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The Impact of Cyclical Factors on the U. S. Balance of Payments

The Impact of Cyclical Factors on the U. S. Balance of Payments »

Source: The Impact of Cyclical Factors on the U. S. Balance of Payments

Volume/Issue: 2002/45

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Joshua Greene , and Magda Kandil

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2002

ISBN: 9781451846485

Keywords: capital and financial account, current account balance, current account deficit, current account deficits, Macroeconomic Aspects Of International Trade And Finance,

Real GDP growth and real effective exchange rate (REER) appreciation appear cointegrated with the current and financial accounts of the U.S. balance of payments. On this basis, we estimate reduced form equations sh...

External Finance, Sudden Stops, and Financial Crisis

External Finance, Sudden Stops, and Financial Crisis »

Source: External Finance, Sudden Stops, and Financial Crisis : What is Different This Time?

Volume/Issue: 2010/158

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): F. Gulcin Ozkan , and Filiz Unsal

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2010

ISBN: 9781455201419

Keywords: entrepreneurs, domestic economy, entrepreneur, open economy, domestic goods, And The Supply Of Money And Credit, international Finance, macroeconomic Aspects Of International Trade And Finance,

This paper develops a two-country DSGE model to investigate the transmission of a global financial crisis to a small open economy. We find that economies hit by a sudden stop arising from financial distress in the...

Spillovers to Central America in Light of the Crisis

Spillovers to Central America in Light of the Crisis »

Source: Spillovers to Central America in Light of the Crisis : What a Difference a Year Makes

Volume/Issue: 2010/35

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Andrew Swiston

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2010

ISBN: 9781451962765

Keywords: real gdp, gdp growth, business cycle, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: General,

This paper investigates Central America's external linkages over the last fifteen years of increased integration in light of the 2008-09 global recession. Using structural VAR models, it is found that a one percent...

The Impact of U.S. Economic Growthon the Rest of the World

The Impact of U.S. Economic Growthon the Rest of the World »

Source: The Impact of U.S. Economic Growthon the Rest of the World : How Much Does it Matter?

Volume/Issue: 2001/119

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Athanasios Vamvakidis , and Vivek Arora

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2001

ISBN: 9781451854176

Keywords: gdp per capita, trading partner, trading partners, net exports, real gdp, Macroeconomic Aspects Of International Trade And Finance,

This paper provides a quantitative assessment of the impact of economic growth in the United States on growth in other countries. Using panel data estimation, the paper finds a significant positive impact of U.S. g...

Trade Costs and Real Exchange Rate Volatility

Trade Costs and Real Exchange Rate Volatility »

Source: Trade Costs and Real Exchange Rate Volatility : The Role of Ricardian Comparative Advantage

Volume/Issue: 2005/5

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2005

ISBN: 9781451860245

Keywords: Real exchange rate volatility, trade costs, exchange rate, real exchange rate, exchange rate volatility, International Finance: General, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: General,

This paper examines the impact of trade costs on real exchange rate volatility. We incorporate a multi-country Ricardian model of trade, based on the work of Eaton and Kortum (2002), into a macroeconomic model to s...

Sovereign Debt Defaults and Financing Needs

Sovereign Debt Defaults and Financing Needs »

Source: Sovereign Debt Defaults and Financing Needs

Volume/Issue: 2004/53

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Miguel Messmacher , and Mark Kruger

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2004

ISBN: 9781451847413

Keywords: early warning indicators, probability, debt service, current account, correlation, probabilities, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance, Financial Institutions and Services,

We construct a financial vulnerability indicator that is consistent with the theoretical literature on determinants of defaults. It is based on the amount of new foreign financing that is needed to avoid a default...

Regional Trade Arrangements in Africa

Regional Trade Arrangements in Africa »

Source: Regional Trade Arrangements in Africa : Past Performance and the Way Forward

Volume/Issue: 2005/36

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Yongzheng Yang , and Sanjeev Gupta

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2005

ISBN: 9781451860559

Keywords: Regional Trade Arrangements, regional integration, regional trade, trade liberalization, intraregional trade, Simulation Methods, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation,

Regional trade arrangements (RTAs) in Africa have been ineffective in promoting trade and foreign direct investment. Relatively high external trade barriers and low resource complementarity between member countries...

The Africa Growth and Opportunity Act and its Rules of Origin

The Africa Growth and Opportunity Act and its Rules of Origin »

Source: The Africa Growth and Opportunity Act and its Rules of Origin : Generosity Undermined?

Volume/Issue: 2002/158

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Arvind Subramanian , Aaditya Mattoo , and Devesh Roy

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2002

ISBN: 9781451857597

Keywords: preference, rules of origin, export supply, oil exports, exporters, preferential access, Macroeconomic Aspects Of International Trade And Finance,

This paper describes the United States recently enacted Africa Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) and assesses its quantitative impact on African exports. The AGOA expands the scope of preferential access of Africa'...

Patterns of Capital Flows to Emerging Markets

Patterns of Capital Flows to Emerging Markets »

Source: Patterns of Capital Flows to Emerging Markets : A Theoretical Perspective

Volume/Issue: 1997/13

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Zhaohui Chen , and Mohsin Khan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1997

ISBN: 9781451924947

Keywords: Capital flows, emerging markets, cost of financing, contract and regulation, fdi, capital inflows, portfolio investment, equity flows

This paper reviews some of the basic patterns of international capital flows to emerging markets in recent years, including the composition of capital flows, intraregional flow patterns, and the geographical distri...

Thirty Years of Current Account Imbalances, Current Account Reversals, and Sudden Stops

Thirty Years of Current Account Imbalances, Current Account Reversals, and Sudden Stops »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 51, Special Issue, IMF Fourth Annual Research Conference

Volume: 51

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): Ashoka Mody , and Robert Flood

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 June 2004

ISBN: 9781589063204

Keywords: current account reversals, current account deficit, exchange rate, exchange rate regime, Consumption (economics), Country Risk, Debtor And Creditor, Default (finance),

This is the 2004 (Volume 51) Special Issue of IMF Staff Papers, which includes 6 selected papers (from more than 20) that were presented at the IMF's Fourth Annual Research Conference, November 6-7, 2003....