Search Results

You are looking at 1 - 10 of 14 items :

  • Keyword: Financial Forecasting and Simulation... x
  • Money and Monetary Policy x
Clear All Modify Search
Systemic Risk, Aggregate Demand, and Commodity Prices

Systemic Risk, Aggregate Demand, and Commodity Prices »

Source: Systemic Risk, Aggregate Demand, and Commodity Prices

Volume/Issue: 2015/165

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Javier Gómez?Pineda , Dominique Guillaume , and Kadir Tanyeri

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 July 2015

ISBN: 9781513552545

Keywords: Financial linkages, Global imbalances Commodity prices, output, country risk, trade, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Forecasting and Simulation,

The paper presents a global model with systemic and country risks, as well as commodity prices.We show that systemic risk shocks have an important impact on world economic activity, with the busts in world output g...

Big Players Out of Synch

Big Players Out of Synch »

Source: Big Players Out of Synch : Spillovers Implications of US and Euro Area Shocks

Volume/Issue: 2015/215

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Carolina Osorio Buitron , and Esteban Vesperoni

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 September 2015

ISBN: 9781513558448

Keywords: Spillovers, United States, Euro Area, Monetary policy, External shocks, Exchange rates, Economic conditions, Developed countries, Emerging markets, Vector autoregression

Given the prospects of asynchronous monetary conditions in the United States and the euro area, this paper analyzes spillovers among these two economies, as well as the implications of asynchronicity for spillovers...

Capital Account Liberalization and the Real Exchange Rate in Chile

Capital Account Liberalization and the Real Exchange Rate in Chile »

Source: Capital Account Liberalization and the Real Exchange Rate in Chile

Volume/Issue: 2005/132

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2005

ISBN: 9781451861518

Keywords: Capital Account Liberalization, Real Exchange Rate, Foreign Exchange Intervention, Reserve Requirements, Capital Flows, exchange rate, capital inflows, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, International Finance Forecasting and Simulation,

After the failure of the early 1980s, a second attempt at capital account liberalization was gradually carried out in Chile during the 1990s, this time in parallel with increased exchange rate flexibility. Capital...

A Quantitative Assessment of Financial Conditions in Asia

A Quantitative Assessment of Financial Conditions in Asia »

Source: A Quantitative Assessment of Financial Conditions in Asia

Volume/Issue: 2011/170

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Carolina Osorio Buitron , Filiz Unsal , and Runchana Pongsaparn

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2011

ISBN: 9781462314331

Keywords: Financial sector, Economic growth, Economic conditions, Asia, Forecasting models, Gross domestic product, Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009, Financial conditions index, VAR, Dynamic Factor Analysis

We propose a new Financial Condition Index (FCI) for Asian economies based on two different methodologies: a VAR model and a Dynamic Factor Model. The paper shows that this index has predictive power in forecasting...

Trade and Financial Spilloveron Hong Kong SAR from a Downturn in Europe and Mainland China

Trade and Financial Spilloveron Hong Kong SAR from a Downturn in Europe and Mainland China »

Source: Trade and Financial Spilloveron Hong Kong SAR from a Downturn in Europe and Mainland China

Volume/Issue: 2012/81

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Papa N'Diaye , and Ashvin Ahuja

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2012

ISBN: 9781475502336

Keywords: Macroeconomic Interdependence, Growth, Global VAR, Applied General Equilibrium Model, Simulation, financial system, lending, portfolio, financial distress, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models

Hong Kong SAR was hit hard by the global financial crisis, which started out in the U.S. and spilled over to the rest of the world. Three years later, vulnerabilities in the euro area's financial system and concern...

Exchange Rates in the New EU Accession Countries

Exchange Rates in the New EU Accession Countries »

Source: Exchange Rates in the New EU Accession Countries : What Have We Learned from the Forerunners?

Volume/Issue: 2005/27

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Katerina Smídková , and Ales Bulir

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2005

ISBN: 9781451860467

Keywords: Sustainable real exchange rates, ERM2, exchange rate, exchange rates, real exchange rate, fdi, real exchange rates, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation,

Estimation and simulation of sustainable real exchange rates in some of the new EU accession countries point to potential difficulties in sustaining the ERM2 regime if entered too soon and with weak policies. Accor...

Financial Crisis, US Unconventional Monetary Policy and International Spillovers1

Financial Crisis, US Unconventional Monetary Policy and International Spillovers1 »

Source: Financial Crisis, US Unconventional Monetary Policy and International Spillovers

Volume/Issue: 2015/85

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Qianying Chen , Andrew Filardo , Dong He , and Feng Zhu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 April 2015

ISBN: 9781475520668

Keywords: emerging economies, global VAR, international monetary policy spillovers, quantitative easing, unconventional monetary policy, federal reserve, securities, reserve, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Monetary Policy (Targets

We study the impact of the US quantitative easing (QE) on both the emerging and advanced economies, estimating a global vector error-correction model (GVECM) and conducting counterfactual analyses. We focus on the...

Systemic Risk, Aggregate Demand, and Commodity Prices

Systemic Risk, Aggregate Demand, and Commodity Prices »

Volume/Issue: 2015/165

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Javier Gómez?Pineda , Dominique Guillaume , and Kadir Tanyeri

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 July 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513552545.001

ISBN: 9781513552545

Keywords: Financial linkages, Global imbalances Commodity prices, output, country risk, trade, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Forecasting and Simulation,

The paper presents a global model with systemic and country risks, as well as commodity prices.We show that systemic risk shocks have an important impact on world economic activity, with the busts in world output g...

Big Players Out of Synch
			: Spillovers Implications of US and Euro Area Shocks

Big Players Out of Synch : Spillovers Implications of US and Euro Area Shocks »

Volume/Issue: 2015/215

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Carolina Osorio Buitron , and Esteban Vesperoni

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 September 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513558448.001

ISBN: 9781513558448

Keywords: Spillovers, United States, Euro Area, Monetary policy, External shocks, Exchange rates, Economic conditions, Developed countries, Emerging markets, Vector autoregression

Given the prospects of asynchronous monetary conditions in the United States and the euro area, this paper analyzes spillovers among these two economies, as well as the implications of asynchronicity for spillovers...

Capital Account Liberalization and the Real Exchange Rate in Chile

Capital Account Liberalization and the Real Exchange Rate in Chile »

Volume/Issue: 2005/132

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2005

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451861518.001

ISBN: 9781451861518

Keywords: Capital Account Liberalization, Real Exchange Rate, Foreign Exchange Intervention, Reserve Requirements, Capital Flows, exchange rate, capital inflows, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, International Finance Forecasting and Simulation,

After the failure of the early 1980s, a second attempt at capital account liberalization was gradually carried out in Chile during the 1990s, this time in parallel with increased exchange rate flexibility. Capital...