governance?

Volume/Issue: 2008/114

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jiro Honda

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2008

ISBN: 9781451869743

Keywords: Economic governance, IMF program, government effectiveness, governance indicators, good governance, dummy variables, governance indicator,

This paper examines the effects of IMF financial assistance on economic governance in developing countries, based on panel data analyses of perceived governance indicators. It uses a two-stage approach to address p...

Access to Market Financing for IDA-eligible Countries-the Role of External Debt and IMF-Supported Programs

Access to Market Financing for IDA-eligible Countries-the Role of External Debt and IMF-Supported Programs »

Source: Access to Market Financing for IDA-eligible Countries-the Role of External Debt and IMF-Supported Programs

Volume/Issue: 2009/217

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alun Thomas

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2009

ISBN: 9781451873641

Keywords: decision point, enhanced HIPC Initiative, IMF-supported program, debt ratio, debt service, debt ratios, concessional debt,

Exclusion restrictions used to identify demand and supply relationships for market financing among IDA recipients (past and present) show that poor credit ratings and high political instability adversely impact the...

How Volatile and Unpredictable Are Aid Flows, and What Are the Policy Implications?

How Volatile and Unpredictable Are Aid Flows, and What Are the Policy Implications? »

Source: How Volatile and Unpredictable Are Aid Flows, and What Are the Policy Implications?

Volume/Issue: 2001/167

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): A. Hamann , and Ales Bulir

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2001

ISBN: 9781451858181

Keywords: external aid, volatility, predictability, IMF-supported programs, correlation, prediction, aid flows,

This paper examines empirical evidence on the volatility and uncertainty of aid flows, and the main policy implications. Aid is found to be more volatile than fiscal revenues- particularly in highly aid-dependent c...

The IMF Approach to Economic Stabilization

The IMF Approach to Economic Stabilization »

Source: The IMF Approach to Economic Stabilization

Volume/Issue: 1999/104

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Miguel Savastano , and Michael Mussa

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 1999

ISBN: 9781451852745

Keywords: IMF-supported programs, quantitative approach, monetary fund, monetary policy, balance of payments, central bank, external financing

This paper explains the IMF approach to economic stabilization. It argues that a Fund-supported program is a process, comprising six broadly defined phases, that evolves along a multiplicity of potential pathways....

Do IMF-Supported Programs Work? A Survey of the Cross-Country Empirical Evidence

Do IMF-Supported Programs Work? A Survey of the Cross-Country Empirical Evidence »

Source: Do IMF-Supported Programs Work? A Survey of the Cross-Country Empirical Evidence

Volume/Issue: 1998/169

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 1998

ISBN: 9781451858310

Keywords: IMF programs, cross-country studies, program evaluation, balance of payments, current account, current account balance, current account deficit, balance of payments deficits

Over the last two decades a number of cross-country empirical studies have been undertaken to assess whether IMF-supported adjustment programs have led to an improved balance of payments and current account balance...

The Impact of Bailouts on the Probability of Sovereign Debt Crises: Evidence from IMF-Supported Programs

The Impact of Bailouts on the Probability of Sovereign Debt Crises: Evidence from IMF-Supported Programs »

Source: The Impact of Bailouts on the Probability of Sovereign Debt Crises: Evidence from IMF-Supported Programs

Volume/Issue: 2019/2

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Hippolyte Balima , and Amadou Sy

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 January 2019

ISBN: 9781484393413

Keywords: Sovereign debt defaults, IMF-supported programs, entropy balancing, International Lending and Debt Problems, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions

This paper studies the role of IMF-supported programs in mitigating the likelihood of subsequent sovereign defaults in borrowing countries. Using a panel of 106 developing countries from 1970 to 2016 and an entropy...

Institutions, Program Implementation, and Macroeconomic Performance

Institutions, Program Implementation, and Macroeconomic Performance »

Source: Institutions, Program Implementation, and Macroeconomic Performance

Volume/Issue: 2004/184

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Saleh Nsouli , Ruben Atoyan , and Alex Mourmouras

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2004

ISBN: 9781451859393

Keywords: Institutions, IMF-supported programs, macroeconomic performance, inflation, statistics, equation, correlation, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions, International Lending and Debt Problems,

This paper assesses empirically the links among a country's institutions and political environment, its implementation of IMF-supported programs, and macroeconomic performance in a sample of 197 programs approved b...