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Perspectivas económicas, mayo de 2013
			: Las Américas: Tiempo de reforzar las defensas macroeconómicas

Perspectivas económicas, mayo de 2013 : Las Américas: Tiempo de reforzar las defensas macroeconómicas »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 22 May 2013

Language: Spanish

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484391754.086

ISBN: 9781484391754

Keywords: tfp, current account, external shocks, commodity prices, public debt, IMF, simple average, foreign asset, GDP growth

A pesar de algunos riesgos mundiales, seguramente las condiciones externas seguirán siendo propicias para América Latina. Dado que se espera que en las economías avanzadas se mantenga una política monetaria laxa du...

World Economic Outlook, April 2005
			: Globalization and External Imbalances

World Economic Outlook, April 2005 : Globalization and External Imbalances »

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 March 2006

Language: Arabic

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781589064324.081

ISBN: 9781589064324

Keywords: remittances, debt, foreign assets, interest, oil prices, opec, globalization, payments, net foreign assets, liabilities

The World Economic Outlook, published twice a year in English, French, Spanish, and Arabic, presents IMF staff economists' analyses of global economic developments during the near and medium term. Chapters give an...

Perspectives de L'économie Mondiale, Avril 2005
			: Mondialisation et déséquilibres extérieurs

Perspectives de L'économie Mondiale, Avril 2005 : Mondialisation et déséquilibres extérieurs »

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 18 May 2005

Language: French

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781589064300.081

ISBN: 9781589064300

Keywords: remittances, debt, foreign assets, interest, oil prices, opec, globalization, payments, net foreign assets, liabilities

The World Economic Outlook, published twice a year in English, French, Spanish, and Arabic, presents IMF staff economists' analyses of global economic developments during the near and medium term. Chapters give an...

Regional Economic Outlook, May 2013, Western Hemisphere
			: Time to Rebuild Policy Space

Regional Economic Outlook, May 2013, Western Hemisphere : Time to Rebuild Policy Space »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 May 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484347928.086

ISBN: 9781484347928

Keywords: Production, Financial crises, Financial statistics, Gross domestic product, Capital, Economies, Economic indicators, tfp, current account, external shocks

Despite some global risks, external conditions for Latin America should remain stimulative. With monetary policy in advanced economies expected to stay accommodative, external financing conditions will remain favor...

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2014, Asia and Pacific
			: Sustaining the Momentum: Vigilance and Reforms

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2014, Asia and Pacific : Sustaining the Momentum: Vigilance and Reforms »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 April 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484316573.086

ISBN: 9781484316573

Keywords: Financial crises, Credit, Central banks, Business cycles, Capital, Macroprudential policies and financial stability, Financial systems, inflation, capital flows, capital flow

The five Regional Economic Outlooks published biannually by the IMF cover Asia and Pacific, Europe, the Middle East and Central Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa, and the Western Hemisphere. In each volume, recent econo...

The Present Value of Corporate Profits: A Forecasters' Survey Perspective1

The Present Value of Corporate Profits: A Forecasters' Survey Perspective1 »

Source: The Present Value of Corporate Profits: A Forecasters' Survey Perspective

Volume/Issue: 2019/12

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michal Andrle

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 January 2019

ISBN: 9781484390047

Keywords: Asset prices, present value, corporate earnings, General, Asset Pricing, Forecasting and Simulation

This paper presents and discusses the estimates of the present value of corporate profits in the United States from 1984 to 2018. To value the expected income stream, it uses the long-range forecasts of professiona...

The Role of Fiscal Transfers in Smoothing Regional Shocks

The Role of Fiscal Transfers in Smoothing Regional Shocks »

Source: The Role of Fiscal Transfers in Smoothing Regional Shocks : Evidence from Existing Federations

Volume/Issue: 2016/141

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tigran Poghosyan , Abdelhak Senhadji , and Carlo Cottarelli

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 21 July 2016

ISBN: 9781498379601

Keywords: public debt cycles, credit cycles, asset price cycles, duration analysis

We assess the extent to which fiscal transfers smooth regional shocks in three large federations: the U.S., Canada, and Australia. We find that fiscal transfers offset 4-11 percent of idiosyncratic shocks (risk-sha...

Inefficient Fire-Sales in Decentralized Asset Markets1

Inefficient Fire-Sales in Decentralized Asset Markets1 »

Source: Inefficient Fire-Sales in Decentralized Asset Markets

Volume/Issue: 2019/92

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ehsan Ebrahimy

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 May 2019

ISBN: 9781498303804

Keywords: Supply and demand, Asset prices, Financial assets, Balance sheets, Asset markets, fire-sales, coordination failure, decentralized markets, competitive search, fire-sale

Classic models of fire-sales that emphasize liquidity-constrained natural buyers can-not fully account for the asset fire-sales during the Financial Crisis of 2008. I present a model to demonstrate that fire-sales...

Measuring Global and Country-Specific Uncertainty

Measuring Global and Country-Specific Uncertainty »

Source: Measuring Global and Country-Specific Uncertainty

Volume/Issue: 2017/219

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ezgi Ozturk , and Xuguang Simon Sheng

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 October 2017

ISBN: 9781484316597

Keywords: Capital Asset Pricing Model; Common Uncertainty; Consensus Forecasts; Idiosyncratic Uncertainty; Global Uncertainty; Survey Forecast, Capital Asset Pricing Model, Common Uncertainty, Consensus Forecasts, Idiosyncratic Uncertainty, Global Uncertainty, Survey Forecast

Motivated by the literature on the capital asset pricing model, we decompose the uncertainty of a typical forecaster into common and idiosyncratic uncertainty. Using individual survey data from the Consensus Foreca...

Equilibrium Yield Curve, the Phillips Curve, and Monetary Policy

Equilibrium Yield Curve, the Phillips Curve, and Monetary Policy »

Source: Equilibrium Yield Curve, the Phillips Curve, and Monetary Policy

Volume/Issue: 2018/242

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Mitsuru Katagiri

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 November 2018

ISBN: 9781484382370

Keywords: Term premiums, Phillips curve, Low-for-long, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects), Asset Pricing

Upward sloping yield curves are hard to reconcile with the positive association between income and inflation (the Phillips curve) in consumption-based asset pricing models. Using US and UK data, this paper shows in...