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Designing Effective Macroprudential Stress Tests

Designing Effective Macroprudential Stress Tests »

Source: Designing Effective Macroprudential Stress Tests : Progress So Far and the Way Forward

Volume/Issue: 2015/146

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Dimitri Demekas

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 June 2015

ISBN: 9781513513621

Keywords: contagion, solvency, bank, risk, capital, balance sheet, General, Financial Forecasting and Simulation, Government Policy and Regulation,

Giving stress tests a macroprudential perspective requires (i) incorporating general equilibrium dimensions, so that the outcome of the test depends not only on the size of the shock and the buffers of individual i...

Does Financial Connectedness Predict Crises?1

Does Financial Connectedness Predict Crises?1 »

Source: Does Financial Connectedness Predict Crises?

Volume/Issue: 2013/267

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Camelia Minoiu , Chanhyun Kang , V.S. Subrahmanian , and Anamaria Berea

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 December 2013

ISBN: 9781475554250

Keywords: financial networks, banking, banking systems, Global Outlook, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, Forecasting and Simulation,

The global financial crisis has reignited interest in models of crisis prediction. It has also raised the question whether financial connectedness - a possible source of systemic risk - can serve as an early warnin...

Systemic Risk Assessment in Low Income Countries

Systemic Risk Assessment in Low Income Countries »

Source: Systemic Risk Assessment in Low Income Countries : Balancing Financial Stability and Development

Volume/Issue: 2015/190

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Daniela Marchettini , and Rodolfo Maino

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 August 2015

ISBN: 9781513545882

Keywords: Early Warning Indicators, Financial Deepening, credit, bis, risk, banking, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Financial Forecasting and Simulation,

We propose a toolkit for the assessment of systemic risk buildup in low income countries. We show that, due to non-linearity in the relationship between credit and financial stability, the assessment should be cond...

A Financial Conditions Index for Greece

A Financial Conditions Index for Greece »

Source: A Financial Conditions Index for Greece

Volume/Issue: 2015/220

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jonathan Manning , and Maral Shamloo

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 October 2015

ISBN: 9781513520230

Keywords: Financial conditions, principal component analysis, monetary policy, credit growth, financial shocks, loans, balance sheets, Forecasting and Simulation, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, General,

We construct a Financial Conditions Index (FCI) for Greece as a surveillance tool to quantify the degree of the stress in the financial sector. We use principal component analysis to capture the information content...

Default, Credit Growth, and Asset Prices

Default, Credit Growth, and Asset Prices »

Source: Default, Credit Growth, and Asset Prices

Volume/Issue: 2006/223

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): C. Goodhart , Miguel Segoviano Basurto , and Boris Hofmann

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2006

ISBN: 9781451864830

Keywords: Probability of default, macroeconomic shocks, financial surveillance, banking, bank lending, probability, Econometric Modeling: General, Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation

This paper uses a Merton-type estimate of the probability of default (PoD) for the main banks in a sample of Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development and middle-income countries as a proxy for the frag...

Identifying Vulnerabilities in Systemically-Important Financial Institutions in a Macro-Financial Linkages Framework

Identifying Vulnerabilities in Systemically-Important Financial Institutions in a Macro-Financial Linkages Framework »

Source: Identifying Vulnerabilities in Systemically-Important Financial Institutions in a Macro-Financial Linkages Framework

Volume/Issue: 2011/111

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tao Sun

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2011

ISBN: 9781455261406

Keywords: vulnerabilities, systemic, macro-financial linkages, investment banks, balance sheet, capital adequacy, excess liquidity, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, International Finance Forecasting and Simulation,

This paper attempts to identify the indicators that can demonstrate the vulnerabilities in systemically important financial institutions. The paper finds that (i) indicators on leverage, liquidity, and business sco...

Financial Crises in DSGE Models: Selected Applications of MAPMOD

Financial Crises in DSGE Models: Selected Applications of MAPMOD »

Source: Financial Crises in DSGE Models : Selected Applications of MAPMOD

Volume/Issue: 2014/56

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jaromir Benes , Michael Kumhof , and Douglas Laxton

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 April 2014

ISBN: 9781475540239

Keywords: lending boom, credit crunch, financial cycle, asset price bubble, capital adequacy, capital adequacy ratio, capital adequacy ratios, capital inflow, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Forecasting and Simulation,

This paper, together with a technical companion paper, presents MAPMOD, a new IMF model designed to study vulnerabilities associated with excessive credit expansions, and to support macroprudential policy analysis....

Can Good Events Lead to Bad Outcomes? Endogenous Banking Crises and Fiscal Policy Responses1

Can Good Events Lead to Bad Outcomes? Endogenous Banking Crises and Fiscal Policy Responses1 »

Source: Can Good Events Lead to Bad Outcomes? Endogenous Banking Crises and Fiscal Policy Responses

Volume/Issue: 2006/263

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Celine Rochon , and Andrew Feltenstein

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2006

ISBN: 9781451865233

Keywords: Banking failures, fiscal policies, banking, bank failures, budget deficit, banking system, Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, International Finance Forecasting and Simulation,

In this paper, we study the impact of labor market restructuring and foreign direct investment on the banking sector, using a dynamic general equilibrium model with a financial sector. Numerical simulations are per...

Market-Based Structural Top-Down Stress Tests of the Banking System*

Market-Based Structural Top-Down Stress Tests of the Banking System* »

Source: Market-Based Structural Top-Down Stress Tests of the Banking System

Volume/Issue: 2013/88

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jorge Chan-Lau

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 April 2013

ISBN: 9781484306314

Keywords: default risk, structural models, market prices, probability of default, banking, applications, credit risk, Financial Forecasting and Simulation, Government Policy and Regulation,

Despite increased need for top-down stress tests of financial institutions, performing them is challenging owing to the absence of granular information on banks’ trading and loan portfolios. To deal with the...

Apocalypse then

Apocalypse then »

Source: Apocalypse then : The Evolution of the North Atlantic Economy and the Global Crisis

Volume/Issue: 2011/212

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Trung Bui , and Tamim Bayoumi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2011

ISBN: 9781463902308

Keywords: Financial linkages, financial regulation, banking, bonds, bond, banking systems, financial market, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation, General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation,

The financial crisis, originated from the collapse of US housing markets in 2008, reverberates around the world. Its destructive force was felt nowhere more keenly than Western Europe. Indeed, it continues to mire...