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World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2013, Asia and Pacific
			: Shifting Risks, New Foundations for Growth

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2013, Asia and Pacific : Shifting Risks, New Foundations for Growth »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 April 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484360835.086

ISBN: 9781484360835

Keywords: Fiscal policy, Business cycles, Market economies, Human capital, Capital accumulation, Financial crises, Economies, capital inflows, domestic demand, capital flow

Growth in the Asia-Pacific region shows signs of improving as extreme risks emanating from advanced economies have receded and domestic demand remains resilient, supported by relatively easy financial conditions an...

World Economic Outlook, April 2019
			: Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

World Economic Outlook, April 2019 : Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery »

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 April 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475504682.081

ISBN: 9781484397480

Keywords: Spillovers, Negative spillovers, Positive spillovers, External spillovers, Balance of trade, General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, International trade, International trade agreements, Trade, Trade policy

After strong growth in 2017 and early 2018, global economic activity slowed notably in the second half of last year, reflecting a confluence of factors affecting major economies. China's growth declined following a...

World Economic Outlook, April 2019
			: Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

World Economic Outlook, April 2019 : Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery »

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 April 2019

Language: Spanish

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498313452.081

ISBN: 9781498313452

Keywords: Spillovers, Negative spillovers, Positive spillovers, External spillovers, Balance of trade, General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, International trade, International trade agreements, Trade, Trade policy

After strong growth in 2017 and early 2018, global economic activity slowed notably in the second half of last year, reflecting a confluence of factors affecting major economies. China's growth declined following a...

Global Declining Competition1

Global Declining Competition1 »

Source: Global Declining Competition

Volume/Issue: 2019/82

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Federico Diez , Jiayue Fan , and Carolina Villegas-Sánchez

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 April 2019

ISBN: 9781498311113

Keywords: Total factor productivity, Capital stocks, Employment, Production, Production functions, Markups, Market power, TFP, Firm size, markup

Using a new firm-level dataset on private and listed firms from 20 countries, we document five stylized facts on market power in global markets. First, competition has declined around the world, measured as a moder...

Hysteresis in Labor Markets? Evidence from Professional Long-Term Forecasts

Hysteresis in Labor Markets? Evidence from Professional Long-Term Forecasts »

Source: Hysteresis in Labor Markets? Evidence from Professional Long-Term Forecasts

Volume/Issue: 2019/114

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): John Bluedorn , and Daniel Leigh

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 May 2019

ISBN: 9781498315692

Keywords: Human capital, Labor force, Labor force participation, Labor markets, Demand, Hysteresis, business cycles, monetary policy., forecaster, WEO

We explore the long-term impact of economic booms on labor market outcomes using a novel approach based on revisions to professional forecasts over the past 30 years for 34 advanced economies. We find that when emp...

U.S. Investment Since the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017

U.S. Investment Since the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 »

Source: U.S. Investment Since the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017

Volume/Issue: 2019/120

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Emanuel Kopp , Daniel Leigh , Susanna Mursula , and Suchanan Tambunlertchai

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 31 May 2019

ISBN: 9781498317047

Keywords: Capital formation, Economic growth, Corporate investment, National income accounts, Structural vector autoregression, Investment, fiscal policy, market power, uncertainty., business investment

There is no consensus on how strongly the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) has stimulated U.S. private fixed investment. Some argue that the business tax provisions spurred investment by cutting the cost of capital. Ot...

Financial Deepening, Terms of Trade Shocks, and Growth Volatility in Low-Income Countries

Financial Deepening, Terms of Trade Shocks, and Growth Volatility in Low-Income Countries »

Source: Financial Deepening, Terms of Trade Shocks, and Growth Volatility in Low-Income Countries

Volume/Issue: 2019/68

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kangni Kpodar , Maelan Le Goff , and Raju Singh

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 25 March 2019

ISBN: 9781498303569

Keywords: Financial sector development, Economic stabilization, Real sector, International capital markets, Terms of trade, Banks, stock markets, terms of trade shocks, growth volatility, volatility

This paper contributes to the literature by looking at the possible relevance of the structure of the financial system-whether financial intermediation is performed through banks or markets-for macroeconomic volati...

IMF Conditionality and Country Ownership of Programs

IMF Conditionality and Country Ownership of Programs »

Source: IMF Conditionality and Country Ownership of Programs

Volume/Issue: 2001/142

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Mohsin Khan , and Sunil Sharma

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2001

ISBN: 9781451856255

Keywords: IMF-supported programs, ownership, principal-agent, moral-hazard, structural conditionality, moral hazard, capital markets, international capital markets, Asymmetric and Private Information, International Lending and Debt Problems

The paper uses finance and agency theory to establish two main propositions: First, that the conditionality attached to adjustment programs supported by the IMF is justified. Second, that ownership of programs by t...

You Are Suffocating Me! Firm-Level Evidence on Crowding Out

You Are Suffocating Me! Firm-Level Evidence on Crowding Out »

Source: You Are Suffocating Me! Firm-Level Evidence on Crowding Out

Volume/Issue: 2019/80

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Serhan Cevik

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 April 2019

ISBN: 9781498311090

Keywords: Economic growth, Private investments, Capital formation, Foreign investment, Public investments, Fixed investment, state-owned enterprises, crowding-out effect, firm-level analysis, SOEs

Literature on whether government spending crowds out or crowds in the private sector is large, but still without an unambiguous conclusion. Using firm-level data from Ukraine, this paper provides a granular empiric...

1. Managing Shifting Risks

1. Managing Shifting Risks »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, April 2013, Asia and Pacific : Shifting Risks, New Foundations for Growth

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 April 2013

ISBN: 9781484360835

Keywords: Fiscal policy, Business cycles, Market economies, Human capital, Capital accumulation, Financial crises, Economies, capital inflows, domestic demand, capital flow

Signs of Pickup amid Receding Tail Risks The global economy entered 2013 with receding tail risks as the U.S. fiscal cliff and an escalation of the euro area crisis had been averted....