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Probabilistic Sustainability of Public Debt

Probabilistic Sustainability of Public Debt »

Source: Probabilistic Sustainability of Public Debt : A Vector Autoregression Approach for Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey

Volume/Issue: 2006/295

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Evan Tanner , and Issouf Samaké

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2006

ISBN: 9781451865554

Keywords: Tax smoothing, Sustainability, Historical Decomposition, Primary Surplus, debt ratio, fiscal sustainability, fiscal gap,

This paper examines the sustainability of fiscal policy under uncertainty in three emerging market countries, Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey. For each country, we estimate a vector autoregression (VAR) that includes fi...

Probabilistic Sustainability of Public Debt
			: A Vector Autoregression Approach for Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey

Probabilistic Sustainability of Public Debt : A Vector Autoregression Approach for Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey »

Volume/Issue: 2006/295

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Evan Tanner , and Issouf Samaké

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2006

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451865554.001

ISBN: 9781451865554

Keywords: Tax smoothing, Sustainability, Historical Decomposition, Primary Surplus, debt ratio, fiscal sustainability, fiscal gap,

This paper examines the sustainability of fiscal policy under uncertainty in three emerging market countries, Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey. For each country, we estimate a vector autoregression (VAR) that includes fi...