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Yield Spread as a Leading Indicator of Real Economic Activity

Yield Spread as a Leading Indicator of Real Economic Activity »

Source: Yield Spread as a Leading Indicator of Real Economic Activity : An Empirical Exercise on the Indian Economy

Volume/Issue: 2002/91

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rajan Goyal , and K. Kanagasabapathy

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2002

ISBN: 9781451851526

Keywords: Yield curve, yield spread, leading indicators, working capital, probability, government securities, equation, forecasting, Prices, Business Fluctuations

There is growing evidence that the yield spread could serve as a leading indicator of real economic activity. This paper is an attempt to test this hypothesis for the Indian economy by relating movements in the yie...

Yield Spread as a Leading Indicator of Real Economic Activity
			: An Empirical Exercise on the Indian Economy

Yield Spread as a Leading Indicator of Real Economic Activity : An Empirical Exercise on the Indian Economy »

Volume/Issue: 2002/91

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rajan Goyal , and K. Kanagasabapathy

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2002

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451851526.001

ISBN: 9781451851526

Keywords: Yield curve, yield spread, leading indicators, working capital, probability, government securities, equation, forecasting, Prices, Business Fluctuations

There is growing evidence that the yield spread could serve as a leading indicator of real economic activity. This paper is an attempt to test this hypothesis for the Indian economy by relating movements in the yie...