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Inflation Targeting in the Context of IMF-Supported Adjustment Programs

Inflation Targeting in the Context of IMF-Supported Adjustment Programs »

Source: Inflation Targeting in the Context of IMF-Supported Adjustment Programs

Volume/Issue: 2001/31

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Gerd Schwartz , Pau Rabanal , Mario Bléjer , and Alfredo Leone

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2001

ISBN: 9781451845020

Keywords: Monetary Policy Rules, inflation, inflation target, central bank, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation,

This paper argues that the IMF's traditional monetary conditionality-a ceiling on net domestic assets of the central bank and a floor on its net international reserves-should be adapted in IMF-supported adjustment...

Inflation Targeting in the Context of IMF-Supported Adjustment Programs

Inflation Targeting in the Context of IMF-Supported Adjustment Programs »

Volume/Issue: 2001/31

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Gerd Schwartz , Pau Rabanal , Mario Bléjer , and Alfredo Leone

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2001

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451845020.001

ISBN: 9781451845020

Keywords: Monetary Policy Rules, inflation, inflation target, central bank, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation,

This paper argues that the IMF's traditional monetary conditionality-a ceiling on net domestic assets of the central bank and a floor on its net international reserves-should be adapted in IMF-supported adjustment...

Some Implications for Monetary Policy of Uncertain Exchange Rate Pass-Through

Some Implications for Monetary Policy of Uncertain Exchange Rate Pass-Through »

Source: Some Implications for Monetary Policy of Uncertain Exchange Rate Pass-Through

Volume/Issue: 2003/25

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Benjamin Hunt , and Peter Isard

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 March 2003

ISBN: 9781451844283

Keywords: Exchange Rate, Uncertainty, inflation, exchange rate pass, monetary policy rules, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

The paper uses MULTIMOD to examine the implications of uncertain exchange rate pass-through for the conduct of monetary policy. From the policymaker's perspective, uncertainty about exchange rate pass-through impli...

Some Implications for Monetary Policy of Uncertain Exchange Rate Pass-Through

Some Implications for Monetary Policy of Uncertain Exchange Rate Pass-Through »

Volume/Issue: 2003/25

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Benjamin Hunt , and Peter Isard

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 March 2003

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451844283.001

ISBN: 9781451844283

Keywords: Exchange Rate, Uncertainty, inflation, exchange rate pass, monetary policy rules, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

The paper uses MULTIMOD to examine the implications of uncertain exchange rate pass-through for the conduct of monetary policy. From the policymaker's perspective, uncertainty about exchange rate pass-through impli...

Forecasting U.S. Investment

Forecasting U.S. Investment »

Source: Forecasting U.S. Investment

Volume/Issue: 2010/246

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pau Rabanal , and Jaewoo Lee

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2010

ISBN: 9781455209460

Keywords: Great Recession, Recovery in U.S. Investment, cost of capital, capital stock, gdp growth, capital accumulation, business cycle, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation,

The driving force of U.S. economic growth is expected to rotate from the fiscal stimulus and inventory rebuilding in 2009 to private demand in 2010, with consumption and particularly investment expected to be impor...

A Financial Conditions Index for South Africa

A Financial Conditions Index for South Africa »

Source: A Financial Conditions Index for South Africa

Volume/Issue: 2012/196

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nombulelo Gumata , Eliphas Ndou , and Nir Klein

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2012

ISBN: 9781475505450

Keywords: Financial conditions index, factor analysis, gdp growth, explanatory power, granger causality, standard deviation, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy,

The main purpose of this paper is to construct a financial conditions index (FCI) for South Africa. The analysis extracts the index by applying two alternative approaches (principal component analysis and Kalman fi...

Financial Conditions Indexes for the United States and Euro Area

Financial Conditions Indexes for the United States and Euro Area »

Source: Financial Conditions Indexes for the United States and Euro Area

Volume/Issue: 2011/93

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Troy Matheson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2011

ISBN: 9781455253326

Keywords: Financial Conditions, Short-term Forecasting, Real-Time Data, forecasting, bond, bond spread, government bond, bond yield, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy,

Financial conditions indexes are developed for the United States and euro area using a wide range of financial indicators and a dynamic factor model. The financial conditions indexes are shown to be useful for fore...

Some Simulation Properties of the Major Euro Area Economies in Multimod

Some Simulation Properties of the Major Euro Area Economies in Multimod »

Source: Some Simulation Properties of the Major Euro Area Economies in Multimod

Volume/Issue: 2003/31

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Douglas Laxton , and Benjamin Hunt

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2003

ISBN: 9781451845044

Keywords: Macroeconomic models, simulation properties, inflation, monetary policy, aggregate demand, nominal interest rate, monetary authority, Model Evaluation and Selection, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation, Public Economics: General,

This paper was prepared as part of a euro area macroeconomic model comparisons project. Four standard macroeconomic experiments are considered to illustrate the differences in dynamic adjustment properties of two v...

Credit Flows, Fiscal Policy, and the External Deficit of Bosnia and Herzegovina

Credit Flows, Fiscal Policy, and the External Deficit of Bosnia and Herzegovina »

Source: Credit Flows, Fiscal Policy, and the External Deficit of Bosnia and Herzegovina

Volume/Issue: 2006/276

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Daniel Kanda

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2006

ISBN: 9781451865363

Keywords: Fiscal, monetary, trade balance, fiscal expenditure, fiscal tightening, disposable income, fiscal consolidation, Estimation, Model Construction and Estimation, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation

This paper develops and estimates a model of the trade balance of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Credit flows and the fiscal stance are found to play a significant role in determining the trade balance. On this basis the...

New Indicators for Tracking Growth in Real Time

New Indicators for Tracking Growth in Real Time »

Source: New Indicators for Tracking Growth in Real Time

Volume/Issue: 2011/43

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Troy Matheson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2011

ISBN: 9781455218998

Keywords: Nowcasting, Short-term forecasting, Real-time data, gdp growth, forecasting, real gdp, equation, Model Construction and Estimation, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation,

We develop monthly indicators for tracking growth in 32 advanced and emerging-market economies. We test the historical performance of our indicators and find that they do a good job at describing the business cycle...